Sport Tipps
Czarni Polaniec vs LKS Lagow
Poland
III Liga - Group IV 2022/2023 
Spielzusammenfassung
This III Liga - Group IV 2022/2023 encounter between Czarni Polaniec and LKS Lagow promises to be a closely contested affair, with win probabilities pointing to an even matchup. Czarni Polaniec averages 1.8 goals scored and 1.3 conceded in recent matches. LKS Lagow shows a form average of 0.8 goals scored and 2.1 conceded. Given their contrasting recent form profiles, this matchup is expected to produce a balanced tactical flow. Historical head-to-head records show 1 wins for Czarni Polaniec, 3 wins for LKS Lagow, and 0 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 25.03.23 ended in a 3:0 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 1.29 for Czarni Polaniec and 0.88 for LKS Lagow, suggesting the primary value lies in the Czarni Polaniec double chance or over markets.
Siegwahrscheinlichkeits-Meter
Basierend auf 10.000 Simulationen unter Berücksichtigung von Heimvorteil & Form
Modell-Vertrauen
Gesamter Indikatorwert
- Czarni Polaniec hat zuletzt mehr Punkte geholt als LKS Lagow.
- Das Modell prognostiziert eine höhere Torgefahr für die Gastgeber (1.29 vs. 0.88 xG).
- Frühere Begegnungen zeigen einen klaren Vorteil für das Heimteam.
- Hohe Trefferquoten deuten auf ein torreiches Spiel hin (Über 2.5 Wahrscheinlichkeit: 69%).
Torwahrscheinlichkeits-Rechner
Modellschätzungen für Tormärkte basierend auf xG-Historie
Formanalyse der Teams
Durchschnittswerte pro Spiel
| Metrik | Czarni Polaniec | LKS Lagow |
|---|---|---|
| Spiele | 40 | 30 |
| Siege | 22 | 10 |
| Unentschieden | 5 | 2 |
| Niederlagen | 13 | 18 |
| Erzielte Tore | 1.82 | 0.8 |
| Gegentore | 1.32 | 2.07 |
H2H
Historische Erfolgsquoten in Hauptmärkten
Taktisches Profil
Feldpositionen & Kontrollstile
Czarni Polaniec
LKS Lagow
Sokapicks Momentum-Index
Aktueller Formindex inklusive Belastung und Gegnerstärke (0-100)
Angriffs- & Abwehrstärke
Vorhersage-Engine
Ergebnishäufigkeiten und Hauptmärkte
Value Bet Finder (+EV)
Spiele mit mathematischem Vorteil gegenüber Buchmachern
Erwarteter Spielverlauf
Dominanzkurven in 15-Minuten-Abschnitten
Both sides are expected to start cautiously, looking to control the midfield battle.
The game is expected to settle into a tactical block, with both managers looking for space on the flanks.
The tempo could accelerate as both teams push for an opening goal before half-time.
Expect tactical adjustments from both sides, possibly shifting to a wider play style.
As players tire, spaces will open up, leading to transitional counter-attacks for both teams.
A high-risk final phase where any defensive lapse could lead to late drama and decide the match.
Offensiv-Heatmaps & Schüsse
Dynamische Heat-Overlays aus Zonen-Statistiken
Smart Insights
Vom System automatisch erkannte Muster
Czarni Polaniec have found the net in 85% of their last 40 matches.
LKS Lagow have conceded at least one goal in 80% of their last 30 fixtures.
Historical meetings between these sides average 2.75 goals per match.
Czarni Polaniec remained undefeated in 2 of their last 5 overall matchups.
LKS Lagow suffered defeat in 4 of their last 5 overall games.
Risikoanalyse
Bewertung von Störfaktoren
Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.
Standard league campaign fixture. Both teams have strong incentives to secure maximum points for table positioning.
Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.
Teamvergleich
Direkter Statistikvergleich
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stal Stalowa Wola | 34 | 23 | 5 | 6 | 72:27 | 74 |
| 2 | Avia Swidnik | 34 | 19 | 11 | 4 | 58:26 | 68 |
| 3 | KS Wieczysta Krakow | 34 | 20 | 7 | 7 | 75:35 | 67 |
| 4 | Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski | 34 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 61:36 | 58 |
| 5 | Biala Podlaska | 34 | 14 | 13 | 7 | 63:42 | 55 |
| 6 | Cracovia II | 34 | 16 | 6 | 12 | 69:48 | 54 |
| 7 | Wisloka Debica | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 54:46 | 52 |
| 8 | Sokol Sieniawa | 34 | 14 | 6 | 14 | 57:65 | 48 |
| 9 | Czarni Polaniec | 34 | 15 | 2 | 17 | 47:58 | 47 |
| 10 | Podhale Nowy Targ | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 59:47 | 45 |
| 11 | Orleta Radzyn | 34 | 13 | 4 | 17 | 44:63 | 43 |
| 12 | Chelmianka Chelm | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 45:47 | 40 |
| 13 | Unia Tarnow | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 43:66 | 40 |
| 14 | Wiazownica | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 49:59 | 40 |
| 15 | Korona Kielce II | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 63:58 | 39 |
| 16 | Sandomierz | 34 | 7 | 6 | 21 | 40:91 | 27 |
| 17 | Lublinianka | 34 | 7 | 2 | 25 | 43:92 | 23 |
| 18 | LKS Lagow | 34 | 11 | 4 | 19 | 27:63 | 37 |