Sport Tipps
Comercial FC - Tiete U20 vs XV de Jau U20
Brasilien
Paulista U20 2025 
Spielereignisse
6'
6'
David Anthony
(Elfmeter)
56'
56'
Arthur Bernardo
60'
60'
Franco A.
Spielzusammenfassung
The Paulista U20 2025 game between Comercial FC - Tiete U20 and XV de Jau U20 finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward XV de Jau U20.
Siegwahrscheinlichkeits-Meter
Basierend auf 10.000 Simulationen unter Berücksichtigung von Heimvorteil & Form
36%
30%
34%
Unentschieden-Quote: 30% Favorit: Comercial FC - Tiete U20
Modell-Vertrauen
Gesamter Indikatorwert
66%
/ Mittel Vertrauen
- Look at the last few games and XV de Jau U20 come out ahead of Comercial FC - Tiete U20 on wins alone.
- Model gives Comercial FC - Tiete U20 a 36% chance of winning this.
- Regular Paulista U20 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Hohe Trefferquoten deuten auf ein torreiches Spiel hin (Über 2.5 Wahrscheinlichkeit: 78%).
Torwahrscheinlichkeits-Rechner
Modellschätzungen für Tormärkte basierend auf xG-Historie
Über 0.5 Tore 92%
Über 1.5 Tore 82%
Über 2.5 Tore 78%
Über 3.5 Tore 70%
Über 4.5 Tore 32%
Beide treffen (BTTS) 75.8%
Comercial FC - Tiete U20 Ohne Gegentor 20%
XV de Jau U20 Ohne Gegentor 12%
Formanalyse der Teams
Durchschnittswerte pro Spiel
| Metrik | Comercial FC - Tiete U20 | XV de Jau U20 |
|---|---|---|
| Spiele | 30 | 29 |
| Siege | 7 | 14 |
| Unentschieden | 0 | 3 |
| Niederlagen | 23 | 12 |
| Erzielte Tore | 1.25 | 1.75 |
| Gegentore | 2 | 1.75 |
| Erwartete Tore (xG) | 1.25 | 1.75 |
| Erwartete Gegentore (xGA) | 2.00 | 1.75 |
H2H
Historische Erfolgsquoten in Hauptmärkten
6. Aug. 2025 Paulista U20
Comercial FC - Tiete U20 vs XV de Jau U20
1:3
Schlüsselspieler-Analyse
Top-Akteure und erwartete Torbeteiligungen
Comercial FC - Tiete U20 Vergleich
Top-Torschütze Arthur Bernardo
1 Tore Durchschnitt xG / Spiel 0.96
Durchschnitt xA / Spiel 0.63
XV de Jau U20 Vergleich
Top-Torschütze Franco A.
1 Tore Top-Vorlagengeber Carlos Daniel
1 Ast
Durchschnitt xG / Spiel 1.59
Durchschnitt xA / Spiel 0.97
SokaPicks Momentum-Index
Aktueller Formindex inklusive Belastung und Gegnerstärke (0-100)
Comercial FC - Tiete U20 36 / 100
XV de Jau U20 33 / 100
Berechnungsgrundlage: Gewichtete Formel aus Formkurve (60%), Tordifferenzen (20%), Heimrecht (10%) und Kadertiefe (10%).
Angriffs- & Abwehrstärke
Comercial FC - Tiete U20 XV de Jau U20
Vorhersage-Engine
Ergebnishäufigkeiten und Hauptmärkte
Haupttipp Draw (X)
Nebentipp Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS-Prognose Yes (GG)
Über/Unter Tipp Over 2.5
Smart Insights
Vom System automatisch erkannte Muster
H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.
Comercial FC - Tiete U20 scored in 77% of their last 30 games.
XV de Jau U20 let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.
