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Connahs Q. vs Gwalchmai - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Wales Wales

FA Cup 2011/2012
Connahs Q. Logo

Connahs Q.

7 - 2
FT
Gwalchmai Logo

Gwalchmai

Unser Tipp
Zusammenfassung Siegchance Tore Form H2H Taktik Spieler Indizes Vorhersagen Spielverlauf Genauigkeit Vergleich

Spielzusammenfassung

This match ends 7-2, with Connahs Q. advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Siegwahrscheinlichkeits-Meter

Basierend auf 10.000 Simulationen unter Berücksichtigung von Heimvorteil & Form

90%
Connahs Q.
6%
Unentschieden
4%
Gwalchmai
Unentschieden-Quote: 6% Favorit: Connahs Q.

Modell-Vertrauen

Gesamter Indikatorwert

95% / Sehr Hoch Vertrauen
  • Connahs Q. carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Connahs Q.'s way, sitting at 90%.
  • Connahs Q. have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Connahs Q., who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • Hohe Trefferquoten deuten auf ein torreiches Spiel hin (Über 2.5 Wahrscheinlichkeit: 78%).

Torwahrscheinlichkeits-Rechner

Modellschätzungen für Tormärkte basierend auf xG-Historie

Über 0.5 Tore 92%
Über 1.5 Tore 82%
Über 2.5 Tore 78%
Über 3.5 Tore 12.5%
Über 4.5 Tore 6%
Beide treffen (BTTS) 76.6%
Connahs Q. Ohne Gegentor 20%
Gwalchmai Ohne Gegentor 12%

Formanalyse der Teams

Durchschnittswerte pro Spiel

Metrik Connahs Q. Gwalchmai
Spiele 29 9
Siege 14 4
Unentschieden 8 0
Niederlagen 7 5
Erzielte Tore 1.93 2
Gegentore 1.03 2.56
Erwartete Tore (xG) 1.17 1.13
Erwartete Gegentore (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historische Erfolgsquoten in Hauptmärkten

1. Okt. 2011 FAW Welsh Cup
Connahs Q. vs Gwalchmai
7:2

SokaPicks Momentum-Index

Aktueller Formindex inklusive Belastung und Gegnerstärke (0-100)

Connahs Q. 85 / 100
Gwalchmai 10 / 100
Berechnungsgrundlage: Gewichtete Formel aus Formkurve (60%), Tordifferenzen (20%), Heimrecht (10%) und Kadertiefe (10%).

Angriffs- & Abwehrstärke

ANGRIFF ABWEHR BALLBESITZ DISZIPLIN
Connahs Q. Gwalchmai

Vorhersage-Engine

Ergebnishäufigkeiten und Hauptmärkte

Haupttipp Connahs Q. Win (1)
Nebentipp Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS-Prognose Yes (GG)
Über/Unter Tipp Over 2.5

Smart Insights

Vom System automatisch erkannte Muster

Attacking prowess: Connahs Q. scored in 86% of their last 29 outings.

Gwalchmai has conceded goals in 89% of their last 9 outings.

Games between these two average 9.00 goals.

Connahs Q. went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Tor-Trends

Connahs Q. VS -
1.13 Erzielte Tore 0
1.25 Kassierte Tore 0
63% Über 1.5 0%
50% Über 2.5 0%
25% Über 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Connahs Q.

(Home)
03 Oct
Connahs Q.
1 : 0
Penybont
26 Sept
Barry Town
1 : 4
Connahs Q.
18 Sept
Connahs Q.
1 : 0
Cardiff Metropolitan University
15 Sept
Connahs Q.
3 : 0
Airbus UK Broughton FC
12 Sept
Colwyn Bay
2 : 1
Connahs Q.
Page 1 of 6

Gwalchmai

(Away)
03 Oct
Gwalchmai
0 : 3
Mold Alexandra
12 Oct
Llanfair United
3 : 2
Gwalchmai
08 Dec
Gwalchmai
0 : 2
Chepstow Town
10 Nov
Corwen
1 : 2
Gwalchmai
06 Oct
Gwalchmai
4 : 1
Carno FC
Page 1 of 2

