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Bala vs Holyhead - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Wales Wales

FAW Welsh Cup Maes Tegid, Bala
Sa., 17. Okt. 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Unser Tipp

Spielzusammenfassung

The first leg ended 1-3. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Holyhead have shipped 1.41 goals a game lately, while Bala have conceded 1.67 and scored 1.53. Head-to-head, Bala have won 1 to Holyhead's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on 6. Feb. 2016, ending 1:3. The numbers (2.00 xG vs 1.38) point toward Holyhead. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Siegwahrscheinlichkeits-Meter

Basierend auf 10.000 Simulationen unter Berücksichtigung von Heimvorteil & Form

42%
Bala
20%
Unentschieden
38%
Holyhead
Unentschieden-Quote: 20% Favorit: Bala

Modell-Vertrauen

Gesamter Indikatorwert

67% / Mittel Vertrauen
  • Holyhead carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Bala's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Holyhead arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Holyhead, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
  • Hohe Trefferquoten deuten auf ein torreiches Spiel hin (Über 2.5 Wahrscheinlichkeit: 78%).

Torwahrscheinlichkeits-Rechner

Modellschätzungen für Tormärkte basierend auf xG-Historie

Über 0.5 Tore 92%
Über 1.5 Tore 82%
Über 2.5 Tore 78%
Über 3.5 Tore 70%
Über 4.5 Tore 32%
Beide treffen (BTTS) 72.6%
Bala Ohne Gegentor 17%
Holyhead Ohne Gegentor 10%

Formanalyse der Teams

Durchschnittswerte pro Spiel

Metrik Bala Holyhead
Spiele 30 32
Siege 10 14
Unentschieden 5 4
Niederlagen 15 14
Erzielte Tore 1.53 1.59
Gegentore 1.67 1.41
Erwartete Tore (xG) 2.00 1.38
Erwartete Gegentore (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historische Erfolgsquoten in Hauptmärkten

6. Feb. 2016 FAW Welsh Cup
Holyhead vs Bala
1:3
25. Apr. 2009 Cymru Alliance
Bala vs Holyhead
1:4
23. Aug. 2008 Cymru Alliance
Holyhead vs Bala
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum-Index

Aktueller Formindex inklusive Belastung und Gegnerstärke (0-100)

Bala 41 / 100
Holyhead 36 / 100
Berechnungsgrundlage: Gewichtete Formel aus Formkurve (60%), Tordifferenzen (20%), Heimrecht (10%) und Kadertiefe (10%).

Angriffs- & Abwehrstärke

ANGRIFF ABWEHR BALLBESITZ DISZIPLIN
Bala Holyhead

Vorhersage-Engine

Ergebnishäufigkeiten und Hauptmärkte

Haupttipp Draw (X)
Nebentipp Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS-Prognose Yes (GG)
Über/Unter Tipp Over 2.5

Smart Insights

Vom System automatisch erkannte Muster

Games between these two average 4.33 goals.

Attacking prowess: Bala scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Holyhead's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 32 matches.

Holyhead's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Tor-Trends

Bala VS Holyhead
1.88 Erzielte Tore 1.13
1.63 Kassierte Tore 2.13
75% Über 1.5 75%
75% Über 2.5 63%
38% Über 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Bala

(Home)
09 Oct
Bala
2 : 3
Buckley
03 Oct
Caersws FC
3 : 3
Bala
26 Sept
Bala
2 : 4
Mold Alexandra
15 Sept
Penrhyncoch
0 : 1
Bala
11 Sept
Denbigh
5 : 2
Bala
Page 1 of 6

Holyhead

(Away)
02 Oct
Denbigh
2 : 4
Holyhead
26 Sept
Holyhead
0 : 2
Guilsfield
12 Sept
Holyhead
0 : 1
Newtown
05 Sept
Llanuwchllyn
4 : 0
Holyhead
31 Aug
Holyhead
2 : 2
Porthmadog
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Airbus UK Broughton FC -
TNS -
Coedpoeth -
Guilsfield -
Llannefydd -
Llandudno FC -
Newtown -
Llanuwchllyn -
Bala -
Holyhead -
Connahs Q. -
Porthmadog -
Penycae FC -
Dolgellau Athletic -
Aberystwyth -
Prestatyn -
Flint Town -
Caernarfon -
Llay Welfare -
Holywell Town FC -
Buckley -
Colwyn Bay -
Brickfield Rangers -
Llangefni -
Denbigh -
Bangor 1876 -
Cefn Albion -
Felinheli -
Llysfaen -
Mochdre Sports -
Pontarddulais -
Goytre Utd -
Trefelin -
Llantwit Major -
Afan Lido -
Penybont -
Caerau Ely -
Llanelli -
Blaen-y-Maes -
Ely Rangers -
Radnor Valley -
Cardiff Draconians -
Barry Town -
Tredegar Town -
Cwmaman Institute -
Ammanford Town -
Llangennech -
Pontardawe -
Caerphilly -
Chepstow Town -
Evans Williams -
Rockspur -
Briton Ferry -
Afan United -
Llantwit Fardre -
Baglan Dragons -
Cardiff Metropolitan University -
Ynyshir Albions -
Cambrian United -
Trethomas Bluebirds -
Carmarthen Town -
Newport City -
Haverfordwest -
Cardiff Corries -
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Semi-finals
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Final
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