Sport Tipps
Spielereignisse
11'
11'
Spielzusammenfassung
The Liga Premier Serie A 2025/2026 game between Ciervos and Lobos ULMX finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ciervos.
Siegwahrscheinlichkeits-Meter
Basierend auf 10.000 Simulationen unter Berücksichtigung von Heimvorteil & Form
18%
22%
60%
Unentschieden-Quote: 22% Favorit: Lobos ULMX
Modell-Vertrauen
Gesamter Indikatorwert
82%
/ Sehr Hoch Vertrauen
- Ciervos haven't matched Lobos ULMX's recent run of results.
- Model gives Lobos ULMX a 60% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Hohe Trefferquoten deuten auf ein torreiches Spiel hin (Über 2.5 Wahrscheinlichkeit: 78%).
Torwahrscheinlichkeits-Rechner
Modellschätzungen für Tormärkte basierend auf xG-Historie
Über 0.5 Tore 92%
Über 1.5 Tore 82%
Über 2.5 Tore 78%
Über 3.5 Tore 37.5%
Über 4.5 Tore 17%
Beide treffen (BTTS) 70.2%
Ciervos Ohne Gegentor 13%
Lobos ULMX Ohne Gegentor 13%
Formanalyse der Teams
Durchschnittswerte pro Spiel
| Metrik | Ciervos | Lobos ULMX |
|---|---|---|
| Spiele | 29 | 30 |
| Siege | 5 | 12 |
| Unentschieden | 4 | 8 |
| Niederlagen | 20 | 10 |
| Erzielte Tore | 0.79 | 1.27 |
| Gegentore | 2.17 | 1.1 |
| Erwartete Tore (xG) | 1.13 | 1.69 |
| Erwartete Gegentore (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historische Erfolgsquoten in Hauptmärkten
17. Jan. 2026 Liga Premier Serie A
Ciervos vs Lobos ULMX
1:0
31. Aug. 2025 Liga Premier Serie A
Lobos ULMX vs Ciervos
2:0
SokaPicks Momentum-Index
Aktueller Formindex inklusive Belastung und Gegnerstärke (0-100)
Ciervos 19 / 100
Lobos ULMX 57 / 100
Berechnungsgrundlage: Gewichtete Formel aus Formkurve (60%), Tordifferenzen (20%), Heimrecht (10%) und Kadertiefe (10%).
Angriffs- & Abwehrstärke
Ciervos Lobos ULMX
Vorhersage-Engine
Ergebnishäufigkeiten und Hauptmärkte
Haupttipp Lobos ULMX Win (2)
Nebentipp Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS-Prognose Yes (GG)
Über/Unter Tipp Over 2.5
Smart Insights
Vom System automatisch erkannte Muster
Defensive concern: Lobos ULMX conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.
These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.
Ciervos scored in 59% of their last 29 games.
Solid form: Ciervos remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.
Tor-Trends
Ciervos VS Lobos ULMX
1.25 Erzielte Tore 1.13
2.25 Kassierte Tore 1
100% Über 1.5 63%
63% Über 2.5 50%
50% Über 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Ciervos
(Home) 11 Apr
Ciervos
1 : 2 Chilpancingo
31 Mar
FC Santiago
5 : 0 Ciervos
21 Mar
Ciervos
2 : 3 Zacatepec
14 Mar
CS Canamy
1 : 1 Ciervos
07 Mar
Ciervos
0 : 2 Gavilanes de Matamoros
Page 1 of 6
11 Apr
Ciervos
1 : 2 Chilpancingo
21 Mar
Ciervos
2 : 3 Zacatepec
07 Mar
Ciervos
0 : 2 Gavilanes de Matamoros
28 Feb
Ciervos
2 : 1 Correcaminos 2
14 Feb
Ciervos
1 : 1 Zitacuaro
Page 1 of 3
Lobos ULMX
(Away) 12 Apr
Calor De San Pedro
4 : 1 Lobos ULMX
29 Mar
Lobos ULMX
1 : 0 Zitacuaro
20 Mar
Atletico Hidalgo
1 : 3 Lobos ULMX
15 Mar
Lobos ULMX
3 : 1 Cordobes FC
07 Mar
Halcones de Zapopan
3 : 0 Lobos ULMX
Page 1 of 6
