Sport Tipps
Spielzusammenfassung
The Sergipano 2 2024 game between CS Maruinense and Flamengo SE finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Flamengo SE.
Siegwahrscheinlichkeits-Meter
Basierend auf 10.000 Simulationen unter Berücksichtigung von Heimvorteil & Form
90%
6%
4%
Unentschieden-Quote: 6% Favorit: CS Maruinense
Modell-Vertrauen
Gesamter Indikatorwert
95%
/ Sehr Hoch Vertrauen
- Flamengo SE carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives CS Maruinense a 90% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Hohe Trefferquoten deuten auf ein torreiches Spiel hin (Über 2.5 Wahrscheinlichkeit: 78%).
Torwahrscheinlichkeits-Rechner
Modellschätzungen für Tormärkte basierend auf xG-Historie
Über 0.5 Tore 92%
Über 1.5 Tore 82%
Über 2.5 Tore 78%
Über 3.5 Tore 19%
Über 4.5 Tore 9%
Beide treffen (BTTS) 63%
CS Maruinense Ohne Gegentor 20%
Flamengo SE Ohne Gegentor 10%
Formanalyse der Teams
Durchschnittswerte pro Spiel
| Metrik | CS Maruinense | Flamengo SE |
|---|---|---|
| Spiele | 30 | 22 |
| Siege | 6 | 9 |
| Unentschieden | 5 | 1 |
| Niederlagen | 19 | 12 |
| Erzielte Tore | 0.8 | 1.09 |
| Gegentore | 1.97 | 1.5 |
| Erwartete Tore (xG) | 1.50 | 0.81 |
| Erwartete Gegentore (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historische Erfolgsquoten in Hauptmärkten
20. Sept. 2024 Sergipano 2
CS Maruinense vs Flamengo SE
0:2
15. Sept. 2024 Sergipano 2
Flamengo SE vs CS Maruinense
1:0
SokaPicks Momentum-Index
Aktueller Formindex inklusive Belastung und Gegnerstärke (0-100)
CS Maruinense 85 / 100
Flamengo SE 10 / 100
Berechnungsgrundlage: Gewichtete Formel aus Formkurve (60%), Tordifferenzen (20%), Heimrecht (10%) und Kadertiefe (10%).
Angriffs- & Abwehrstärke
CS Maruinense Flamengo SE
Vorhersage-Engine
Ergebnishäufigkeiten und Hauptmärkte
Haupttipp CS Maruinense Win (1)
Nebentipp Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS-Prognose Yes (GG)
Über/Unter Tipp Over 2.5
Smart Insights
Vom System automatisch erkannte Muster
Flamengo SE's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.
H2H data points to 1.50 goals as a typical output.
CS Maruinense has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
CS Maruinense's goal record stands at 47% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Tor-Trends
CS Maruinense VS Flamengo SE
1.38 Erzielte Tore 1
0.63 Kassierte Tore 1.63
50% Über 1.5 75%
38% Über 2.5 50%
25% Über 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
CS Maruinense
(Home) 01 Nov
Estanciano EC
3 : 0 CS Maruinense
25 Oct
CS Maruinense
0 : 1 Estanciano EC
19 Oct
Propria
0 : 0 CS Maruinense
16 Oct
CS Maruinense
4 : 0 Propria
11 Oct
CS Maruinense
3 : 1 Botafogo ASF
Page 1 of 6
25 Oct
CS Maruinense
0 : 1 Estanciano EC
16 Oct
CS Maruinense
4 : 0 Propria
11 Oct
CS Maruinense
3 : 1 Botafogo ASF
02 Oct
CS Maruinense
1 : 0 Riachao
21 Sept
CS Maruinense
1 : 1 AD Boquinhense
Page 1 of 3
Flamengo SE
(Away) 01 Nov
Flamengo SE
0 : 4 Frei Paulistano
25 Oct
Olimpico EC
4 : 1 Flamengo SE
18 Oct
Flamengo SE
1 : 2 Atletico Central
15 Oct
Caninde
1 : 0 Flamengo SE
09 Oct
Flamengo SE
0 : 1 Desportiva Aracaju
Page 1 of 5
25 Oct
Olimpico EC
4 : 1 Flamengo SE
15 Oct
Caninde
1 : 0 Flamengo SE
05 Oct
America de Pedrinhas
2 : 1 Flamengo SE
20 Sept
Atletico Gloriense
2 : 0 Flamengo SE
23 Oct
Caninde
5 : 1 Flamengo SE
Page 1 of 2
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Flamengo SE | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 13:1 | 21 |
| 2 | Atletico Central | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 17:7 | 18 |
| 3 | Aracaju FC | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 14:10 | 15 |
| 4 | CS Maruinense | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5:13 | 4 |
| 5 | Socorro | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 1:19 | 1 |
Promotion - Sergipano 2 2024 (Second stage)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Desportiva Aracaju | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 16:4 | 22 |
| 2 | Barra SE | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 19:4 | 19 |
| 3 | Santa Cruz SE | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 12:15 | 9 |
| 4 | Cotinguiba | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 7:14 | 4 |
| 5 | Socorrense | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 1:18 | 4 |
Promotion - Sergipano 2 2024 (Second stage)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | America de Pedrinhas | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 20:9 | 18 |
| 2 | Independente SE | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 12:11 | 13 |
| 3 | Riachao | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 11:7 | 12 |
| 4 | Amadense | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 15:18 | 10 |
| 5 | AD Boquinhense | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5:18 | 2 |
Promotion - Sergipano 2 2024 (Second stage)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Frei Paulistano | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 21:3 | 19 |
| 2 | Boca Junior | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 14:8 | 16 |
| 3 | Estanciano EC | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 11:12 | 10 |
| 4 | Sete de Junho | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 6:15 | 7 |
| 5 | Botafogo ASF | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 3:17 | 5 |
Promotion - Sergipano 2 2024 (Second stage)
League Standings (Group 5)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Guarany SE | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 23:6 | 19 |
| 2 | Caninde | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 14:10 | 16 |
| 3 | Forca Jovem Aquidaba | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 16:10 | 12 |
| 4 | Propria | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 11:14 | 9 |
| 5 | Coritiba SE | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6:30 | 1 |
Promotion - Sergipano 2 2024 (Second stage)
