Sport Tipps
Ben Guerdane vs AS Marsa
Tunisia
Ligue Professionnelle 1 2025/2026 7 March Stadium, Ben Guerdane 
Spielereignisse
45'
45'
Oboh D.
46'
46'
Wechsel
Essadik Y. Rein: Iffia F.
Raus: Essadik Y.
50'
50'
Wechsel
Adejoh O. Rein: Mansour H.
Raus: Adejoh O.
Spielzusammenfassung
The Ligue Professionnelle 1 2025/2026 game between Ben Guerdane and AS Marsa finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ben Guerdane.
Siegwahrscheinlichkeits-Meter
Basierend auf 10.000 Simulationen unter Berücksichtigung von Heimvorteil & Form
50%
28%
22%
Unentschieden-Quote: 28% Favorit: Ben Guerdane
Modell-Vertrauen
Gesamter Indikatorwert
76%
/ Hoch Vertrauen
- Look at the last few games and AS Marsa come out ahead of Ben Guerdane on wins alone.
- 50% — that's where the model lands on Ben Guerdane taking it.
- Regular Ligue Professionnelle 1 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Starke Defensiven sprechen für ein kontrolliertes, torarmes Spiel.
- History favors AS Marsa here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Torwahrscheinlichkeits-Rechner
Modellschätzungen für Tormärkte basierend auf xG-Historie
Über 0.5 Tore 85%
Über 1.5 Tore 31.5%
Über 2.5 Tore 25%
Über 3.5 Tore 19%
Über 4.5 Tore 9%
Beide treffen (BTTS) 22.8%
Ben Guerdane Ohne Gegentor 68%
AS Marsa Ohne Gegentor 16%
Formanalyse der Teams
Durchschnittswerte pro Spiel
| Metrik | Ben Guerdane | AS Marsa |
|---|---|---|
| Spiele | 30 | 31 |
| Siege | 8 | 12 |
| Unentschieden | 11 | 2 |
| Niederlagen | 11 | 17 |
| Erzielte Tore | 0.6 | 1.06 |
| Gegentore | 0.83 | 1.26 |
| Erwartete Tore (xG) | 0.94 | 0.94 |
| Erwartete Gegentore (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historische Erfolgsquoten in Hauptmärkten
23. Jan. 2026 Ligue Professionnelle 1
Ben Guerdane vs AS Marsa
1:0
15. Aug. 2025 Ligue Professionnelle 1
AS Marsa vs Ben Guerdane
1:0
14. Juni 2024 Ligue Professionnelle 1
Ben Guerdane vs AS Marsa
1:2
13. Apr. 2024 Ligue Professionnelle 1
AS Marsa vs Ben Guerdane
2:1
2. Sept. 2022 Tunisia Cup
AS Marsa vs Ben Guerdane
1:0
Schlüsselspieler-Analyse
Top-Akteure und erwartete Torbeteiligungen
Ben Guerdane Vergleich
Top-Torschütze Oboh D.
1 Tore Durchschnitt xG / Spiel 0.72
Durchschnitt xA / Spiel 0.47
AS Marsa Vergleich
Durchschnitt xG / Spiel 0.85
Durchschnitt xA / Spiel 0.52
SokaPicks Momentum-Index
Aktueller Formindex inklusive Belastung und Gegnerstärke (0-100)
Ben Guerdane 59 / 100
AS Marsa 23 / 100
Berechnungsgrundlage: Gewichtete Formel aus Formkurve (60%), Tordifferenzen (20%), Heimrecht (10%) und Kadertiefe (10%).
Angriffs- & Abwehrstärke
Ben Guerdane AS Marsa
Vorhersage-Engine
Ergebnishäufigkeiten und Hauptmärkte
Haupttipp GUE Win (1)
Nebentipp Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS-Prognose No (NG)
Über/Unter Tipp Under 2.5
Smart Insights
Vom System automatisch erkannte Muster
AS Marsa's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 31 matches.
H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.
Ben Guerdane has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Ben Guerdane found the back of the net in 50% of recent matches (30 games).
Tor-Trends
Ben Guerdane VS AS Marsa
0.63 Erzielte Tore 1.13
0.75 Kassierte Tore 1.25
25% Über 1.5 38%
13% Über 2.5 38%
13% Über 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Ben Guerdane
(Home) 14 May
Ben Guerdane
0 : 1 Esperance Tunis
08 May
Stade Tunisien
0 : 0 Ben Guerdane
03 May
Ben Guerdane
0 : 1 Soliman
30 Apr
JS Kairouan
0 : 1 Ben Guerdane
25 Apr
Ben Guerdane
2 : 0 Monastir
Page 1 of 6
14 May
Ben Guerdane
0 : 1 Esperance Tunis
03 May
Ben Guerdane
0 : 1 Soliman
25 Apr
Ben Guerdane
2 : 0 Monastir
05 Apr
Ben Guerdane
0 : 0 Metlaoui
08 Mar
Ben Guerdane
0 : 1 Club Africain
Page 1 of 3
AS Marsa
(Away) 08 Aug
Esperance Tunis
1 : 2 AS Marsa
12 May
Jeunesse Sportive
2 : 2 AS Marsa
09 May
AS Marsa
0 : 3 CS Sfaxien
04 May
CA Bizertin
1 : 2 AS Marsa
30 Apr
AS Marsa
1 : 0 Zarzis
Page 1 of 7
08 Aug
Esperance Tunis
1 : 2 AS Marsa
12 May
Jeunesse Sportive
2 : 2 AS Marsa
04 May
CA Bizertin
1 : 2 AS Marsa
25 Apr
Etoile Sahel
1 : 0 AS Marsa
19 Apr
Club Africain
3 : 3 AS Marsa
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Club Africain | 30 | 19 | 9 | 2 | 43:10 | 66 |
| 2 | Esperance Tunis | 30 | 18 | 9 | 3 | 45:11 | 63 |
| 3 | CS Sfaxien | 30 | 18 | 8 | 4 | 44:13 | 62 |
| 4 | Stade Tunisien | 30 | 12 | 12 | 6 | 28:14 | 48 |
| 5 | Monastir | 30 | 11 | 12 | 7 | 28:19 | 45 |
| 6 | Zarzis | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 30:28 | 41 |
| 7 | Etoile Sahel | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 28:30 | 41 |
| 8 | Metlaoui | 30 | 9 | 13 | 8 | 19:25 | 40 |
| 9 | Jeunesse Sportive | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 24:33 | 36 |
| 10 | Ben Guerdane | 30 | 8 | 11 | 11 | 18:22 | 35 |
| 11 | AS Marsa | 30 | 11 | 2 | 17 | 26:33 | 35 |
| 12 | CA Bizertin | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | 18:29 | 33 |
| 13 | Olympique Beja | 30 | 9 | 5 | 16 | 18:39 | 32 |
| 14 | JS Kairouan | 30 | 9 | 4 | 17 | 20:41 | 31 |
| 15 | Soliman | 30 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 15:31 | 27 |
| 16 | AS Gabes | 30 | 3 | 9 | 18 | 11:37 | 18 |
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligue 2 2026/2027 (Main)
