Sport Tipps

Stadium Background

Crusaders vs Lurgan Celtic

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

Irish League Cup 2019/2020 Seaview, Belfast
Di., 27. Aug. 2019
VS
06:45 PM
Unser Tipp

Spielzusammenfassung

A one-off knockout match in the Irish League Cup 2019/2020. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Lurgan Celtic have shipped 2.97 goals a game lately, while Crusaders have conceded 1.63 and scored 1.53. Past meetings favor Crusaders slightly — 2-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on 27. Aug. 2019, ending 0:0. The numbers (1.67 xG vs 0.94) point toward Crusaders. AI prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.

Siegwahrscheinlichkeits-Meter

Basierend auf 10.000 Simulationen unter Berücksichtigung von Heimvorteil & Form

36%
Crusaders
30%
Unentschieden
34%
Lurgan Celtic
Unentschieden-Quote: 30% Favorit: Crusaders

Modell-Vertrauen

Gesamter Indikatorwert

66% / Mittel Vertrauen
  • Lurgan Celtic haven't matched Crusaders's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Crusaders's way, sitting at 36%.
  • Crusaders have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Crusaders, who have won 2 of the last 3 encounters.
  • Hohe Trefferquoten deuten auf ein torreiches Spiel hin (Über 2.5 Wahrscheinlichkeit: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Crusaders have taken 2 of them.

Torwahrscheinlichkeits-Rechner

Modellschätzungen für Tormärkte basierend auf xG-Historie

Über 0.5 Tore 92%
Über 1.5 Tore 82%
Über 2.5 Tore 78%
Über 3.5 Tore 70%
Über 4.5 Tore 32%
Beide treffen (BTTS) 72.2%
Crusaders Ohne Gegentor 20%
Lurgan Celtic Ohne Gegentor 10%

Formanalyse der Teams

Durchschnittswerte pro Spiel

Metrik Crusaders Lurgan Celtic
Spiele 30 31
Siege 14 3
Unentschieden 6 5
Niederlagen 10 23
Erzielte Tore 1.53 0.84
Gegentore 1.63 2.97
Erwartete Tore (xG) 1.67 0.94
Erwartete Gegentore (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historische Erfolgsquoten in Hauptmärkten

27. Aug. 2019 Irish League Cup
Crusaders vs Lurgan Celtic
0:0
26. Juli 2016 Club Friendly
Crusaders vs Lurgan Celtic
5:0
16. Jan. 2007 Irish Cup
Crusaders vs Lurgan Celtic
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum-Index

Aktueller Formindex inklusive Belastung und Gegnerstärke (0-100)

Crusaders 36 / 100
Lurgan Celtic 33 / 100
Berechnungsgrundlage: Gewichtete Formel aus Formkurve (60%), Tordifferenzen (20%), Heimrecht (10%) und Kadertiefe (10%).

Angriffs- & Abwehrstärke

ANGRIFF ABWEHR BALLBESITZ DISZIPLIN
Crusaders Lurgan Celtic

Vorhersage-Engine

Ergebnishäufigkeiten und Hauptmärkte

Haupttipp Draw (X)
Nebentipp Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS-Prognose Yes (GG)
Über/Unter Tipp Over 2.5

Smart Insights

Vom System automatisch erkannte Muster

Crusaders's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: Lurgan Celtic conceded in 93% of 28 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Crusaders has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Tor-Trends

Crusaders VS -
2.13 Erzielte Tore 0
0.88 Kassierte Tore 0
75% Über 1.5 0%
63% Über 2.5 0%
50% Über 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Crusaders

(Home)
05 Sept
Coleraine
4 : 1
Crusaders
29 Aug
Glentoran
1 : 2
Crusaders
22 Aug
Crusaders
3 : 2
Portadown
15 Aug
Crusaders
2 : 1
Ballymena
07 Aug
Cliftonville
2 : 1
Crusaders
Page 1 of 6

Lurgan Celtic

(Away)
27 Aug
Crusaders
:
Lurgan Celtic
17 Aug
Hanover
:
Lurgan Celtic
03 Nov
Lurgan Celtic
2 : 3
Portstewart
29 Sept
Lurgan Celtic
:
St. Patricks Young
28 Aug
Ballinamallard
4 : 1
Lurgan Celtic
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Ballymena -
TBD -
TBD -
Newington FC -
Portadown -
TBD -
TBD -
Dollingstown -
Limavady -
TBD -
TBD -
Ards -
Lurgan Celtic -
TBD -
TBD -
Crusaders -
Glenavon -
TBD -
TBD -
Portstewart -
Loughgall 2
Banbridge 1
TBD -
Newry City -
Institute -
TBD -
Queens University 1
PSNI 3
Warrenpoint -
TBD -
Armagh 0
Harland & Wolff 6
Dungannon -
TBD -
TBD -
Dergview -
Ballinamallard -
TBD -
TBD -
Linfield -
Cliftonville -
TBD -
TBD -
Moyola -
Carrick Rangers -
TBD -
TBD -
Bangor FC -
Larne -
TBD -
TBD -
Lisburn Distillery -
Tobermore -
TBD -
TBD -
Dundela -
Coleraine -
TBD -
TBD -
Annagh -
Ballyclare 7
Knockbreda 1
TBD -
Glentoran -
1/16-finals
Ballymena 3
Newington FC 0
Portadown 1
Dollingstown 2
Limavady 4
Ards 2
Lurgan Celtic -
Crusaders -
Glenavon 4
Portstewart 1
Loughgall 0
Newry City 1
Institute 3
PSNI 2
Warrenpoint 2
Harland & Wolff 4
Dungannon 2
Dergview 0
Ballinamallard 4
Linfield 5
Cliftonville 3
Moyola 1
Carrick Rangers 3
Bangor FC 5
Larne 3
Lisburn Distillery 0
Tobermore 0
Dundela 6
Coleraine 4
Annagh 0
Ballyclare 1
Glentoran 5
1/8-finals
Ballymena 6
Dollingstown 0
Limavady 1
Crusaders 4
Glenavon 2
Newry City 3
Institute 3
Harland & Wolff 0
Dungannon 0
Linfield 4
Cliftonville 3
Bangor FC 2
Larne 1
Dundela 3
Coleraine 2
Glentoran 1
Quarter-finals
Ballymena 1
Crusaders 2
Newry City 0
Institute 1
Linfield 1
Cliftonville 0
Dundela 1
Coleraine 5
Semi-finals
Crusaders 2
Institute 0
Linfield 0
Coleraine 3
Final
Crusaders 1
Coleraine 2