Sport Tipps
Spielereignisse
18'
18'
Rios R.
Vorlage: Garnacho A.
Own Goal
34'
34'
Barrenechea E.
45'
45'
Fernandez E.
Spielzusammenfassung
The Champions League 2025/2026 game between Chelsea and Benfica finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Chelsea.
Siegwahrscheinlichkeits-Meter
Basierend auf 10.000 Simulationen unter Berücksichtigung von Heimvorteil & Form
9%
11%
80%
Unentschieden-Quote: 11% Favorit: Benfica
Modell-Vertrauen
Gesamter Indikatorwert
93%
/ Sehr Hoch Vertrauen
- Chelsea haven't matched Benfica's recent run of results.
- Benfica are the model's pick here, at 80%.
- European nights carry their own weight — this Champions League 2025/2026 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
- Hohe Trefferquoten deuten auf ein torreiches Spiel hin (Über 2.5 Wahrscheinlichkeit: 78%).
- Chelsea have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Torwahrscheinlichkeits-Rechner
Modellschätzungen für Tormärkte basierend auf xG-Historie
Über 0.5 Tore 92%
Über 1.5 Tore 82%
Über 2.5 Tore 78%
Über 3.5 Tore 44%
Über 4.5 Tore 20%
Beide treffen (BTTS) 75.8%
Chelsea Ohne Gegentor 10%
Benfica Ohne Gegentor 10%
Formanalyse der Teams
Durchschnittswerte pro Spiel
| Metrik | Chelsea | Benfica |
|---|---|---|
| Spiele | 27 | 29 |
| Siege | 10 | 18 |
| Unentschieden | 4 | 7 |
| Niederlagen | 13 | 4 |
| Erzielte Tore | 1.85 | 2.55 |
| Gegentore | 1.74 | 1 |
| Erwartete Tore (xG) | 1.56 | 2.13 |
| Erwartete Gegentore (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historische Erfolgsquoten in Hauptmärkten
30. Sept. 2025 Champions League
Chelsea vs Benfica
1:0
28. Juni 2025 FIFA Club World Cup
Benfica vs Chelsea
1:4
15. Mai 2013 Europa League
Benfica vs Chelsea
1:2
4. Apr. 2012 Champions League
Chelsea vs Benfica
2:1
27. März 2012 Champions League
Benfica vs Chelsea
0:1
SokaPicks Momentum-Index
Aktueller Formindex inklusive Belastung und Gegnerstärke (0-100)
Chelsea 10 / 100
Benfica 74 / 100
Berechnungsgrundlage: Gewichtete Formel aus Formkurve (60%), Tordifferenzen (20%), Heimrecht (10%) und Kadertiefe (10%).
Angriffs- & Abwehrstärke
Chelsea Benfica
Vorhersage-Engine
Ergebnishäufigkeiten und Hauptmärkte
Haupttipp Benfica Win (2)
Nebentipp Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS-Prognose Yes (GG)
Über/Unter Tipp Over 2.5
Smart Insights
Vom System automatisch erkannte Muster
Chelsea's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 27 recent games.
Benfica let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.
These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.
Solid form: Chelsea remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Tor-Trends
Chelsea VS Benfica
2 Erzielte Tore 2.88
1.38 Kassierte Tore 1.13
63% Über 1.5 100%
63% Über 2.5 75%
38% Über 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Chelsea
(Home) 15 Aug
Chelsea
3 : 1 Real Sociedad
09 Aug
Johor DT
3 : 3 Chelsea
08 Aug
Chelsea
3 : 0 AC Milan
05 Aug
Chelsea
0 : 1 Juventus
01 Aug
Chelsea
1 : 2 Tottenham
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15 Aug
Chelsea
3 : 1 Real Sociedad
08 Aug
Chelsea
3 : 0 AC Milan
05 Aug
Chelsea
0 : 1 Juventus
01 Aug
Chelsea
1 : 2 Tottenham
28 Jul
Chelsea
6 : 4 Western Sydney Wanderers
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Benfica
(Away) 20 Aug
Benfica
3 : 1 Aarhus
17 Aug
Casa Pia
0 : 7 Benfica
13 Aug
Hearts
1 : 1 Benfica
09 Aug
Benfica
2 : 2 Academico Viseu
06 Aug
Benfica
6 : 1 Hearts
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17 Aug
Casa Pia
0 : 7 Benfica
13 Aug
Hearts
1 : 1 Benfica
23 Jul
St. Gallen
2 : 1 Benfica
16 May
Estoril
1 : 3 Benfica
02 May
Famalicao
2 : 2 Benfica
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 23:4 | 24 |
| 2 | Bayern Munich | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 22:8 | 21 |
| 3 | Liverpool | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 20:8 | 18 |
| 4 | Tottenham | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 17:7 | 17 |
| 5 | Barcelona | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 22:14 | 16 |
| 6 | Chelsea | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 17:10 | 16 |
| 7 | Sporting CP | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 17:11 | 16 |
| 8 | Manchester City | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 15:9 | 16 |
| 9 | Real Madrid | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 21:12 | 15 |
| 10 | Inter | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 15:7 | 15 |
| 11 | PSG | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 21:11 | 14 |
| 12 | Newcastle Utd | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 17:7 | 14 |
| 13 | Juventus | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 14:10 | 13 |
| 14 | Atl. Madrid | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 17:15 | 13 |
| 15 | Atalanta | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 10:10 | 13 |
| 16 | Bayer Leverkusen | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 13:14 | 12 |
| 17 | Dortmund | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 19:17 | 11 |
| 18 | Olympiacos Piraeus | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10:14 | 11 |
| 19 | Club Brugge | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 15:17 | 10 |
| 20 | Galatasaray | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 9:11 | 10 |
| 21 | Monaco | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 8:14 | 10 |
| 22 | Qarabag Agdam | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 13:21 | 10 |
| 23 | Bodo/Glimt | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 14:15 | 9 |
| 24 | Benfica | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 10:12 | 9 |
| 25 | Marseille | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 11:14 | 9 |
| 26 | Pafos | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8:11 | 9 |
| 27 | Royale Union SG | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 8:17 | 9 |
| 28 | PSV | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 16:16 | 8 |
| 29 | Ath Bilbao | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9:14 | 8 |
| 30 | Napoli | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9:15 | 8 |
| 31 | FC Copenhagen | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 12:21 | 8 |
| 32 | Ajax | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 8:21 | 6 |
| 33 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 10:21 | 4 |
| 34 | Slavia Prague | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 5:19 | 3 |
| 35 | Villarreal | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5:18 | 1 |
| 36 | Kairat Almaty | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 7:22 | 1 |
Promotion - Champions League 2025/2026 (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - Champions League 2025/2026 (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)
