Sport Tipps
Spielzusammenfassung
Lentigione is highly favored to claim all three points on their visit to Colligiana, backed by a win probability of 58%. Colligiana averages 0.6 goals scored and 1.7 conceded in recent matches. Lentigione shows a form average of 1.5 goals scored and 0.7 conceded. Given their contrasting recent form profiles, this matchup is expected to produce a balanced tactical flow. Historical head-to-head records show 1 wins for Colligiana, 2 wins for Lentigione, and 1 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 21.01.18 ended in a 0:2 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 0.92 for Colligiana and 1.30 for Lentigione, suggesting the primary value lies in the Lentigione double chance or over markets.
Siegwahrscheinlichkeits-Meter
Basierend auf 10.000 Simulationen unter Berücksichtigung von Heimvorteil & Form
Modell-Vertrauen
Gesamter Indikatorwert
- Colligiana hat zuletzt mehr Punkte geholt als Lentigione.
- Das Modell prognostiziert eine höhere Torgefahr für die Gastgeber (0.92 vs. 1.30 xG).
- Frühere Begegnungen zeigen einen klaren Vorteil für die Gäste.
- Starke Defensiven sprechen für ein kontrolliertes, torarmes Spiel.
Torwahrscheinlichkeits-Rechner
Modellschätzungen für Tormärkte basierend auf xG-Historie
Formanalyse der Teams
Durchschnittswerte pro Spiel
| Metrik | Colligiana | Lentigione |
|---|---|---|
| Spiele | 30 | 31 |
| Siege | 4 | 19 |
| Unentschieden | 7 | 7 |
| Niederlagen | 19 | 5 |
| Erzielte Tore | 0.63 | 1.52 |
| Gegentore | 1.7 | 0.74 |
H2H
Historische Erfolgsquoten in Hauptmärkten
Taktisches Profil
Feldpositionen & Kontrollstile
Colligiana
Lentigione
Sokapicks Momentum-Index
Aktueller Formindex inklusive Belastung und Gegnerstärke (0-100)
Angriffs- & Abwehrstärke
Vorhersage-Engine
Ergebnishäufigkeiten und Hauptmärkte
Value Bet Finder (+EV)
Spiele mit mathematischem Vorteil gegenüber Buchmachern
Erwarteter Spielverlauf
Dominanzkurven in 15-Minuten-Abschnitten
Lentigione will likely look to assert dominance early, testing the hosts' defensive structure.
Colligiana will look to tighten their defensive lines to neutralize Lentigione's early runs.
Expect Lentigione to mount counter-attacks, exploiting gaps as Colligiana tries to push forward.
Tactical adjustments will see Lentigione increase their pressing intensity in the opposition half.
Fatigue may set in for Colligiana's defense, opening up opportunities for Lentigione's forward line.
Expect Lentigione to manage the closing stages, while Colligiana searches for late drama.
Offensiv-Heatmaps & Schüsse
Dynamische Heat-Overlays aus Zonen-Statistiken
Smart Insights
Vom System automatisch erkannte Muster
Colligiana have found the net in 50% of their last 30 matches.
Lentigione have conceded at least one goal in 55% of their last 31 fixtures.
Historical meetings between these sides average 1.50 goals per match.
Colligiana remained undefeated in 1 of their last 5 overall matchups.
Lentigione suffered defeat in 2 of their last 5 overall games.
Risikoanalyse
Bewertung von Störfaktoren
Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.
Standard league campaign fixture. Both teams have strong incentives to secure maximum points for table positioning.
Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.
Teamvergleich
Direkter Statistikvergleich
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rimini | 38 | 23 | 11 | 4 | 65:38 | 80 |
| 2 | Imolese | 38 | 21 | 8 | 9 | 72:45 | 71 |
| 3 | Forli FC | 38 | 18 | 11 | 9 | 60:43 | 65 |
| 4 | Fiorenzuola | 38 | 16 | 16 | 6 | 50:32 | 64 |
| 5 | Sangiovannese | 38 | 17 | 10 | 11 | 42:38 | 61 |
| 6 | Lentigione | 38 | 16 | 12 | 10 | 45:33 | 60 |
| 7 | Villabiagio | 38 | 17 | 8 | 13 | 52:49 | 59 |
| 8 | Pianese | 38 | 14 | 16 | 8 | 54:35 | 58 |
| 9 | Montevarchi | 38 | 16 | 8 | 14 | 42:40 | 56 |
| 10 | Romagna Centro | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 49:42 | 54 |
| 11 | Sammaurese | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 34:29 | 54 |
| 12 | Sasso Marconi | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 35:48 | 45 |
| 13 | Vigor Carpaneto | 38 | 9 | 18 | 11 | 50:48 | 45 |
| 14 | Tuttocuoio | 38 | 10 | 12 | 16 | 25:34 | 42 |
| 15 | Sporting Trestina | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 36:52 | 41 |
| 16 | Castelvetro | 38 | 10 | 8 | 20 | 46:62 | 38 |
| 17 | Mezzolara | 38 | 7 | 15 | 16 | 34:50 | 36 |
| 18 | Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro | 38 | 7 | 12 | 19 | 40:62 | 33 |
| 19 | Correggese | 38 | 6 | 14 | 18 | 37:55 | 32 |
| 20 | Colligiana | 38 | 7 | 8 | 23 | 27:60 | 29 |