Sport Tipps
Spielzusammenfassung
This match ends 4-1, with Caernarfon advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Siegwahrscheinlichkeits-Meter
Basierend auf 10.000 Simulationen unter Berücksichtigung von Heimvorteil & Form
90%
6%
4%
Unentschieden-Quote: 6% Favorit: Caernarfon
Modell-Vertrauen
Gesamter Indikatorwert
95%
/ Sehr Hoch Vertrauen
- Look at the last few games and Caernarfon come out ahead of Llanrug on wins alone.
- Win probability leans Caernarfon's way, sitting at 90%.
- Caernarfon have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Caernarfon, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
- Hohe Trefferquoten deuten auf ein torreiches Spiel hin (Über 2.5 Wahrscheinlichkeit: 78%).
Torwahrscheinlichkeits-Rechner
Modellschätzungen für Tormärkte basierend auf xG-Historie
Über 0.5 Tore 92%
Über 1.5 Tore 82%
Über 2.5 Tore 78%
Über 3.5 Tore 12.5%
Über 4.5 Tore 6%
Beide treffen (BTTS) 75.4%
Caernarfon Ohne Gegentor 18%
Llanrug Ohne Gegentor 10%
Formanalyse der Teams
Durchschnittswerte pro Spiel
| Metrik | Caernarfon | Llanrug |
|---|---|---|
| Spiele | 32 | 20 |
| Siege | 16 | 8 |
| Unentschieden | 5 | 0 |
| Niederlagen | 11 | 12 |
| Erzielte Tore | 1.81 | 1.85 |
| Gegentore | 1.59 | 2.95 |
| Erwartete Tore (xG) | 1.48 | 1.31 |
| Erwartete Gegentore (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historische Erfolgsquoten in Hauptmärkten
3. Okt. 2015 FAW Welsh Cup
Llanrug vs Caernarfon
2:3
12. Okt. 2013 FAW Welsh Cup
Caernarfon vs Llanrug
4:1
SokaPicks Momentum-Index
Aktueller Formindex inklusive Belastung und Gegnerstärke (0-100)
Caernarfon 85 / 100
Llanrug 10 / 100
Berechnungsgrundlage: Gewichtete Formel aus Formkurve (60%), Tordifferenzen (20%), Heimrecht (10%) und Kadertiefe (10%).
Angriffs- & Abwehrstärke
Caernarfon Llanrug
Vorhersage-Engine
Ergebnishäufigkeiten und Hauptmärkte
Haupttipp Caernarfon Win (1)
Nebentipp Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS-Prognose Yes (GG)
Über/Unter Tipp Over 2.5
Smart Insights
Vom System automatisch erkannte Muster
Caernarfon's goal record stands at 81% scoring rate across 32 recent games.
Llanrug has conceded goals in 90% of their last 20 outings.
These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.
Caernarfon went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Tor-Trends
Caernarfon VS -
1.75 Erzielte Tore 0
1.63 Kassierte Tore 0
100% Über 1.5 0%
88% Über 2.5 0%
25% Über 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Caernarfon
(Home) 31 Aug
Caernarfon
2 : 3 TNS
28 Aug
Holywell Town FC
3 : 5 Caernarfon
21 Aug
Trefelin
0 : 2 Caernarfon
15 Aug
Caernarfon
3 : 0 Colwyn Bay
07 Aug
Caernarfon
1 : 2 Penybont
Page 1 of 7
31 Aug
Caernarfon
2 : 3 TNS
15 Aug
Caernarfon
3 : 0 Colwyn Bay
07 Aug
Caernarfon
1 : 2 Penybont
09 Jul
Caernarfon
0 : 5 Levadia
18 Apr
Caernarfon
2 : 0 Penybont
Page 1 of 3
Llanrug
(Away) 18 Oct
Gresford
9 : 0 Llanrug
20 Sept
Llanrug
4 : 3 Ruthin Town
08 Oct
Llanrug
0 : 3 Gresford
16 Sept
Llandudno Amateurs
1 : 7 Llanrug
09 Nov
Mold Alexandra
8 : 1 Llanrug
Page 1 of 4
18 Oct
Gresford
9 : 0 Llanrug
16 Sept
Llandudno Amateurs
1 : 7 Llanrug
09 Nov
Mold Alexandra
8 : 1 Llanrug
02 Nov
Aberffraw
0 : 1 Llanrug
07 Oct
Llay Welfare
1 : 0 Llanrug
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
Aberystwyth -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Guilsfield 6
Machynlleth 1
Gwalchmai 2
Llanfair United 3
Rhydymwyn 2
Caerwys 1
Pwllheli 0
