Sport Tipps
Caracas vs Independiente
South America
Copa Sudamericana Estadio Olímpico de la UCV, Caracas 
Spielereignisse
7'
7'
La Mantia F.
21'
21'
Palma L.
35'
35'
Mago L.
Spielzusammenfassung
First leg ended 2-3. This leg finished 1-0.
Siegwahrscheinlichkeits-Meter
Basierend auf 10.000 Simulationen unter Berücksichtigung von Heimvorteil & Form
36%
44%
20%
Unentschieden-Quote: 44% Favorit: Draw
Modell-Vertrauen
Gesamter Indikatorwert
71%
/ Mittel Vertrauen
- Form's been kind to Independiente lately — more wins on the board than Caracas.
- 44% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Independiente arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Caracas, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
- Starke Defensiven sprechen für ein kontrolliertes, torarmes Spiel.
Torwahrscheinlichkeits-Rechner
Modellschätzungen für Tormärkte basierend auf xG-Historie
Über 0.5 Tore 99%
Über 1.5 Tore 88%
Über 2.5 Tore 25%
Über 3.5 Tore 22%
Über 4.5 Tore 10%
Beide treffen (BTTS) 36.8%
Caracas Ohne Gegentor 14%
Independiente Ohne Gegentor 68%
Formanalyse der Teams
Durchschnittswerte pro Spiel
| Metrik | Caracas | Independiente |
|---|---|---|
| Spiele | 29 | 29 |
| Siege | 8 | 9 |
| Unentschieden | 12 | 4 |
| Niederlagen | 9 | 16 |
| Erzielte Tore | 1.21 | 1.28 |
| Gegentore | 1.45 | 2 |
| Erwartete Tore (xG) | 1.25 | 1.63 |
| Erwartete Gegentore (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historische Erfolgsquoten in Hauptmärkten
5. Mai 2026 Copa Sudamericana
Independiente vs Caracas
2:3
15. Apr. 2026 Copa Sudamericana
Caracas vs Independiente
1:0
Schlüsselspieler-Analyse
Top-Akteure und erwartete Torbeteiligungen
Caracas Vergleich
Top-Torschütze Correa W.
1 Tore Durchschnitt xG / Spiel 0.96
Durchschnitt xA / Spiel 0.63
Independiente Vergleich
Durchschnitt xG / Spiel 1.48
Durchschnitt xA / Spiel 0.91
SokaPicks Momentum-Index
Aktueller Formindex inklusive Belastung und Gegnerstärke (0-100)
Caracas 35 / 100
Independiente 32 / 100
Berechnungsgrundlage: Gewichtete Formel aus Formkurve (60%), Tordifferenzen (20%), Heimrecht (10%) und Kadertiefe (10%).
Angriffs- & Abwehrstärke
Caracas Independiente
Vorhersage-Engine
Ergebnishäufigkeiten und Hauptmärkte
Haupttipp Independiente Win (2)
Nebentipp Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS-Prognose No (NG)
Über/Unter Tipp Under 2.5
Smart Insights
Vom System automatisch erkannte Muster
Caracas found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (29 games).
Independiente has conceded goals in 86% of their last 29 outings.
These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.
Solid form: Caracas remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Tor-Trends
Caracas VS Independiente
1.13 Erzielte Tore 1.38
1.88 Kassierte Tore 1.38
88% Über 1.5 88%
63% Über 2.5 75%
38% Über 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Caracas
(Home) 21 Aug
Caracas
1 : 1 Carabobo
18 Aug
Yaracuyanos
2 : 3 Caracas
15 Aug
Universidad Central
0 : 1 Caracas
10 Aug
Caracas
1 : 2 Deportivo La Guaira
06 Aug
Academia Puerto Cabello
3 : 1 Caracas
Page 1 of 6
21 Aug
Caracas
1 : 1 Carabobo
10 Aug
Caracas
1 : 2 Deportivo La Guaira
03 Aug
Caracas
2 : 2 Estudiantes Merida
31 Jul
Caracas
0 : 3 Santa Fe
24 Jun
Caracas
1 : 1 Aragua
Page 1 of 4
Independiente
(Away) 22 Aug
Nacional Potosi
3 : 0 Independiente
19 Aug
Independiente
5 : 2 Blooming
17 Aug
Independiente
1 : 0 GV San Jose
08 Aug
The Strongest
1 : 2 Independiente
04 Aug
Independiente
1 : 1 Aurora
Page 1 of 6
22 Aug
Nacional Potosi
3 : 0 Independiente
08 Aug
The Strongest
1 : 2 Independiente
01 Aug
Real Oruro
0 : 3 Independiente
16 Jul
Academia del Balompie
3 : 1 Independiente
12 Jul
Tomayapo
2 : 1 Independiente
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Macara | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 6:3 | 10 |
| 2 | Tigre | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8:5 | 9 |
| 3 | America De Cali | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 6:5 | 9 |
| 4 | Alianza Atl. | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2:9 | 2 |
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico-MG | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8:6 | 10 |
| 2 | Cienciano | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5:7 | 8 |
| 3 | Juventud | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 10:7 | 7 |
| 4 | Academia Puerto Cabello | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6:9 | 7 |
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sao Paulo | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 6:1 | 12 |
| 2 | O Higgins | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8:6 | 10 |
| 3 | Millonarios | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7:7 | 8 |
| 4 | Boston River | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 5:12 | 3 |
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Recoleta | 6 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 6:5 | 8 |
| 2 | Santos | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 8:6 | 7 |
| 3 | San Lorenzo | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 6:5 | 7 |
| 4 | Dep. Cuenca | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3:7 | 6 |
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 5)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Botafogo RJ | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 15:5 | 16 |
| 2 | Caracas | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 9:9 | 9 |
| 3 | Racing Club | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 11:9 | 8 |
| 4 | Independiente | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3:15 | 0 |
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 6)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Montevideo City | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 11:5 | 13 |
| 2 | Gremio | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8:3 | 11 |
| 3 | Deportivo Riestra | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4:10 | 5 |
| 4 | Palestino | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 1:6 | 3 |
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 7)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Olimpia Asuncion | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 10:6 | 13 |
| 2 | Vasco | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10:6 | 10 |
| 3 | A. Italiano | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7:9 | 7 |
| 4 | Barracas Central | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2:8 | 3 |
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 8)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | River Plate | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 9:3 | 14 |
| 2 | Bragantino | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 12:5 | 10 |
| 3 | Carabobo | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 6:5 | 9 |
| 4 | Blooming | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3:17 | 1 |
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)