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Cefn Druids 6
Caernarfon 1
Carno FC 0
Coedpoeth 2
Llanidloes Town -
TBD -
Gwalchmai 2
Connahs Q. 7
Goytre Utd 1
Ton Pentre 0
Abertillery Bluebirds 0
Caerau Ely 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Prestatyn -
Llandudno FC 3
Venture Community 1
Rhos Aelwyd 0
Guilsfield 1
Barmouth & Dyffryn United 4
Ruthin Town 1
Conwy Borough 1
Caersws FC 2
FC Cefn 2
Penycae FC 1
Connahs Quay Town 0
Montgomery 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Aberystwyth -
Carmarthen Town -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Tata Steel 3
Newcastle Emlyn 1
Splott 0
Bridgend Town 2
Cambrian United 5
Monmouth 1
Llanrug 3
Llandrindod 4
Pontardawe 3
Treowen 0
Aberbargoed Buds 0
AFC Porth 2
Afan Lido -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Port Talbot -
Wrexham -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Airbus UK Broughton FC -
Bala -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Caerleon 1
Aberaman 0
Rhosgoch 2
Merthyr Saints 6
Taffs Well 5
Undy 4
Dinas Powys 0
Builth 2
Holyhead 6
Llanrhaeadr 1
Penrhyncoch 0
Buckley 4
Rhyl 5
Gresford 0
Bethesda Athletic 1
Porthmadog 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Newtown -
Bangor City -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Llanelli -
Neath Athletic -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Cardiff Corries 2
Cwmaman Institute 0
Cwmbran Celtic 0
West End 2
Newport Civil Service 4
Caldicot 2
Risca United 0
Newbridge 4
Denbigh 3
Llangefni 2
Chirk AAA FC 1
Flint Town 5
Newport -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Haverfordwest 2
Cardiff Metropolitan University 0
Merthyr Town 0
Barry Town 3
Bryntirion Athletic 3
Cwmbran Town 1
Aberaeron 1
Goytre AFC 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TNS -
1/32-finals
Cefn Druids 8
Coedpoeth 0
Llanidloes Town 0
Connahs Q. 2
Goytre Utd 8
Caerau Ely 1
TBD -
Prestatyn -
Llandudno FC 3
Guilsfield 1
Barmouth & Dyffryn United 0
Caersws FC 3
FC Cefn 7
Montgomery 3
TBD -
Aberystwyth -
Carmarthen Town -
TBD -
Tata Steel 3
Bridgend Town 5
Cambrian United 2
Llandrindod 0
Pontardawe 0
AFC Porth 3
Afan Lido -
TBD -
TBD -
Port Talbot -
Wrexham -
TBD -
TBD -
Airbus UK Broughton FC -
Bala -
TBD -
Caerleon 3
Merthyr Saints 4
Taffs Well 5
Builth 0
Holyhead 2
Buckley 5
Rhyl 3
Porthmadog 2
TBD -
Newtown -
Bangor City -
TBD -
TBD -
Llanelli -
Neath Athletic -
TBD -
Cardiff Corries 1
West End 2
Newport Civil Service 2
Newbridge 0
Denbigh 1
Flint Town 2
Newport -
TBD -
Haverfordwest 1
Barry Town 2
Bryntirion Athletic 5
Goytre AFC 2
TBD -
TNS -
1/16-finals
Cefn Druids 2
Connahs Q. 1
Goytre Utd 2
Prestatyn 6
Llandudno FC 1
Caersws FC 0
FC Cefn 1
Aberystwyth 6
Carmarthen Town 2
Bridgend Town 1
Cambrian United 0
AFC Porth 1
Afan Lido 1
Port Talbot 0
Wrexham 1
Airbus UK Broughton FC 2
Bala 6
Merthyr Saints 0
Taffs Well 3
Buckley 4
Rhyl 2
Newtown 1
Bangor City 2
Llanelli 4
Neath Athletic 4
West End 0
Newport Civil Service 0
Flint Town 3
Newport 3
Barry Town 2
Bryntirion Athletic 0
TNS 6
1/8-finals
Cefn Druids 2
Prestatyn 0
Llandudno FC 1
Aberystwyth 2
Carmarthen Town 3
AFC Porth 1
Afan Lido 2
Airbus UK Broughton FC 3
Bala 4
Buckley 2
Rhyl 3
Llanelli 4
Neath Athletic 3
Flint Town 1
Newport 0
TNS 4
Quarter-finals
Cefn Druids 1
Aberystwyth 0
Carmarthen Town 1
Airbus UK Broughton FC 3
Bala 2
Llanelli 1
Neath Athletic 0
TNS 1
Semi-finals
Cefn Druids 4
Airbus UK Broughton FC 1
Bala 0
TNS 4
Final
Cefn Druids 0
TNS 2