FC Nomads of Connahs Quay 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Afan Lido -
Cambrian United 4
Butetown FC 0
Goytre AFC 1
Pontardawe 2
Goytre Utd 3
Trefelin 1
Newcastle Emlyn 1
Chepstow Town 2
Connahs Q. -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Nefyn United 2
Penrhyndeudraeth FC 1
Denbigh 0
Caersws FC 2
Porthmadog 1
Mold Alexandra 0
Llanrug 1
Caernarfon 4
Ton Pentre 3
Fairfield United FC 0
Llwydcoed 1
Sully Sports 3
Llanidloes Town 3
Glan Conwy FC 1
Llanrhaeadr 1
Llandudno FC 5
Treharris Athletic 3
Llantwit Major 2
AFC Porth 1
Monmouth 2
Newtown -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Haverfordwest 3
West End 2
Aberaeron 1
Cardiff Metropolitan University 4
Llandrindod 3
Newport Civil Service 0
Cardiff Hibernian 0
Caerau Ely 4
Penycae FC 7
Brickfield Rangers 4
Penrhyncoch 0
Holywell Town FC 3
TNS -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Flint Town 3
Llanberis FC 1
Llanrwst United 3
Conwy Borough 4
Port Talbot -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Carmarthen Town -
Bangor City -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Rhyl -
Penybont 1
Cwmbran Celtic 0
Splott 1
Caldicot 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Airbus UK Broughton FC -
Aberdare Town 4
Treowen 2
Aberbargoed Buds 1
Briton Ferry 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Prestatyn -
Buckley 2
Llangollen 0
Chirk AAA FC 0
Rhayader 1
Tywyn Bryncrug 3
Berriew FC 2
Glantraeth FC 2
Bodedern 3
Cefn Druids 3
Holyhead 0
Coedpoeth 2
Barmouth & Dyffryn United 6
Undy 5
Presteigne St. Andrews 2
Taffs Well 0
Barry Town 1
Rhoose FC 2
Garden Village 1
Bridgend Street 1
Tata Steel 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bala -
1/32-finals
Aberystwyth -
TBD -
Guilsfield 1
Llanfair United 2
Rhydymwyn 4
FC Nomads of Connahs Quay 1
TBD -
Afan Lido -
Cambrian United 2
Pontardawe 0
Goytre Utd 0
Chepstow Town 1
Connahs Q. -
TBD -
Nefyn United 1
Caersws FC 3
Porthmadog 2
Caernarfon 1
Ton Pentre 0
Sully Sports 1
Llanidloes Town 2
Llandudno FC 0
Treharris Athletic 1
Monmouth 7
Newtown -
TBD -
Haverfordwest 1
Cardiff Metropolitan University 6
Llandrindod 4
Caerau Ely 3
Penycae FC 0
Holywell Town FC 3
TNS -
TBD -
Flint Town 2
Conwy Borough 3
Port Talbot -
TBD -
TBD -
Carmarthen Town -
Bangor City -
TBD -
TBD -
Rhyl -
Penybont 0
Caldicot 3
TBD -
Airbus UK Broughton FC -
Aberdare Town 3
Briton Ferry 2
TBD -
Prestatyn -
Buckley 1
Rhayader 0
Tywyn Bryncrug 1
Bodedern 5
Cefn Druids 3
Barmouth & Dyffryn United 1
Undy 3
Barry Town 4
Rhoose FC 1
Tata Steel 0
TBD -
Bala -
1/16-finals
Aberystwyth 4
Llanfair United 2
Rhydymwyn 0
Afan Lido 2
Cambrian United 3
Chepstow Town 1
Connahs Q. 1
Caersws FC 2
Porthmadog 2
Sully Sports 1
Llanidloes Town 1
Monmouth 2
Newtown 2
Cardiff Metropolitan University 1
Llandrindod 1
Holywell Town FC 3
TNS 2
Conwy Borough 1
Port Talbot 1
Carmarthen Town 2
Bangor City 2
Rhyl 1
Penybont 0
Airbus UK Broughton FC 2
Aberdare Town 4
Prestatyn 2
Buckley 0
Bodedern 2
Cefn Druids 5
Barry Town 2
Rhoose FC 1
Bala 6
1/8-finals
Aberystwyth 5
Afan Lido 1
Cambrian United 3
Caersws FC 4
Porthmadog 3
Monmouth 2
Newtown 2
Holywell Town FC 3
TNS 2
Carmarthen Town 0
Bangor City 0
Airbus UK Broughton FC 2
Aberdare Town 4
Bodedern 1
Cefn Druids 0
Bala 5
Quarter-finals
Aberystwyth 2
Caersws FC 1
Porthmadog 1
Holywell Town FC 2
TNS 2
Airbus UK Broughton FC 0
Aberdare Town 1
Bala 2
Semi-finals
Aberystwyth 3
Holywell Town FC 1
TNS 2
Bala 1
Final
Aberystwyth 2
TNS 3
