Sport Tipps
Castrumfavara vs AS Acireale - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Italien
Serie D - Group I 2025/2026 
Spielereignisse
4'
4'
Cozza W.
62'
62'
Varela I.
Spielzusammenfassung
Neither side could be separated in this Serie D - Group I 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Siegwahrscheinlichkeits-Meter
Basierend auf 10.000 Simulationen unter Berücksichtigung von Heimvorteil & Form
31%
40%
29%
Unentschieden-Quote: 40% Favorit: Draw
Modell-Vertrauen
Gesamter Indikatorwert
66%
/ Mittel Vertrauen
- AS Acireale haven't matched Castrumfavara's recent run of results.
- Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Starke Defensiven sprechen für ein kontrolliertes, torarmes Spiel.
Torwahrscheinlichkeits-Rechner
Modellschätzungen für Tormärkte basierend auf xG-Historie
Über 0.5 Tore 92%
Über 1.5 Tore 82%
Über 2.5 Tore 38%
Über 3.5 Tore 22%
Über 4.5 Tore 10%
Beide treffen (BTTS) 75%
Castrumfavara Ohne Gegentor 20%
AS Acireale Ohne Gegentor 10%
Formanalyse der Teams
Durchschnittswerte pro Spiel
| Metrik | Castrumfavara | AS Acireale |
|---|---|---|
| Spiele | 29 | 30 |
| Siege | 8 | 7 |
| Unentschieden | 5 | 11 |
| Niederlagen | 16 | 12 |
| Erzielte Tore | 1.1 | 1.13 |
| Gegentore | 1.52 | 1.4 |
| Erwartete Tore (xG) | 1.56 | 0.88 |
| Erwartete Gegentore (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historische Erfolgsquoten in Hauptmärkten
2. Apr. 2026 Serie D - Group I
Castrumfavara vs AS Acireale
1:1
23. Nov. 2025 Serie D - Group I
AS Acireale vs Castrumfavara
1:2
12. Jan. 2025 Serie D - Group I
Castrumfavara vs AS Acireale
1:0
15. Sept. 2024 Serie D - Group I
AS Acireale vs Castrumfavara
1:0
Schlüsselspieler-Analyse
Top-Akteure und erwartete Torbeteiligungen
Castrumfavara Vergleich
Top-Torschütze Varela I.
1 Tore Durchschnitt xG / Spiel 1.2
Durchschnitt xA / Spiel 0.78
AS Acireale Vergleich
Top-Torschütze Cozza W.
1 Tore Durchschnitt xG / Spiel 0.8
Durchschnitt xA / Spiel 0.49
SokaPicks Momentum-Index
Aktueller Formindex inklusive Belastung und Gegnerstärke (0-100)
Castrumfavara 32 / 100
AS Acireale 28 / 100
Berechnungsgrundlage: Gewichtete Formel aus Formkurve (60%), Tordifferenzen (20%), Heimrecht (10%) und Kadertiefe (10%).
Angriffs- & Abwehrstärke
Castrumfavara AS Acireale
Vorhersage-Engine
Ergebnishäufigkeiten und Hauptmärkte
Haupttipp Draw (X)
Nebentipp Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS-Prognose Yes (GG)
Über/Unter Tipp Under 2.5
Smart Insights
Vom System automatisch erkannte Muster
AS Acireale has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.
Castrumfavara's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Games between these two average 1.75 goals.
Difficult form: AS Acireale registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.
Tor-Trends
Castrumfavara VS AS Acireale
2.25 Erzielte Tore 0.5
1.25 Kassierte Tore 0.88
100% Über 1.5 38%
88% Über 2.5 25%
50% Über 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Castrumfavara
(Home) 04 Oct
Lamezia
2 : 0 Castrumfavara
27 Sept
Castrumfavara
0 : 1 Calcio Avola
20 Sept
ASD Modica Calcio
1 : 0 Castrumfavara
16 Sept
Castrumfavara
1 : 1 Licata
13 Sept
Gela
2 : 1 Castrumfavara
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
Castrumfavara
0 : 1 Calcio Avola
16 Sept
Castrumfavara
1 : 1 Licata
06 Sept
Castrumfavara
3 : 0 Milazzo
03 May
Castrumfavara
2 : 2 Enna
19 Apr
Castrumfavara
3 : 1 Gela
Page 1 of 3
AS Acireale
(Away) 10 May
Vibonese
1 : 0 AS Acireale
03 May
Vibonese
1 : 0 AS Acireale
26 Apr
AS Acireale
0 : 0 USD Ragusa
19 Apr
Gelbison
2 : 1 AS Acireale
12 Apr
AS Acireale
0 : 0 Nissa
Page 1 of 6
10 May
Vibonese
1 : 0 AS Acireale
03 May
Vibonese
1 : 0 AS Acireale
19 Apr
Gelbison
2 : 1 AS Acireale
02 Apr
Castrumfavara
1 : 1 AS Acireale
21 Mar
Reggina
0 : 1 AS Acireale
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | A.C. Savoia | 34 | 20 | 9 | 5 | 63:29 | 69 |
| 2 | Nissa | 34 | 19 | 10 | 5 | 51:27 | 67 |
| 3 | Reggina | 34 | 20 | 6 | 8 | 44:23 | 66 |
| 4 | Athletic Palermo | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 59:47 | 60 |
| 5 | Gelbison | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 44:32 | 60 |
| 6 | Sambiase | 34 | 14 | 11 | 9 | 38:30 | 53 |
| 7 | Igea Virtus | 34 | 15 | 13 | 6 | 49:36 | 53 |
| 8 | Milazzo | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 31:36 | 44 |
| 9 | Gela | 34 | 13 | 5 | 16 | 41:44 | 43 |
| 10 | Lamezia | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 43:35 | 42 |
| 11 | Castrumfavara | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 38:47 | 38 |
| 12 | Enna | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 50:53 | 36 |
| 13 | Vibonese | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 32:47 | 35 |
| 14 | USD Ragusa | 34 | 7 | 13 | 14 | 23:34 | 34 |
| 15 | ACR Messina | 34 | 11 | 13 | 10 | 28:33 | 32 |
| 16 | AS Acireale | 34 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 37:50 | 32 |
| 17 | Sancataldese | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 31:49 | 29 |
| 18 | Paterno | 34 | 4 | 7 | 23 | 22:72 | 19 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group I 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group I 2025/2026 (Play Out)
