Sport Tipps

Stadium Background

Benfica vs St. Gallen

Europe Europe

Europa League Estádio da Luz, Lisbon
Do., 30. Juli 2026
VS
07:00 PM
Unser Tipp

Spielzusammenfassung

A one-off knockout match in the Europa League. This one's hard to separate. St. Gallen have shipped 1.13 goals a game lately, while Benfica have conceded 1 and scored 1.75. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. Model xG sits at 1.44 vs 1.44, favoring Benfica. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Siegwahrscheinlichkeits-Meter

Basierend auf 10.000 Simulationen unter Berücksichtigung von Heimvorteil & Form

90%
Benfica
6%
Unentschieden
4%
St. Gallen
Unentschieden-Quote: 6% Favorit: Benfica

Modell-Vertrauen

Gesamter Indikatorwert

95% / Sehr Hoch Vertrauen
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: St. Gallen at 1.88 per game, Benfica at 1.75.
  • Win probability leans Benfica's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • These two have never met before — a fresh matchup with no historical pattern to lean on.
  • Hohe Trefferquoten deuten auf ein torreiches Spiel hin (Über 2.5 Wahrscheinlichkeit: 78%).

Torwahrscheinlichkeits-Rechner

Modellschätzungen für Tormärkte basierend auf xG-Historie

Über 0.5 Tore 92%
Über 1.5 Tore 82%
Über 2.5 Tore 78%
Über 3.5 Tore 37.5%
Über 4.5 Tore 17%
Beide treffen (BTTS) 78.6%
Benfica Ohne Gegentor 16%
St. Gallen Ohne Gegentor 10%

Formanalyse der Teams

Durchschnittswerte pro Spiel

Metrik Benfica St. Gallen
Spiele 27 28
Siege 15 15
Unentschieden 6 9
Niederlagen 6 4
Erzielte Tore 1.75 1.88
Gegentore 1 1.13
Erwartete Tore (xG) 1.75 1.88
Erwartete Gegentore (xGA) 1.00 1.13

H2H

Historische Erfolgsquoten in Hauptmärkten

SokaPicks Momentum-Index

Aktueller Formindex inklusive Belastung und Gegnerstärke (0-100)

Benfica 84 / 100
St. Gallen 10 / 100
Berechnungsgrundlage: Gewichtete Formel aus Formkurve (60%), Tordifferenzen (20%), Heimrecht (10%) und Kadertiefe (10%).

Angriffs- & Abwehrstärke

ANGRIFF ABWEHR BALLBESITZ DISZIPLIN
Benfica St. Gallen

Vorhersage-Engine

Ergebnishäufigkeiten und Hauptmärkte

Haupttipp BEN Win (1)
Nebentipp Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS-Prognose Yes (GG)
Über/Unter Tipp Over 2.5

Smart Insights

Vom System automatisch erkannte Muster

Benfica's goal record stands at 85% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

St. Gallen let in goals in 82% of their last 28 matches.

Benfica has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

St. Gallen's recent record shows 2 losses from the last 5 matches.

Tor-Trends

Benfica VS St. Gallen
1.75 Erzielte Tore 1.88
1 Kassierte Tore 1.13
75% Über 1.5 88%
63% Über 2.5 75%
50% Über 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Benfica

(Home)
17 Jul
Benfica
2 : 0
Villarreal
11 Jul
Benfica
1 : 2
Flamengo RJ
16 May
Estoril
1 : 3
Benfica
11 May
Benfica
2 : 2
Braga
02 May
Famalicao
2 : 2
Benfica
Page 1 of 6

St. Gallen

(Away)
17 Jul
St. Gallen
0 : 3
Norwich
11 Jul
Lyon
6 : 3
St. Gallen
01 Jul
Winterthur
0 : 1
St. Gallen
27 Jun
St. Gallen
3 : 2
Altach
24 May
Lausanne Ouchy
0 : 3
St. Gallen
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Tromso-
TBD-
TBD-
Hradec Kralove-
Besiktas-
TBD-
TBD-
Midtjylland-
Jagiellonia-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Rangers-
Dynamo Kyiv1
Universitatea Cluj0
TBD-
PAOK-
Hammarby-
TBD-
TBD-
Anderlecht-
Hajduk Split3
Zilina2
TBD-
Pafos-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Salzburg-
St. Gallen-
TBD-
TBD-
Benfica-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Sheriff Tiraspol1
Aluminij0
TBD-
Maccabi Tel Aviv-
Qarabag Agdam6
Vestri0
CSKA Sofia5
Derry City3
Twente-
TBD-
Vojvodina1
Ferencvaros5
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Quarter-finals
Tromso-
Hradec Kralove-
Besiktas-
Midtjylland-
Jagiellonia-
TBD-
TBD-
Rangers-
Dynamo Kyiv-
PAOK-
Hammarby-
Anderlecht-
Hajduk Split-
Pafos-
TBD-
Salzburg-
St. Gallen-
Benfica-
TBD-
TBD-
Sheriff Tiraspol-
Maccabi Tel Aviv-
Qarabag Agdam-
CSKA Sofia-
Twente-
Ferencvaros-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Semi-finals
TBD-
TBD-
Jagiellonia-
Rangers-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Salzburg-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Final
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-