Comercial FC - Tiete U20 has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Tor-Trends
Comercial FC - Tiete U20 VS XV de Jau U20
1.25 Erzielte Tore 1.75
2 Kassierte Tore 1.75
75% Über 1.5 88%
75% Über 2.5 75%
25% Über 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Comercial FC - Tiete U20
(Home) 13 Jan
Bragantino U20
3 : 0 Comercial FC - Tiete U20
10 Jan
Comercial FC - Tiete U20
2 : 1 Criciuma U20
07 Jan
Comercial FC - Tiete U20
1 : 0 Piracicaba U20
04 Jan
Comercial FC - Tiete U20
2 : 4 Canaa U20
12 Aug
Desportivo U20
2 : 1 Comercial FC - Tiete U20
Page 1 of 6
10 Jan
Comercial FC - Tiete U20
2 : 1 Criciuma U20
07 Jan
Comercial FC - Tiete U20
1 : 0 Piracicaba U20
04 Jan
Comercial FC - Tiete U20
2 : 4 Canaa U20
06 Aug
Comercial FC - Tiete U20
1 : 3 XV de Jau U20
11 Jul
Comercial FC - Tiete U20
4 : 2 Flamengo SP U20
Page 1 of 4
XV de Jau U20
(Away) 24 Jul
Gremio Prudente U20
1 : 1 XV de Jau U20
12 Jul
XV de Jau U20
1 : 7 Bragantino U20
03 Jul
Flamengo SP U20
0 : 2 XV de Jau U20
26 Jun
Tanabi U20
2 : 1 XV de Jau U20
12 Jun
XV de Jau U20
0 : 0 Capivariano U20
Page 1 of 6
24 Jul
Gremio Prudente U20
1 : 1 XV de Jau U20
03 Jul
Flamengo SP U20
0 : 2 XV de Jau U20
26 Jun
Tanabi U20
2 : 1 XV de Jau U20
31 May
Agua Santa U20
4 : 0 XV de Jau U20
16 Jan
Ceara U20
2 : 0 XV de Jau U20
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Palmeiras U20 | 15 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 61:11 | 37 |
| 2 | Bragantino U20 | 15 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 36:11 | 35 |
| 3 | Sao Paulo U20 | 15 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 36:13 | 35 |
| 4 | Guarani U20 | 15 | 11 | 1 | 3 | 28:13 | 34 |
| 5 | EC Sao Bernardo U20 | 15 | 11 | 0 | 4 | 33:13 | 33 |
| 6 | Novorizontino U20 | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 36:16 | 33 |
| 7 | Portuguesa U20 | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 33:15 | 31 |
| 8 | Ituano U20 | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 37:12 | 30 |
| 9 | Ibrachina U20 | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 31:15 | 30 |
| 10 | Ferroviaria U20 | 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 29:18 | 29 |
| 11 | Santos U20 | 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 29:19 | 29 |
| 12 | CA Juventus U20 | 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 15:10 | 29 |
| 13 | Corinthians U20 | 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 29:25 | 29 |
| 14 | Uniao Suzano U20 | 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 23:19 | 29 |
| 15 | Ponte Preta U20 | 15 | 9 | 1 | 5 | 33:19 | 28 |
| 16 | Santo Andre U20 | 15 | 8 | 1 | 6 | 26:26 | 25 |
| 17 | Osasco Sporting U20 | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 22:17 | 25 |
| 18 | Capivariano U20 | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 23:15 | 24 |
| 19 | XV de Jau U20 | 15 | 7 | 1 | 7 | 26:23 | 22 |
| 20 | Piracicaba U20 | 15 | 7 | 1 | 7 | 19:18 | 22 |
| 21 | Gremio Prudente U20 | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 21:15 | 22 |
| 22 | Portuguesa Santista U20 | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 19:21 | 22 |
| 23 | Mirassol U20 | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 21:13 | 21 |
| 24 | Osasco Audax U20 | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 27:25 | 21 |
| 25 | Sao Caetano U20 | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 20:23 | 21 |
| 26 | Referencia U20 | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 25:26 | 21 |
| 27 | Botafogo SP U20 | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 25:21 | 20 |
| 28 | Internacional de Limeira U20 | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 20:19 | 20 |
| 29 | Desportivo U20 | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 22:25 | 18 |
| 30 | Maua FC U20 | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 13:17 | 18 |
| 31 | Bandeirante U20 | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 18:25 | 18 |
| 32 | Itapirense U20 | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 18:26 | 18 |
| 33 | Sertaozinho U20 | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 14:17 | 17 |
| 34 | Tanabi U20 | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 19:24 | 16 |
| 35 | Agua Santa U20 | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 20:28 | 16 |
| 36 | Velo Clube U20 | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 16:26 | 16 |
| 37 | Sao Bento U20 | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 17:29 | 15 |
| 38 | Aguai U20 | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 12:25 | 15 |
| 39 | Jabaquara U20 | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 16:30 | 15 |
| 40 | Sfera U20 | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 15:23 | 14 |
| 41 | Flamengo SP U20 | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 15:32 | 14 |
| 42 | AC Guaratingueta U20 | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 12:35 | 11 |
