Sport Tipps
Cacadores Taipas vs Trofense
Portugal
Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2018/2019 
Spielzusammenfassung
Trofense is highly favored to claim all three points on their visit to Cacadores Taipas, backed by a win probability of 59%. Cacadores Taipas averages 0.7 goals scored and 2.0 conceded in recent matches. Trofense shows a form average of 1.2 goals scored and 1.0 conceded. Given their contrasting recent form profiles, this matchup is expected to produce a balanced tactical flow. Historical head-to-head records show 0 wins for Cacadores Taipas, 2 wins for Trofense, and 0 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 20.04.19 ended in a 0:3 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 1.10 for Cacadores Taipas and 1.11 for Trofense, suggesting the primary value lies in the Trofense double chance or over markets.
Siegwahrscheinlichkeits-Meter
Basierend auf 10.000 Simulationen unter Berücksichtigung von Heimvorteil & Form
Modell-Vertrauen
Gesamter Indikatorwert
- Cacadores Taipas hat zuletzt mehr Punkte geholt als Trofense.
- Das Modell prognostiziert eine höhere Torgefahr für die Gastgeber (1.10 vs. 1.11 xG).
- Frühere Begegnungen zeigen einen klaren Vorteil für die Gäste.
- Starke Defensiven sprechen für ein kontrolliertes, torarmes Spiel.
Torwahrscheinlichkeits-Rechner
Modellschätzungen für Tormärkte basierend auf xG-Historie
Formanalyse der Teams
Durchschnittswerte pro Spiel
| Metrik | Cacadores Taipas | Trofense |
|---|---|---|
| Spiele | 30 | 34 |
| Siege | 3 | 12 |
| Unentschieden | 7 | 9 |
| Niederlagen | 20 | 13 |
| Erzielte Tore | 0.67 | 1.21 |
| Gegentore | 2.03 | 1 |
H2H
Historische Erfolgsquoten in Hauptmärkten
Taktisches Profil
Feldpositionen & Kontrollstile
Cacadores Taipas
Trofense
Sokapicks Momentum-Index
Aktueller Formindex inklusive Belastung und Gegnerstärke (0-100)
Angriffs- & Abwehrstärke
Vorhersage-Engine
Ergebnishäufigkeiten und Hauptmärkte
Value Bet Finder (+EV)
Spiele mit mathematischem Vorteil gegenüber Buchmachern
Erwarteter Spielverlauf
Dominanzkurven in 15-Minuten-Abschnitten
Trofense will likely look to assert dominance early, testing the hosts' defensive structure.
Cacadores Taipas will look to tighten their defensive lines to neutralize Trofense's early runs.
Expect Trofense to mount counter-attacks, exploiting gaps as Cacadores Taipas tries to push forward.
Tactical adjustments will see Trofense increase their pressing intensity in the opposition half.
Fatigue may set in for Cacadores Taipas's defense, opening up opportunities for Trofense's forward line.
Expect Trofense to manage the closing stages, while Cacadores Taipas searches for late drama.
Offensiv-Heatmaps & Schüsse
Dynamische Heat-Overlays aus Zonen-Statistiken
Smart Insights
Vom System automatisch erkannte Muster
Cacadores Taipas have found the net in 53% of their last 30 matches.
Trofense have conceded at least one goal in 74% of their last 34 fixtures.
Historical meetings between these sides average 2.50 goals per match.
Cacadores Taipas remained undefeated in 1 of their last 5 overall matchups.
Trofense suffered defeat in 3 of their last 5 overall games.
Risikoanalyse
Bewertung von Störfaktoren
Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.
Standard league campaign fixture. Both teams have strong incentives to secure maximum points for table positioning.
Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.
Teamvergleich
Direkter Statistikvergleich
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vizela | 32 | 23 | 6 | 3 | 73:13 | 75 |
| 2 | AD Fafe | 32 | 21 | 7 | 4 | 59:24 | 70 |
| 3 | Sao Martinho | 32 | 20 | 9 | 3 | 51:20 | 69 |
| 4 | Trofense | 32 | 20 | 7 | 5 | 60:24 | 67 |
| 5 | FC Felgueiras | 32 | 20 | 4 | 8 | 55:33 | 64 |
| 6 | SC Mirandela | 32 | 14 | 7 | 11 | 49:41 | 49 |
| 7 | Chaves B | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 55:41 | 47 |
| 8 | Merelinense | 32 | 10 | 12 | 10 | 38:38 | 42 |
| 9 | CDC Montalegre | 32 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 37:50 | 40 |
| 10 | Pedras Salgadas | 32 | 11 | 6 | 15 | 43:52 | 39 |
| 11 | Maria de Fonte | 32 | 9 | 10 | 13 | 41:50 | 37 |
| 12 | AD Oliveirense | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 40:55 | 37 |
| 13 | AD Limianos | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 31:45 | 37 |
| 14 | GD Uniao Torcatense | 32 | 8 | 5 | 19 | 29:60 | 29 |
| 15 | Mirandes | 32 | 5 | 6 | 21 | 26:53 | 21 |
| 16 | Cacadores Taipas | 32 | 4 | 6 | 22 | 27:64 | 18 |
| 17 | Vilaverdense FC | 32 | 4 | 3 | 25 | 28:79 | 15 |
| 18 | Gil Vicente | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |