Sport Tipps
Spielzusammenfassung
This Paraense U20 2024 encounter between Comercial PA U20 and Terra Alta U20 promises to be a closely contested affair, with win probabilities pointing to an even matchup. Comercial PA U20 averages 0.8 goals scored and 5.8 conceded in recent matches. Terra Alta U20 shows a form average of 0.4 goals scored and 5.1 conceded. Given their contrasting recent form profiles, this matchup is expected to produce a balanced tactical flow. Historical head-to-head records show 1 wins for Comercial PA U20, 0 wins for Terra Alta U20, and 0 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 15.10.24 ended in a 3:0 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 3.77 for Comercial PA U20 and 3.02 for Terra Alta U20, suggesting the primary value lies in the Comercial PA U20 double chance or over markets.
Siegwahrscheinlichkeits-Meter
Basierend auf 10.000 Simulationen unter Berücksichtigung von Heimvorteil & Form
Modell-Vertrauen
Gesamter Indikatorwert
- Comercial PA U20 hat zuletzt mehr Punkte geholt als Terra Alta U20.
- Das Modell prognostiziert eine höhere Torgefahr für die Gastgeber (3.77 vs. 3.02 xG).
- Frühere Begegnungen zeigen einen klaren Vorteil für das Heimteam.
- Hohe Trefferquoten deuten auf ein torreiches Spiel hin (Über 2.5 Wahrscheinlichkeit: 65%).
Torwahrscheinlichkeits-Rechner
Modellschätzungen für Tormärkte basierend auf xG-Historie
Formanalyse der Teams
Durchschnittswerte pro Spiel
| Metrik | Comercial PA U20 | Terra Alta U20 |
|---|---|---|
| Spiele | 5 | 11 |
| Siege | 1 | 0 |
| Unentschieden | 0 | 4 |
| Niederlagen | 4 | 7 |
| Erzielte Tore | 0.8 | 0.36 |
| Gegentore | 5.8 | 5.09 |
| Erwartete Tore (xG) | 0.80 | 0.25 |
| Erwartete Gegentore (xGA) | 5.80 | 6.75 |
H2H
Historische Erfolgsquoten in Hauptmärkten
Taktisches Profil
Feldpositionen & Kontrollstile
Comercial PA U20
Terra Alta U20
Sokapicks Momentum-Index
Aktueller Formindex inklusive Belastung und Gegnerstärke (0-100)
Angriffs- & Abwehrstärke
Vorhersage-Engine
Ergebnishäufigkeiten und Hauptmärkte
Value Bet Finder (+EV)
Spiele mit mathematischem Vorteil gegenüber Buchmachern
Erwarteter Spielverlauf
Dominanzkurven in 15-Minuten-Abschnitten
Comercial PA U20 is expected to start with high intensity, putting pressure on the visitors early.
Terra Alta U20 will try to absorb the pressure and slow down the tempo of Comercial PA U20's attacks.
Expect Comercial PA U20 to create chances through sustained possession before the break.
Tactical adjustments at half-time will see Comercial PA U20 vary their attacking width.
Fatigue may set in for Terra Alta U20, allowing Comercial PA U20's midfield to exploit vertical gaps.
Expect a final offensive push from Comercial PA U20, while Terra Alta U20 takes risks to salvage a result.
Offensiv-Heatmaps & Schüsse
Dynamische Heat-Overlays aus Zonen-Statistiken
Smart Insights
Vom System automatisch erkannte Muster
Comercial PA U20 have found the net in 40% of their last 5 matches.
Terra Alta U20 have conceded at least one goal in 91% of their last 11 fixtures.
Historical meetings between these sides average 3.00 goals per match.
Comercial PA U20 remained undefeated in 1 of their last 5 overall matchups.
Terra Alta U20 suffered defeat in 1 of their last 5 overall games.
Risikoanalyse
Bewertung von Störfaktoren
Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.
Standard league campaign fixture. Both teams have strong incentives to secure maximum points for table positioning.
Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.
Teamvergleich
Direkter Statistikvergleich
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tuna Luso U20 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 35:2 | 12 |
| 2 | Maracana Taua U20 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 25:5 | 10 |
| 3 | Belenense U20 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 14:4 | 10 |
| 4 | Pinheirense U20 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 18:7 | 8 |
| 5 | Comercial PA U20 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4:29 | 3 |
| 6 | Terra Alta U20 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1:50 | 0 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paysandu PA U20 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 23:3 | 13 |
| 2 | Sport Belem U20 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 11:1 | 12 |
| 3 | Venus U20 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 11:5 | 7 |
| 4 | Uniao Barbarense U20 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 9:11 | 5 |
| 5 | Boca Junior U20 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5:9 | 5 |
| 6 | Ponte Nova U20 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3:33 | 0 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Remo U20 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 27:6 | 18 |
| 2 | CRT-23 Benevides U20 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 21:5 | 15 |
| 3 | Craques do Futuro U20 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 33:11 | 10 |
| 4 | Atletico Barbarense U20 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 10:21 | 7 |
| 5 | Atletico JM9 U20 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 8:24 | 4 |
| 6 | Trabalhista U20 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 9:28 | 4 |
| 7 | CA Vila Rica U20 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 12:25 | 3 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fonte Nova U20 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 16:4 | 18 |
| 2 | Juventude Barcarenense U20 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 23:2 | 15 |
| 3 | Bragantino PA U20 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 10:9 | 9 |
| 4 | Estrela PA U20 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9:17 | 7 |
| 5 | Cruzeirao U20 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7:16 | 7 |
| 6 | Tiradentes PA U20 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 15:13 | 6 |
| 7 | ESMAC U20 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5:24 | 0 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Castanhal U20 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 13:9 | 12 |
| 2 | Real Naval U20 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 13:10 | 12 |
| 3 | Meninos de Ouro U20 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 13:9 | 10 |
| 4 | Castelo dos Sonhos U20 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5:16 | 1 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aguia De Maraba U20 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10:2 | 10 |
| 2 | EC Tailandia U20 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8:4 | 7 |
| 3 | Tailandia AC U20 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0:12 | 0 |