| 43 | Uniao Sao Joao U20 | 15 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 13:33 | 10 |
| 44 | Comercial FC - Tiete U20 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 12 | 20:36 | 9 |
| 45 | Taubate U20 | 15 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 10:33 | 8 |
| 46 | Sao Jose EC U20 | 15 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 14:40 | 6 |
| 47 | Aracatuba FC U20 | 15 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 14:48 | 6 |
| 48 | Rio Claro U20 | 15 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 8:46 | 4 |
Promotion - Paulista U20 2025 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | EC Sao Bernardo U20 | 15 | 11 | 0 | 4 | 33:13 | 33 |
| 2 | Novorizontino U20 | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 36:16 | 33 |
| 3 | Ferroviaria U20 | 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 29:18 | 29 |
| 4 | Santos U20 | 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 29:19 | 29 |
| 5 | CA Juventus U20 | 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 15:10 | 29 |
| 6 | Ponte Preta U20 | 15 | 9 | 1 | 5 | 33:19 | 28 |
| 7 | Mirassol U20 | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 21:13 | 21 |
| 8 | Osasco Audax U20 | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 27:25 | 21 |
| 9 | Sao Caetano U20 | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 20:23 | 21 |
| 10 | Internacional de Limeira U20 | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 20:19 | 20 |
| 11 | Itapirense U20 | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 18:26 | 18 |
| 12 | Velo Clube U20 | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 16:26 | 16 |
| 13 | Aguai U20 | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 12:25 | 15 |
| 14 | Sfera U20 | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 15:23 | 14 |
| 15 | Taubate U20 | 15 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 10:33 | 8 |
| 16 | Sao Jose EC U20 | 15 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 14:40 | 6 |
Promotion - Paulista U20 2025 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Palmeiras U20 | 15 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 61:11 | 37 |
| 2 | Bragantino U20 | 15 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 36:11 | 35 |
| 3 | Portuguesa U20 | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 33:15 | 31 |
| 4 | Ituano U20 | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 37:12 | 30 |
| 5 | Corinthians U20 | 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 29:25 | 29 |
| 6 | Uniao Suzano U20 | 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 23:19 | 29 |
| 7 | Santo Andre U20 | 15 | 8 | 1 | 6 | 26:26 | 25 |
| 8 | Referencia U20 | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 25:26 | 21 |
| 9 | Botafogo SP U20 | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 25:21 | 20 |
| 10 | Sertaozinho U20 | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 14:17 | 17 |
| 11 | Agua Santa U20 | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 20:28 | 16 |
| 12 | Sao Bento U20 | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 17:29 | 15 |
| 13 | Jabaquara U20 | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 16:30 | 15 |
| 14 | Uniao Sao Joao U20 | 15 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 13:33 | 10 |
| 15 | Aracatuba FC U20 | 15 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 14:48 | 6 |
| 16 | Rio Claro U20 | 15 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 8:46 | 4 |
Promotion - Paulista U20 2025 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sao Paulo U20 | 15 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 36:13 | 35 |
| 2 | Guarani U20 | 15 | 11 | 1 | 3 | 28:13 | 34 |
| 3 | Ibrachina U20 | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 31:15 | 30 |
| 4 | Osasco Sporting U20 | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 22:17 | 25 |
| 5 | Capivariano U20 | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 23:15 | 24 |
| 6 | XV de Jau U20 | 15 | 7 | 1 | 7 | 26:23 | 22 |
| 7 | Piracicaba U20 | 15 | 7 | 1 | 7 | 19:18 | 22 |
| 8 | Gremio Prudente U20 | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 21:15 | 22 |
| 9 | Portuguesa Santista U20 | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 19:21 | 22 |
| 10 | Desportivo U20 | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 22:25 | 18 |
| 11 | Maua FC U20 | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 13:17 | 18 |
| 12 | Bandeirante U20 | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 18:25 | 18 |
| 13 | Tanabi U20 | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 19:24 | 16 |
| 14 | Flamengo SP U20 | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 15:32 | 14 |
| 15 | AC Guaratingueta U20 | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 12:35 | 11 |
| 16 | Comercial FC - Tiete U20 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 12 | 20:36 | 9 |
Promotion - Paulista U20 2025 (Play Offs)
