Sport Tipps
Spielzusammenfassung
Debrecen II is highly favored to claim all three points on their visit to Baktaloranthaza, backed by a win probability of 72%. Baktaloranthaza averages 0.9 goals scored and 3.5 conceded in recent matches. Debrecen II shows a form average of 2.3 goals scored and 1.3 conceded. Given their contrasting recent form profiles, this matchup is expected to produce a balanced tactical flow. Historical head-to-head records show 1 wins for Baktaloranthaza, 2 wins for Debrecen II, and 1 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 24.04.10 ended in a 1:5 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 0.92 for Baktaloranthaza and 1.55 for Debrecen II, suggesting the primary value lies in the Debrecen II double chance or over markets.
Siegwahrscheinlichkeits-Meter
Basierend auf 10.000 Simulationen unter Berücksichtigung von Heimvorteil & Form
Modell-Vertrauen
Gesamter Indikatorwert
- Baktaloranthaza hat zuletzt mehr Punkte geholt als Debrecen II.
- Das Modell prognostiziert eine höhere Torgefahr für die Gastgeber (0.92 vs. 1.55 xG).
- Frühere Begegnungen zeigen einen klaren Vorteil für die Gäste.
- Hohe Trefferquoten deuten auf ein torreiches Spiel hin (Über 2.5 Wahrscheinlichkeit: 76%).
Torwahrscheinlichkeits-Rechner
Modellschätzungen für Tormärkte basierend auf xG-Historie
Formanalyse der Teams
Durchschnittswerte pro Spiel
| Metrik | Baktaloranthaza | Debrecen II |
|---|---|---|
| Spiele | 30 | 32 |
| Siege | 3 | 18 |
| Unentschieden | 1 | 7 |
| Niederlagen | 26 | 7 |
| Erzielte Tore | 0.93 | 2.34 |
| Gegentore | 3.5 | 1.28 |
H2H
Historische Erfolgsquoten in Hauptmärkten
Taktisches Profil
Feldpositionen & Kontrollstile
Baktaloranthaza
Debrecen II
Sokapicks Momentum-Index
Aktueller Formindex inklusive Belastung und Gegnerstärke (0-100)
Angriffs- & Abwehrstärke
Vorhersage-Engine
Ergebnishäufigkeiten und Hauptmärkte
Value Bet Finder (+EV)
Spiele mit mathematischem Vorteil gegenüber Buchmachern
Erwarteter Spielverlauf
Dominanzkurven in 15-Minuten-Abschnitten
Debrecen II will likely look to assert dominance early, testing the hosts' defensive structure.
Baktaloranthaza will look to tighten their defensive lines to neutralize Debrecen II's early runs.
Expect Debrecen II to mount counter-attacks, exploiting gaps as Baktaloranthaza tries to push forward.
Tactical adjustments will see Debrecen II increase their pressing intensity in the opposition half.
Fatigue may set in for Baktaloranthaza's defense, opening up opportunities for Debrecen II's forward line.
Expect Debrecen II to manage the closing stages, while Baktaloranthaza searches for late drama.
Offensiv-Heatmaps & Schüsse
Dynamische Heat-Overlays aus Zonen-Statistiken
Smart Insights
Vom System automatisch erkannte Muster
Baktaloranthaza have found the net in 57% of their last 30 matches.
Debrecen II have conceded at least one goal in 69% of their last 32 fixtures.
Historical meetings between these sides average 4.25 goals per match.
Baktaloranthaza remained undefeated in 2 of their last 5 overall matchups.
Debrecen II suffered defeat in 2 of their last 5 overall games.
Risikoanalyse
Bewertung von Störfaktoren
Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.
Standard league campaign fixture. Both teams have strong incentives to secure maximum points for table positioning.
Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.
Teamvergleich
Direkter Statistikvergleich
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ferencvaros | 30 | 25 | 3 | 2 | 94:22 | 78 |
| 2 | Debrecen II | 30 | 19 | 4 | 7 | 72:38 | 61 |
| 3 | Makoi | 30 | 17 | 5 | 8 | 61:44 | 56 |
| 4 | Bocs | 30 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 56:34 | 52 |
| 5 | Kazincbarcika | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 52:47 | 51 |
| 6 | Szolnoki MAV | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 52:42 | 47 |
| 7 | MTK Budapest II | 30 | 12 | 6 | 12 | 42:45 | 42 |
| 8 | BKV Elore | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 53:47 | 40 |
| 9 | Vac | 30 | 11 | 4 | 15 | 63:67 | 37 |
| 10 | Cegledi | 30 | 10 | 7 | 13 | 41:48 | 37 |
| 11 | Vecsesi | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 45:51 | 36 |
| 12 | Bekescsaba 1912 | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 42:62 | 34 |
| 13 | Baktaloranthaza | 30 | 8 | 6 | 16 | 37:63 | 30 |
| 14 | ESMTK Budapest | 30 | 8 | 5 | 17 | 47:68 | 29 |
| 15 | Jaszberenyi | 30 | 7 | 7 | 16 | 31:56 | 28 |
| 16 | Tokol | 30 | 4 | 3 | 23 | 29:83 | 15 |