Sport Tipps
Spielereignisse
21'
21'
Ashford C.
45'
45'
Colwill R.
46'
46'
Wechsel
Wright W. Rein: Clarke O.
Raus: Wright W.
Spielzusammenfassung
Cardiff in this EFL Cup 2025/2026 tie, finishing 2-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Siegwahrscheinlichkeits-Meter
Basierend auf 10.000 Simulationen unter Berücksichtigung von Heimvorteil & Form
50%
28%
22%
Unentschieden-Quote: 28% Favorit: Cardiff
Modell-Vertrauen
Gesamter Indikatorwert
76%
/ Hoch Vertrauen
- Cardiff have won more games recently than Swindon.
- Cardiff are the model's pick here, at 50%.
- Cardiff have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Cardiff, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- Hohe Trefferquoten deuten auf ein torreiches Spiel hin (Über 2.5 Wahrscheinlichkeit: 78%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and Cardiff have taken 4 of them.
Torwahrscheinlichkeits-Rechner
Modellschätzungen für Tormärkte basierend auf xG-Historie
Über 0.5 Tore 92%
Über 1.5 Tore 82%
Über 2.5 Tore 78%
Über 3.5 Tore 75.5%
Über 4.5 Tore 34%
Beide treffen (BTTS) 75.8%
Cardiff Ohne Gegentor 15%
Swindon Ohne Gegentor 10%
Formanalyse der Teams
Durchschnittswerte pro Spiel
| Metrik | Cardiff | Swindon |
|---|---|---|
| Spiele | 29 | 29 |
| Siege | 16 | 13 |
| Unentschieden | 8 | 5 |
| Niederlagen | 5 | 11 |
| Erzielte Tore | 3.5 | 1.13 |
| Gegentore | 2 | 2.13 |
| Erwartete Tore (xG) | 3.50 | 1.13 |
| Erwartete Gegentore (xGA) | 2.00 | 2.13 |
H2H
Historische Erfolgsquoten in Hauptmärkten
12. Aug. 2025 EFL Cup
Cardiff vs Swindon
2:1
23. Juli 2022 Club Friendly
Swindon vs Cardiff
2:4
1. Jan. 2003 League One
Cardiff vs Swindon
1:1
24. Aug. 2002 League One
Swindon vs Cardiff
0:1
9. Feb. 2002 League One
Cardiff vs Swindon
3:0
Schlüsselspieler-Analyse
Top-Akteure und erwartete Torbeteiligungen
Cardiff Vergleich
Top-Torschütze Ashford C.
1 Tore Top-Vorlagengeber Colwill R.
1 Ast
Durchschnitt xG / Spiel 2.69
Durchschnitt xA / Spiel 1.75
Swindon Vergleich
Top-Torschütze Ehibhatiomhan P.
1 Tore Durchschnitt xG / Spiel 1.03
Durchschnitt xA / Spiel 0.63
SokaPicks Momentum-Index
Aktueller Formindex inklusive Belastung und Gegnerstärke (0-100)
Cardiff 48 / 100
Swindon 22 / 100
Berechnungsgrundlage: Gewichtete Formel aus Formkurve (60%), Tordifferenzen (20%), Heimrecht (10%) und Kadertiefe (10%).
Angriffs- & Abwehrstärke
Cardiff Swindon
Vorhersage-Engine
Ergebnishäufigkeiten und Hauptmärkte
Haupttipp CAR Win (1)
Nebentipp Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS-Prognose Yes (GG)
Über/Unter Tipp Over 2.5
Smart Insights
Vom System automatisch erkannte Muster
Cardiff scored in 86% of their last 29 games.
Swindon has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.
Games between these two average 3.00 goals.
