Sport Tipps
Spielzusammenfassung
The Tercera Division - Group 8 2020/2021 game between Bupolsa and Arandina finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Arandina.
Siegwahrscheinlichkeits-Meter
Basierend auf 10.000 Simulationen unter Berücksichtigung von Heimvorteil & Form
36%
44%
20%
Unentschieden-Quote: 44% Favorit: Draw
Modell-Vertrauen
Gesamter Indikatorwert
71%
/ Mittel Vertrauen
- Look at the last few games and Arandina come out ahead of Bupolsa on wins alone.
- Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
- Regular Tercera Division - Group 8 2020/2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Starke Defensiven sprechen für ein kontrolliertes, torarmes Spiel.
- Arandina have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Torwahrscheinlichkeits-Rechner
Modellschätzungen für Tormärkte basierend auf xG-Historie
Über 0.5 Tore 85%
Über 1.5 Tore 37.5%
Über 2.5 Tore 25%
Über 3.5 Tore 12.5%
Über 4.5 Tore 6%
Beide treffen (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Bupolsa Ohne Gegentor 22%
Arandina Ohne Gegentor 68%
Formanalyse der Teams
Durchschnittswerte pro Spiel
| Metrik | Bupolsa | Arandina |
|---|---|---|
| Spiele | 30 | 31 |
| Siege | 9 | 10 |
| Unentschieden | 7 | 9 |
| Niederlagen | 14 | 12 |
| Erzielte Tore | 0.77 | 1.13 |
| Gegentore | 1.17 | 1.32 |
| Erwartete Tore (xG) | 1.42 | 1.05 |
| Erwartete Gegentore (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historische Erfolgsquoten in Hauptmärkten
30. Jan. 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Bupolsa vs Arandina
0:1
8. Nov. 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Arandina vs Bupolsa
4:3
12. Jan. 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Arandina vs Bupolsa
2:0
25. Aug. 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Bupolsa vs Arandina
0:1
12. Mai 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Bupolsa vs Arandina
1:0
SokaPicks Momentum-Index
Aktueller Formindex inklusive Belastung und Gegnerstärke (0-100)
Bupolsa 37 / 100
Arandina 32 / 100
Berechnungsgrundlage: Gewichtete Formel aus Formkurve (60%), Tordifferenzen (20%), Heimrecht (10%) und Kadertiefe (10%).
Angriffs- & Abwehrstärke
Bupolsa Arandina
Vorhersage-Engine
Ergebnishäufigkeiten und Hauptmärkte
Haupttipp Arandina Win (2)
Nebentipp Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS-Prognose No (NG)
Über/Unter Tipp Under 2.5
Smart Insights
Vom System automatisch erkannte Muster
Arandina let in goals in 77% of their last 31 matches.
H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.
Bupolsa's goal record stands at 57% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Recent resilience: Bupolsa stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.
Tor-Trends
- VS Arandina
0 Erzielte Tore 1
0 Kassierte Tore 1.63
0% Über 1.5 75%
0% Über 2.5 63%
0% Über 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Bupolsa
(Home) 20 Jun
Salamanca CF UDS B
2 : 0 Bupolsa
12 Jun
Bupolsa
0 : 1 Santa Marta Tormes
05 Jun
Penaranda de Bracamonte
0 : 0 Bupolsa
29 May
Bupolsa
1 : 0 Becerril
16 May
Bupolsa
0 : 1 La Baneza
Page 1 of 6
12 Jun
Bupolsa
0 : 1 Santa Marta Tormes
29 May
Bupolsa
1 : 0 Becerril
16 May
Bupolsa
0 : 1 La Baneza
09 May
Bupolsa
1 : 0 Salamanca CF UDS B
25 Apr
Bupolsa
2 : 0 Penaranda de Bracamonte
Page 1 of 3
Arandina
(Away) 10 May
Becerril
2 : 0 Arandina
02 May
Arandina
2 : 1 Mirandes B
26 Apr
Arandina
3 : 3 Bembibre
18 Apr
Santa Marta Tormes
1 : 1 Arandina
11 Apr
Arandina
3 : 1 La Virgen
Page 1 of 7
10 May
Becerril
2 : 0 Arandina
18 Apr
Santa Marta Tormes
1 : 1 Arandina
04 Apr
Mansilles
1 : 1 Arandina
21 Mar
Numancia B
0 : 2 Arandina
07 Mar
Villaralbo
2 : 0 Arandina
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Palencia CA | 20 | 14 | 2 | 4 | 29:11 | 44 |
| 2 | Atletico Astorga | 20 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 26:11 | 35 |
| 3 | Leonesa B | 20 | 9 | 8 | 3 | 25:18 | 35 |
| 4 | La Virgen | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 22:18 | 31 |
| 5 | Atletico Tordesillas | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 21:22 | 26 |
| 6 | Bembibre | 20 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 17:20 | 26 |
| 7 | La Baneza | 20 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 23:23 | 25 |
| 8 | Salamanca CF UDS B | 20 | 4 | 10 | 6 | 17:26 | 22 |
| 9 | Santa Marta Tormes | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 14:17 | 21 |
| 10 | Penaranda de Bracamonte | 20 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 13:28 | 16 |
| 11 | Becerril | 20 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 10:23 | 15 |
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 8 2020/2021 (Promotion Group)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 8 2020/2021 (Second stage)
Relegation - Tercera Division - Group 8 2020/2021 (Relegation Group)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gimnastica Segoviana | 22 | 18 | 3 | 1 | 54:10 | 57 |
| 2 | Burgos CF B | 22 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 33:15 | 40 |
| 3 | Numancia B | 22 | 12 | 3 | 7 | 40:34 | 39 |
| 4 | Arandina | 22 | 10 | 6 | 6 | 41:31 | 36 |
| 5 | Mirandes B | 22 | 8 | 9 | 5 | 30:21 | 33 |
| 6 | Real Avila | 22 | 9 | 4 | 9 | 25:23 | 31 |
| 7 | Almazan | 22 | 9 | 4 | 9 | 26:31 | 31 |
| 8 | Colegios Diocesanos | 22 | 7 | 2 | 13 | 19:42 | 23 |
| 9 | La Granja | 22 | 6 | 4 | 12 | 24:30 | 22 |
| 10 | Real Burgos CF | 22 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 18:37 | 19 |
| 11 | CD Cebrerena | 22 | 5 | 4 | 13 | 18:36 | 19 |
| 12 | Bupolsa | 22 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 17:35 | 17 |
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 8 2020/2021 (Promotion Group)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 8 2020/2021 (Second stage)
Relegation - Tercera Division - Group 8 2020/2021 (Relegation Group)
