Sport Tipps

Stadium Background

Celoricense vs Mafra

Portugal Portugal

Taça de Portugal 2025/2026
So., 21. Sept. 2025
1 - 0
02:00 PM
Unser Tipp

Spielereignisse

85'
Martim F.
97' Event
Padi J.
(Elfmeter)

Spielzusammenfassung

This match ends 1-0, with Celoricense advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Siegwahrscheinlichkeits-Meter

Basierend auf 10.000 Simulationen unter Berücksichtigung von Heimvorteil & Form

22%
Celoricense
28%
Unentschieden
50%
Mafra
Unentschieden-Quote: 28% Favorit: Mafra

Modell-Vertrauen

Gesamter Indikatorwert

76% / Hoch Vertrauen
  • Celoricense carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Mafra's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Celoricense have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Celoricense, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • Starke Defensiven sprechen für ein kontrolliertes, torarmes Spiel.

Torwahrscheinlichkeits-Rechner

Modellschätzungen für Tormärkte basierend auf xG-Historie

Über 0.5 Tore 85%
Über 1.5 Tore 56.5%
Über 2.5 Tore 25%
Über 3.5 Tore 22%
Über 4.5 Tore 10%
Beide treffen (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Celoricense Ohne Gegentor 24%
Mafra Ohne Gegentor 68%

Formanalyse der Teams

Durchschnittswerte pro Spiel

Metrik Celoricense Mafra
Spiele 29 28
Siege 13 12
Unentschieden 9 6
Niederlagen 7 10
Erzielte Tore 1.28 1.54
Gegentore 0.93 1.39
Erwartete Tore (xG) 1.31 0.94
Erwartete Gegentore (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historische Erfolgsquoten in Hauptmärkten

21. Sept. 2025 Taça de Portugal
Celoricense vs Mafra
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum-Index

Aktueller Formindex inklusive Belastung und Gegnerstärke (0-100)

Celoricense 25 / 100
Mafra 59 / 100
Berechnungsgrundlage: Gewichtete Formel aus Formkurve (60%), Tordifferenzen (20%), Heimrecht (10%) und Kadertiefe (10%).

Angriffs- & Abwehrstärke

ANGRIFF ABWEHR BALLBESITZ DISZIPLIN
Celoricense Mafra

Vorhersage-Engine

Ergebnishäufigkeiten und Hauptmärkte

Haupttipp Mafra Win (2)
Nebentipp Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS-Prognose No (NG)
Über/Unter Tipp Under 2.5

Smart Insights

Vom System automatisch erkannte Muster

Celoricense scored in 66% of their last 29 games.

Mafra has conceded goals in 68% of their last 28 outings.

Celoricense has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Tor-Trends

Celoricense VS Mafra
0.75 Erzielte Tore 1.63
0.25 Kassierte Tore 1.88
25% Über 1.5 88%
25% Über 2.5 63%
0% Über 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Celoricense

(Home)
18 Apr
Camacha
1 : 2
Celoricense
12 Apr
Celoricense
0 : 0
Machico
04 Apr
Brito
0 : 1
Celoricense
22 Mar
Celoricense
0 : 0
Sao Martinho
15 Mar
SC Vianense
3 : 0
Celoricense
Page 1 of 6