Cardiff has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Tor-Trends
Cardiff VS Swindon
3.5 Erzielte Tore 1.13
2 Kassierte Tore 2.13
88% Über 1.5 75%
88% Über 2.5 75%
88% Über 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Cardiff
(Home) 01 Aug
Cardiff
4 : 1 AS Roma
25 Jul
Forest Green
1 : 5 Cardiff
14 Jul
Cork City
1 : 6 Cardiff
11 Jul
Cardiff
0 : 6 Midtjylland
02 May
Mansfield
5 : 4 Cardiff
Page 1 of 6
01 Aug
Cardiff
4 : 1 AS Roma
11 Jul
Cardiff
0 : 6 Midtjylland
25 Apr
Cardiff
5 : 1 Northampton
22 Apr
Cardiff
1 : 0 Port Vale
11 Apr
Cardiff
2 : 0 Bolton
Page 1 of 3
Swindon
(Away) 01 Aug
Forest Green
1 : 4 Swindon
28 Jul
Swindon
2 : 1 Leyton Orient
25 Jul
Swindon
1 : 3 Bristol City
18 Jul
Crystal Palace
5 : 1 Swindon
14 Jul
Swindon
0 : 1 Chippenham Town
Page 1 of 6
01 Aug
Forest Green
1 : 4 Swindon
18 Jul
Crystal Palace
5 : 1 Swindon
25 Apr
Grimsby
4 : 0 Swindon
10 Apr
Colchester
3 : 0 Swindon
02 Apr
Cambridge Utd
1 : 1 Swindon
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
Barrow 0
Preston 1
Wrexham 4
Hull City 3
Portsmouth 1
Reading 2
Gillingham 1
AFC Wimbledon 2
Burnley -
TBD -
West Brom 1
Derby 2
Cardiff 2
Swindon 1
Cheltenham 2
Exeter 0
Wolves -
TBD -
TBD -
West Ham -
Everton -
TBD -
Chesterfield 0
Mansfield 2
Tranmere 1
Burton 2
Harrogate 1
Lincoln City 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Chelsea -
Birmingham 2
Sheffield Utd 1
Blackpool 0
Port Vale 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Arsenal -
Barnsley 3
Fleetwood Town 2
Salford 0
Rotherham 1
Oxford Utd 1
Colchester 0
TBD -
Brighton -
Liverpool -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Watford 1
Norwich 2
Northampton 0
Southampton 1
Crystal Palace -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Newport 0
Millwall 1
Coventry 1
Luton 0
Newcastle Utd -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Stoke City 1
Walsall 0
Blackburn 1
Bradford City 2
Tottenham -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Accrington 2
Peterborough 1
Middlesbrough 0
Doncaster 4
Wigan 1
Notts County 0
Stockport County 3
Crewe 1
Bromley 2
Ipswich 1
Leyton Orient 0
Wycombe 1
Fulham -
TBD -
Bristol City 2
Milton Keynes Dons 0
Bristol Rovers 0
Cambridge Utd 2
Charlton 3
Stevenage 1
Swansea 3
Crawley Town 1
Plymouth 3
QPR 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Nottingham -
Sunderland -
TBD -
Huddersfield 3
Leicester 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Manchester City -
Bolton 3
Sheffield Wed 4
TBD -
Leeds -
Grimsby 3
Shrewsbury 1
TBD -
Manchester United -
Bournemouth -
TBD -
TBD -
Brentford -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Aston Villa -
1/32-finals
Preston 2
Wrexham 3
Reading 2
AFC Wimbledon 1
Burnley 2
Derby 1
Cardiff 3
Cheltenham 0
Wolves 3
West Ham 2
Everton 2
Mansfield 0
Burton 0
Lincoln City 1
TBD -
Chelsea -
Birmingham 0
Port Vale 1
TBD -
Arsenal -
Barnsley 2
Rotherham 1
Oxford Utd 0
Brighton 6
Liverpool -
TBD -
Norwich 0
Southampton 3
Crystal Palace -
TBD -
Millwall 2
Coventry 1
Newcastle Utd -
TBD -
Stoke City 0
Bradford City 3
Tottenham -
TBD -
Accrington 0
Doncaster 2
Wigan 1
Stockport County 0
Bromley 1
Wycombe 2
Fulham 2
Bristol City 0
Cambridge Utd 3
Charlton 1
Swansea 2
Plymouth 1
TBD -
Nottingham -
Sunderland 1
Huddersfield 2
TBD -
Manchester City -
Sheffield Wed 2
Leeds 1
Grimsby 3
Manchester United 2
Bournemouth 0
Brentford 2
TBD -
Aston Villa -
1/16-finals
Wrexham 2
Reading 0
Burnley 1
Cardiff 2
Wolves 2
Everton 0
Lincoln City 1
Chelsea 2
Port Vale 0
Arsenal 2
Barnsley 0
Brighton 6
Liverpool 2
Southampton 1
Crystal Palace 2
Millwall 1
Newcastle Utd 4
Bradford City 1
Tottenham 3
Doncaster 0
Wigan 0
Wycombe 2
Fulham 1
Cambridge Utd 0
Swansea 3
Nottingham 2
Huddersfield 0
Manchester City 2
Sheffield Wed 0
Grimsby 1
Brentford 2
Aston Villa 1
1/8-finals
Wrexham 1
Cardiff 2
Wolves 3
Chelsea 4
Arsenal 2
Brighton 0
Liverpool 0
Crystal Palace 3
Newcastle Utd 2
Tottenham 0
Wycombe 1
Fulham 2
Swansea 1
Manchester City 3
Grimsby 0
Brentford 5
Quarter-finals
Cardiff 1
Chelsea 3
Arsenal 2
Crystal Palace 1
Newcastle Utd 2
Fulham 1
Manchester City 2
Brentford 0
Semi-finals
Chelsea 2
Arsenal 4
Newcastle Utd 1
Manchester City 5
Final
Arsenal 0
Manchester City 2
