Sport Tipps
Spielzusammenfassung
The Série D 2012 game between Comercial PI and Santos AP finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Comercial PI.
Siegwahrscheinlichkeits-Meter
Basierend auf 10.000 Simulationen unter Berücksichtigung von Heimvorteil & Form
4%
6%
90%
Unentschieden-Quote: 6% Favorit: Santos AP
Modell-Vertrauen
Gesamter Indikatorwert
95%
/ Sehr Hoch Vertrauen
- Santos AP carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives Santos AP a 90% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Hohe Trefferquoten deuten auf ein torreiches Spiel hin (Über 2.5 Wahrscheinlichkeit: 78%).
Torwahrscheinlichkeits-Rechner
Modellschätzungen für Tormärkte basierend auf xG-Historie
Über 0.5 Tore 92%
Über 1.5 Tore 82%
Über 2.5 Tore 78%
Über 3.5 Tore 32%
Über 4.5 Tore 14%
Beide treffen (BTTS) 68.6%
Comercial PI Ohne Gegentor 17%
Santos AP Ohne Gegentor 10%
Formanalyse der Teams
Durchschnittswerte pro Spiel
| Metrik | Comercial PI | Santos AP |
|---|---|---|
| Spiele | 30 | 30 |
| Siege | 10 | 12 |
| Unentschieden | 5 | 9 |
| Niederlagen | 15 | 9 |
| Erzielte Tore | 0.97 | 1.57 |
| Gegentore | 1.17 | 1.27 |
| Erwartete Tore (xG) | 1.37 | 1.38 |
| Erwartete Gegentore (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historische Erfolgsquoten in Hauptmärkten
22. Aug. 2012 Serie D
Comercial PI vs Santos AP
3:1
8. Aug. 2012 Serie D
Santos AP vs Comercial PI
0:0
SokaPicks Momentum-Index
Aktueller Formindex inklusive Belastung und Gegnerstärke (0-100)
Comercial PI 10 / 100
Santos AP 83 / 100
Berechnungsgrundlage: Gewichtete Formel aus Formkurve (60%), Tordifferenzen (20%), Heimrecht (10%) und Kadertiefe (10%).
Angriffs- & Abwehrstärke
Comercial PI Santos AP
Vorhersage-Engine
Ergebnishäufigkeiten und Hauptmärkte
Haupttipp Santos AP Win (2)
Nebentipp Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS-Prognose Yes (GG)
Über/Unter Tipp Over 2.5
Smart Insights
Vom System automatisch erkannte Muster
Defensive concern: Santos AP conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.
Games between these two average 2.00 goals.
Comercial PI scored in 50% of their last 30 games.
Recent resilience: Comercial PI stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.
Tor-Trends
Comercial PI VS Santos AP
0.86 Erzielte Tore 1.63
1.14 Kassierte Tore 1.88
57% Über 1.5 100%
43% Über 2.5 88%
14% Über 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Comercial PI
(Home) 26 Oct
Corisabba
2 : 1 Comercial PI
23 Oct
Comercial PI
0 : 0 Corisabba
18 Oct
Comercial PI
0 : 1 Flamengo PI
08 Oct
Corisabba
2 : 1 Comercial PI
05 Oct
Caicara
0 : 2 Comercial PI
Page 1 of 6
23 Oct
Comercial PI
0 : 0 Corisabba
18 Oct
Comercial PI
0 : 1 Flamengo PI
01 Oct
Comercial PI
0 : 1 TEC
03 Oct
Comercial PI
0 : 1 Caicara
21 Sept
Comercial PI
0 : 2 Piaui
Page 1 of 3
Santos AP
(Away) 28 Mar
SAO Jose
0 : 4 Santos AP
24 Mar
Oratorio
1 : 2 Santos AP
21 Mar
Santos AP
1 : 1 Oratorio
15 Mar
Santos AP
5 : 0 Macapa
08 Mar
Santos AP
1 : 1 Trem
Page 1 of 6
28 Mar
SAO Jose
0 : 4 Santos AP
24 Mar
Oratorio
1 : 2 Santos AP
05 Mar
Independente AP
2 : 2 Santos AP
28 Feb
Oratorio
1 : 3 Santos AP
23 Feb
Ypiranga AP
2 : 3 Santos AP
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Remo | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 20:16 | 16 |
| 2 | Vilhena | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 17:10 | 15 |
| 3 | Acreano | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 19:15 | 13 |
| 4 | Penarol | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 16:16 | 9 |
| 5 | Nautico FC | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 9:24 | 6 |
Promotion - Série D 2012 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sampaio Correa | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 25:2 | 24 |
| 2 | Mixto | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 13:9 | 12 |
| 3 | Comercial PI | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6:13 | 8 |
| 4 | Santos AP | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 9:16 | 7 |
| 5 | Araguaina | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 4:17 | 3 |
Promotion - Série D 2012 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Baraunas | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 12:7 | 15 |
| 2 | Campinense | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 11:8 | 14 |
| 3 | Horizonte | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 9:5 | 13 |
| 4 | Ypiranga | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 13:15 | 8 |
| 5 | Petrolina | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 9:19 | 3 |
Promotion - Série D 2012 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CSA | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 15:3 | 20 |
| 2 | Sousa | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 7:5 | 13 |
| 3 | Feirense | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 9:12 | 11 |
| 4 | Itabaiana | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 5:10 | 6 |
| 5 | Vitoria da Conquista | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 7:13 | 4 |
Promotion - Série D 2012 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 5)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CRAC | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 15:9 | 15 |
| 2 | Ceilandia | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 14:14 | 14 |
| 3 | CENE | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 17:11 | 13 |
| 4 | Aparecidense | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 11:15 | 10 |
| 5 | Sobradinho | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 8:16 | 3 |
Promotion - Série D 2012 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 6)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Friburguense | 8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 13:4 | 16 |
| 2 | Nacional MG | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 7:5 | 13 |
| 3 | Aracruz | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 5:7 | 9 |
| 4 | Volta Redonda | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 5:6 | 8 |
| 5 | Guarani-MG | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 3:11 | 6 |
Promotion - Série D 2012 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 7)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cianorte | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 14:4 | 18 |
| 2 | Mogi Mirim | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 10:7 | 13 |
| 3 | Ceramica AC | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10:7 | 11 |
| 4 | Marilia | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 7:15 | 7 |
| 5 | Concordia | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 7:15 | 4 |
Promotion - Série D 2012 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 8)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CA Metropolitano | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 8:7 | 14 |
| 2 | SE Juventude | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 7:4 | 12 |
| 3 | Arapongas | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 6:6 | 10 |
| 4 | Brasil de Pelotas | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6:7 | 9 |
| 5 | Mirassol | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 8:11 | 7 |
Promotion - Série D 2012 (Play Offs)