Mafra

(Away)
08 Aug
Mafra
5 : 0
Vitoria Sernache
01 Aug
Mafra
1 : 2
Sintrense
25 Jul
Mafra
1 : 0
Alverca
15 Jul
Fredericia
3 : 2
Mafra
11 Jul
Esbjerg
0 : 2
Mafra
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
Florgrade 0
SC Espinho 1
TBD -
Almodovar -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Santa Clara -
Industria 1
Juv. Evora 0
SC Salgueiros 4
AD Pontassolense 2
Trofense 5
Varzim 1
Valenciano 1
SC Vianense 4
GD Os Nazarenos 1
GD Sourense 0
TBD -
Pacos Ferreira -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sporting CP -
Moncarapachense 3
Viana Alentejo 0
Castro Daire 1
Anadia 2
Marinhense 2
Samora Correia 1
TBD -
Mosteirense -
Uniao Lamas -
TBD -
Urzelinense 0
Malveira 6
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vitoria Guimaraes -
Carregal do Sal 1
Mortagua FC 2
Academica 0
Os Marialvas 1
Portimonense B -
TBD -
TBD -
Penafiel -
Fornos de Algodres -
TBD -
Charneca Caparica 1
Montijo 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
AFS -
Portalegrense -
TBD -
TBD -
Academico Viseu -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Gil Vicente -
Celoricense 1
CD Celeiros 0
TBD -
Mafra -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FC Porto -
Sintrense -
TBD -
TBD -
Vizela -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Rio Ave -
CF Os Belenenses 1
Amora 0
TBD -
Maritimo -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Estoril -
Sao Joao de Ver -
TBD -
Vasco da Gama Vidigueira 2
Lagoa 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Famalicao -
Cinfaes 0
AD Marco 09 1
SC Lusitania 0
O Elvas CAD 3
Vidago -
TBD -
TBD -
SC Farense -
Silves FC -
TBD -
TBD -
Oliveira Hospital -
Louletano -
TBD -
TBD -
Operario -
Atletico CP -
TBD -
Rebordosa 2
Leca 0
Sanjoanense -
TBD -
TBD -
FC Felgueiras -
Paredes -
TBD -
TBD -
Chaves -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Benfica -
UD Ovarense 7
SC Celoricense 1
TBD -
Covilha -
Uniao Nogueirense -
TBD -
TBD -
Aguias do Moradal -
CD Lajense 1
Lusitano GC 7
Serpa 3
Portel 0
Fayal 0
Olivais e Moscavide 5
TBD -
Uniao Da Serra -
Oriental 2
GD Alcochetense 1
TBD -
AD Fafe -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Moreirense -
Vitoria Sernache -
TBD -
TBD -
Portimonense -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Arouca -
Sao Martinho 1
Machico 2
SC Vila Real 3
Camacha 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Tondela -
Caldas SC 4
AD Portomosense 0
TBD -
Fatima -
Fazendense -
TBD -
TBD -
SC Mirandela -
GD Braganca -
TBD -
Maria de Fonte 1
Brito 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Braga -
Rebordelo -
TBD -
CD Gouveia 4
Beira Mar 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Nacional -
FC Alpendorada -
TBD -
TBD -
Estrela Calheta -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Estrela da Amadora -
Anca -
TBD -
TBD -
Vinhais -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Casa Pia -
Castrense 1
CDR Quarteirense 0
TBD -
Lusitania FC -
GD Resende -
TBD -
TBD -
Feirense -
Correlha 2
Valpacos 0
TBD -
Torreense -
Vilaverdense FC 0
Desportivo Moncao 1
TBD -
Oliveirense -
AD Limianos -
TBD -
Aparecida 1
Vila Mea 3
Vila Caiz 1
CD Ribeira Brava 0
TBD -
Electrico FC -
Tirsense 1
Amarante FC 2
TBD -
Santarem -
Naval 1893 3
Ac. Fundao 0
TBD -
Leixoes -
GD Peniche 8
Ferreira do Zezere 0
Lajense 0
1º Dezembro 1
SB Castelo Branco -
TBD -
TBD -
