Sport Tipps
Spielzusammenfassung
CSM Alexandria enters this Liga 3 - Seria 3 2016/2017 fixture as the clear favorite, carrying a strong win probability of 56%. CSM Alexandria averages 1.9 goals scored and 1.1 conceded in recent matches. Mioveni 2 shows a form average of 1.0 goals scored and 1.9 conceded. Given their contrasting recent form profiles, this matchup is expected to produce a balanced tactical flow. Historical head-to-head records show 3 wins for CSM Alexandria, 1 wins for Mioveni 2, and 0 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 18.05.18 ended in a 1:5 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 1.60 for CSM Alexandria and 0.88 for Mioveni 2, suggesting the primary value lies in the CSM Alexandria double chance or over markets.
Siegwahrscheinlichkeits-Meter
Basierend auf 10.000 Simulationen unter Berücksichtigung von Heimvorteil & Form
Modell-Vertrauen
Gesamter Indikatorwert
- CSM Alexandria hat zuletzt mehr Punkte geholt als Mioveni 2.
- Das Modell prognostiziert eine höhere Torgefahr für die Gastgeber (1.60 vs. 0.88 xG).
- Frühere Begegnungen zeigen einen klaren Vorteil für das Heimteam.
- Hohe Trefferquoten deuten auf ein torreiches Spiel hin (Über 2.5 Wahrscheinlichkeit: 60%).
Torwahrscheinlichkeits-Rechner
Modellschätzungen für Tormärkte basierend auf xG-Historie
Formanalyse der Teams
Durchschnittswerte pro Spiel
| Metrik | CSM Alexandria | Mioveni 2 |
|---|---|---|
| Spiele | 35 | 31 |
| Siege | 18 | 10 |
| Unentschieden | 7 | 3 |
| Niederlagen | 10 | 18 |
| Erzielte Tore | 1.86 | 1 |
| Gegentore | 1.11 | 1.87 |
H2H
Historische Erfolgsquoten in Hauptmärkten
Taktisches Profil
Feldpositionen & Kontrollstile
CSM Alexandria
Mioveni 2
Sokapicks Momentum-Index
Aktueller Formindex inklusive Belastung und Gegnerstärke (0-100)
Angriffs- & Abwehrstärke
Vorhersage-Engine
Ergebnishäufigkeiten und Hauptmärkte
Value Bet Finder (+EV)
Spiele mit mathematischem Vorteil gegenüber Buchmachern
Erwarteter Spielverlauf
Dominanzkurven in 15-Minuten-Abschnitten
CSM Alexandria is expected to start with high intensity, putting pressure on the visitors early.
Mioveni 2 will try to absorb the pressure and slow down the tempo of CSM Alexandria's attacks.
Expect CSM Alexandria to create chances through sustained possession before the break.
Tactical adjustments at half-time will see CSM Alexandria vary their attacking width.
Fatigue may set in for Mioveni 2, allowing CSM Alexandria's midfield to exploit vertical gaps.
Expect a final offensive push from CSM Alexandria, while Mioveni 2 takes risks to salvage a result.
Offensiv-Heatmaps & Schüsse
Dynamische Heat-Overlays aus Zonen-Statistiken
Smart Insights
Vom System automatisch erkannte Muster
CSM Alexandria have found the net in 86% of their last 35 matches.
Mioveni 2 have conceded at least one goal in 84% of their last 31 fixtures.
Historical meetings between these sides average 3.00 goals per match.
CSM Alexandria remained undefeated in 3 of their last 5 overall matchups.
Mioveni 2 suffered defeat in 4 of their last 5 overall games.
Risikoanalyse
Bewertung von Störfaktoren
Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.
Standard league campaign fixture. Both teams have strong incentives to secure maximum points for table positioning.
Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.
Teamvergleich
Direkter Statistikvergleich
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Campionii Arges | 28 | 22 | 6 | 0 | 72:15 | 72 |
| 2 | Atletic Bradu | 28 | 14 | 5 | 9 | 52:44 | 47 |
| 3 | Voluntari 2 | 28 | 12 | 8 | 8 | 47:38 | 44 |
| 4 | CSM Alexandria | 28 | 13 | 5 | 10 | 34:30 | 44 |
| 5 | Flacara Moreni | 28 | 11 | 10 | 7 | 41:29 | 43 |
| 6 | Concordia 2 | 28 | 11 | 7 | 10 | 46:44 | 40 |
| 7 | Sporting Rosiori | 28 | 11 | 7 | 10 | 36:36 | 40 |
| 8 | CS U Craiova 2 | 28 | 11 | 5 | 12 | 44:41 | 38 |
| 9 | FCSB 2 | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 42:43 | 38 |
| 10 | Mioveni 2 | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 38:39 | 38 |
| 11 | CSO Filiasi | 28 | 9 | 10 | 9 | 38:33 | 37 |
| 12 | FC Pucioasa | 28 | 8 | 10 | 10 | 33:37 | 34 |
| 13 | Viitorul Targu Jiu | 28 | 8 | 3 | 17 | 26:49 | 27 |
| 14 | Urban Titu | 28 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 29:51 | 23 |
| 15 | Podari | 28 | 3 | 4 | 21 | 16:65 | 13 |