12 Apr
Calor De San Pedro
4 : 1 Lobos ULMX
20 Mar
Atletico Hidalgo
1 : 3 Lobos ULMX
07 Mar
Halcones de Zapopan
3 : 0 Lobos ULMX
01 Mar
Gavilanes de Matamoros
1 : 0 Lobos ULMX
14 Feb
Chilpancingo
1 : 2 Lobos ULMX
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alacranes de Durango | 26 | 21 | 2 | 3 | 71:16 | 74 |
| 2 | Tigres de Alica | 26 | 17 | 3 | 6 | 46:25 | 56 |
| 3 | Cimarrones de Sonora | 26 | 15 | 7 | 4 | 46:19 | 54 |
| 4 | Leones Negros 2 | 26 | 16 | 2 | 8 | 42:26 | 53 |
| 5 | Tecos | 26 | 14 | 4 | 8 | 49:34 | 49 |
| 6 | Tritones Vallarta | 26 | 15 | 1 | 10 | 32:27 | 46 |
| 7 | Mineros de Fresnillo | 26 | 11 | 4 | 11 | 40:41 | 39 |
| 8 | Los Cabos United | 26 | 11 | 3 | 12 | 37:40 | 37 |
| 9 | Guerreros de Autlan | 26 | 8 | 5 | 13 | 38:42 | 32 |
| 10 | UA Zacatecas | 26 | 8 | 4 | 14 | 32:49 | 29 |
| 11 | Ensenada FC | 26 | 8 | 2 | 16 | 30:55 | 28 |
| 12 | Reboceros de La Piedad | 26 | 7 | 1 | 18 | 39:66 | 23 |
| 13 | Zapotlanejo | 26 | 6 | 1 | 19 | 39:73 | 21 |
| 14 | Colima FC | 26 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 24:52 | 17 |
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Apodaca | 26 | 21 | 2 | 3 | 47:19 | 66 |
| 2 | FC Santiago | 26 | 14 | 7 | 5 | 43:21 | 51 |
| 3 | Zacatepec | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 29:15 | 45 |
| 4 | Halcones de Zapopan | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 44:27 | 44 |
| 5 | Calor De San Pedro | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 37:26 | 44 |
| 6 | Gavilanes de Matamoros | 26 | 12 | 5 | 9 | 31:22 | 44 |
| 7 | Lobos ULMX | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 33:28 | 40 |
| 8 | Correcaminos 2 | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 27:25 | 36 |
| 9 | Chilpancingo | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 33:41 | 35 |
| 10 | Cordobes FC | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 29:30 | 30 |
| 11 | Zitacuaro | 26 | 6 | 10 | 10 | 22:31 | 28 |
| 12 | CS Canamy | 26 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 33:53 | 26 |
| 13 | Ciervos | 26 | 4 | 4 | 18 | 20:50 | 18 |
| 14 | Atletico Hidalgo | 26 | 4 | 4 | 18 | 22:62 | 16 |
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Racing de Veracruz | 24 | 21 | 3 | 0 | 55:9 | 71 |
| 2 | Deportiva Venados | 24 | 15 | 4 | 5 | 61:25 | 52 |
| 3 | Tapachula | 24 | 13 | 0 | 11 | 51:35 | 44 |
| 4 | Celaya | 24 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 42:32 | 43 |
| 5 | Inter Playa Del Carmen | 24 | 13 | 4 | 7 | 35:28 | 42 |
| 6 | Montaneses | 24 | 12 | 2 | 10 | 35:28 | 38 |
| 7 | Pioneros | 24 | 10 | 3 | 11 | 35:35 | 35 |
| 8 | Jaguares De Chiapas | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 33:32 | 34 |
| 9 | Heroes de Zaci | 24 | 10 | 2 | 12 | 33:46 | 34 |
| 10 | Chapulineros | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 21:33 | 23 |
| 11 | Canoneros FC | 24 | 7 | 1 | 16 | 25:49 | 22 |
| 12 | Neza FC | 24 | 5 | 2 | 17 | 25:73 | 19 |
| 13 | Dragones Toluca | 24 | 4 | 3 | 17 | 21:47 | 17 |
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