SC Angrense -
Sacavenense 7
CD Rabo Peixe 0
TBD -
Leiria -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Alverca -
1/64-finals
SC Espinho 5
Almodovar 1
TBD -
Santa Clara -
Industria 4
SC Salgueiros 2
Trofense 2
SC Vianense 3
GD Os Nazarenos 0
Pacos Ferreira 1
TBD -
Sporting CP -
Moncarapachense 1
Anadia 2
Marinhense 6
Mosteirense 0
Uniao Lamas 2
Malveira 1
TBD -
Vitoria Guimaraes -
Mortagua FC 1
Os Marialvas 0
Portimonense B 2
Penafiel 1
Fornos de Algodres 3
Charneca Caparica 1
TBD -
AFS -
Portalegrense 0
Academico Viseu 3
TBD -
Gil Vicente -
Celoricense 1
Mafra 0
TBD -
FC Porto -
Sintrense 2
Vizela 1
TBD -
Rio Ave -
CF Os Belenenses 2
Maritimo 0
TBD -
Estoril -
Sao Joao de Ver 6
Vasco da Gama Vidigueira 2
TBD -
Famalicao -
AD Marco 09 1
O Elvas CAD 0
Vidago 0
SC Farense 2
Silves FC 3
Oliveira Hospital 2
Louletano 5
Operario 0
Atletico CP 1
Rebordosa 0
Sanjoanense 0
FC Felgueiras 4
Paredes 0
Chaves 2
TBD -
Benfica -
UD Ovarense 2
Covilha 3
Uniao Nogueirense 1
Aguias do Moradal 0
Lusitano GC 1
Serpa 0
Olivais e Moscavide 2
Uniao Da Serra 0
Oriental 0
AD Fafe 1
TBD -
Moreirense -
Vitoria Sernache 1
Portimonense 2
TBD -
Arouca -
Machico 0
SC Vila Real 2
TBD -
Tondela -
Caldas SC 3
Fatima 0
Fazendense 1
SC Mirandela 2
GD Braganca 5
Brito 0
TBD -
Braga -
Rebordelo 3
CD Gouveia 2
TBD -
Nacional -
FC Alpendorada 7
Estrela Calheta 1
TBD -
Estrela da Amadora -
Anca 3
Vinhais 1
TBD -
Casa Pia -
Castrense 0
Lusitania FC 5
GD Resende 1
Feirense 0
Correlha 1
Torreense 3
Desportivo Moncao 1
Oliveirense 3
AD Limianos 0
Vila Mea 4
Vila Caiz 3
Electrico FC 2
Amarante FC 2
Santarem 0
Naval 1893 0
Leixoes 1
GD Peniche 4
1º Dezembro 5
SB Castelo Branco 7
SC Angrense 1
Sacavenense 2
Leiria 4
TBD -
Alverca -
1/32-finals
SC Espinho 0
Santa Clara 1
Industria 3
SC Vianense 0
Pacos Ferreira 2
Sporting CP 3
Anadia 0
Marinhense 1
Uniao Lamas 0
Vitoria Guimaraes 1
Mortagua FC 2
Portimonense B 0
Fornos de Algodres 0
AFS 7
Academico Viseu 2
Gil Vicente 1
Celoricense 0
FC Porto 4
Sintrense 3
Rio Ave 2
CF Os Belenenses 1
Estoril 2
Sao Joao de Ver 0
Famalicao 3
AD Marco 09 0
SC Farense 3
Silves FC 2
Louletano 1
Atletico CP 2
FC Felgueiras 0
Chaves 0
Benfica 2
Covilha 1
Uniao Nogueirense 0
Lusitano GC 4
Olivais e Moscavide 1
AD Fafe 1
Moreirense 0
Portimonense 1
Arouca 2
SC Vila Real 1
Tondela 5
Caldas SC 1
SC Mirandela 0
GD Braganca 0
Braga 1
Rebordelo 1
Nacional 3
FC Alpendorada 3
Estrela da Amadora 1
Anca 0
Casa Pia 3
Lusitania FC 2
GD Resende 0
Torreense 2
Oliveirense 1
Vila Mea 1
Vila Caiz 0
Amarante FC 1
Leixoes 2
1º Dezembro 2
SB Castelo Branco 1
Leiria 3
Alverca 2
1/16-finals
Santa Clara 3
Industria 0
Sporting CP 3
Marinhense 0
Vitoria Guimaraes 4
Mortagua FC 0
AFS 1
Academico Viseu 0
FC Porto 3
Sintrense 0
Estoril 1
Famalicao 2
SC Farense 5
Silves FC 1
Atletico CP 0
Benfica 2
Covilha 0
Lusitano GC 2
AD Fafe 2
Arouca 1
Tondela 0
Caldas SC 1
Braga 4
Nacional 2
FC Alpendorada 0
Casa Pia 3
Lusitania FC 0
Torreense 1
Vila Mea 2
Leixoes 1
1º Dezembro 1
Leiria 3
1/8-finals
Santa Clara 2
Sporting CP 3
Vitoria Guimaraes 0
AFS 1
FC Porto 4
Famalicao 1
SC Farense 0
Benfica 2
Lusitano GC 0
AD Fafe 1
Caldas SC 0
Braga 3
Casa Pia 1
Torreense 2
Vila Mea 0
Leiria 1
Quarter-finals
Sporting CP 3
AFS 2
FC Porto 1
Benfica 0
AD Fafe 2
Braga 1
Torreense 3
Leiria 1
Semi-finals
Sporting CP 1
FC Porto 0
AD Fafe 1
Torreense 3
Final
Sporting CP 1
Torreense 2