Sport Tipps

England

FA Cup Pride Park, Derby

Derby

1 - 3

Leeds

Unser Tipp

Spielereignisse

18'

Fraulo O.

33'

Piroe J.

Penalty Missed

35'

Brereton Diaz B.

Zusammenfassung Siegchance Tore Form H2H Taktik Spieler Indizes Vorhersagen Spielverlauf Genauigkeit Vergleich

Spielzusammenfassung

Leeds in this FA Cup tie, finishing 1-3. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Siegwahrscheinlichkeits-Meter

Basierend auf 10.000 Simulationen unter Berücksichtigung von Heimvorteil & Form

40%

Derby

33%

Unentschieden

27%

Leeds

Unentschieden-Quote: 33% Favorit: Derby

Modell-Vertrauen

Gesamter Indikatorwert

70% / Mittel Vertrauen

Form's been kind to Derby lately — more wins on the board than Leeds.
Win probability leans Derby's way, sitting at 40%.
Derby have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor Leeds, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
Starke Defensiven sprechen für ein kontrolliertes, torarmes Spiel.
These two have met 5 times recently and Leeds have taken 4 of them.

Torwahrscheinlichkeits-Rechner

Modellschätzungen für Tormärkte basierend auf xG-Historie

Über 0.5 Tore 85%

Über 1.5 Tore 75%

Über 2.5 Tore 25%

Über 3.5 Tore 22%

Über 4.5 Tore 10%

Beide treffen (BTTS) 35.2%

Derby Ohne Gegentor 68%

Leeds Ohne Gegentor 10%

Formanalyse der Teams

Durchschnittswerte pro Spiel

Metrik	Derby	Leeds
Spiele	27	28
Siege	13	11
Unentschieden	1	10
Niederlagen	13	7
Erzielte Tore	1.25	1.5
Gegentore	1.38	1.38
Erwartete Tore (xG)	1.25	1.50
Erwartete Gegentore (xGA)	1.38	1.38

H2H

Historische Erfolgsquoten in Hauptmärkten

11. Jan. 2026 FA Cup

Derby vs Leeds

1:3

29. Dez. 2024 Championship

Derby vs Leeds

0:1

7. Dez. 2024 Championship

Leeds vs Derby

2:0

19. Juli 2020 Championship

Derby vs Leeds

1:3

21. Sept. 2019 Championship

Leeds vs Derby

1:1

Schlüsselspieler-Analyse

Top-Akteure und erwartete Torbeteiligungen

Derby Vergleich

Top-Torschütze Brereton Diaz B.

1 Tore

Durchschnitt xG / Spiel 0.96

Durchschnitt xA / Spiel 0.63

Leeds Vergleich

Top-Torschütze Gnonto W.

1 Tore

Top-Vorlagengeber Tanaka A.

1 Ast

Durchschnitt xG / Spiel 1.36

Durchschnitt xA / Spiel 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum-Index

Aktueller Formindex inklusive Belastung und Gegnerstärke (0-100)

Derby 50 / 100

Leeds 26 / 100

Berechnungsgrundlage: Gewichtete Formel aus Formkurve (60%), Tordifferenzen (20%), Heimrecht (10%) und Kadertiefe (10%).

Angriffs- & Abwehrstärke

Derby Leeds

Vorhersage-Engine

Ergebnishäufigkeiten und Hauptmärkte

Haupttipp DER Win (1)

Nebentipp Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS-Prognose No (NG)

Über/Unter Tipp Under 2.5

Smart Insights

Vom System automatisch erkannte Muster

Derby scored in 93% of their last 27 games.

Defensive concern: Leeds conceded in 75% of 28 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Solid form: Derby remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Tor-Trends

Derby VS Leeds

1.25 Erzielte Tore 1.5

1.38 Kassierte Tore 1.38

75% Über 1.5 75%

63% Über 2.5 63%

25% Über 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Derby

(Home)

28 Jul

Derby

1 : 2

Valencia

24 Jul

Freiburg

3 : 1

Derby

17 Jul

Alfreton

0 : 2

Derby

02 May

Derby

1 : 2

Sheffield Utd

25 Apr

QPR

2 : 3

Derby

Page 1 of 6

Leeds

(Away)

25 Jul

Wrexham

3 : 2

Leeds

24 May

West Ham

3 : 0

Leeds

17 May

Leeds

1 : 0

Brighton

11 May

Tottenham

1 : 1

Leeds

01 May

Leeds

3 : 1

Burnley

Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

1/128-finals

Wrexham-

TBD-

Nottingham-

Ipswich-

TBD-

Blackpool1

Scunthorpe0

Reading2

Carlisle3

Hull City-

TBD-

Blackburn-

Charlton-

TBD-

Chelsea-

Port Vale5

Maldon & Tiptree1

Bromley1

Bristol Rovers2

Fleetwood Town2

Barnet1

Luton4

Forest Green3

Bristol City-

TBD-

Watford-

Colchester2

Milton Keynes Dons3

Oldham3

Northampton1

TBD-

Oxford Utd-

Everton-

TBD-

Sunderland-

Boreham Wood3

Crawley Town0

Newport3

Gillingham2

Brackley3

Notts County2

Burton6

St. Albans0

West Ham-

TBD-

QPR-

Slough Town2

Altrincham1

Macclesfield6

AFC Totton3

TBD-

Crystal Palace-

Sheffield Wed-

TBD-

Brentford-

Tranmere1

Stockport County3

Cambridge Utd3

Chester0

TBD-

Birmingham-

Derby-

TBD-

Leeds-

Norwich-

TBD-

AFC Wimbledon0

Gateshead2

Eastleigh0

Walsall3

Swansea-

TBD-

West Brom-

Tottenham-

TBD-

Aston Villa-

Newcastle Utd-

TBD-

Bournemouth-

Manchester City-

TBD-

Halifax0

Exeter2

Wycombe2

Plymouth0

Salford2

Lincoln City1

Tamworth0

Leyton Orient1

Rotherham1

Swindon2

Bolton2

Huddersfield1

Grimsby3

Ebbsfleet1

Wealdstone1

Southend0

Chelmsford4

Braintree1

Weston-super-Mare2

Aldershot1

Wolves-

TBD-

Sutton2

Telford1

South Shields1

Shrewsbury3

Liverpool-

TBD-

Peterborough1

Cardiff0

Barnsley3

York City2

Manchester United-

TBD-

Brighton-

Stoke City-

TBD-

Coventry-

Fulham-

TBD-

Middlesbrough-

Stevenage0

Chesterfield1

Crewe1

Doncaster2

TBD-

Southampton-

Cheltenham1

Bradford City0

Buxton2

Chatham1

TBD-

Leicester-

Burnley-

TBD-

Millwall-

Sheffield Utd-

TBD-

Gainsborough1

Accrington2

Mansfield3

Harrogate2

Portsmouth-

TBD-

Arsenal-

Preston-

TBD-

Wigan2

Hemel Hempstead1

Spennymoor0

Barrow2

1/64-finals

Wrexham-

TBD-

Nottingham-

Ipswich-

TBD-

Blackpool4

Carlisle1

Hull City-

TBD-

Blackburn-

Charlton-

TBD-

Chelsea-

Port Vale1

Bristol Rovers0

Fleetwood Town3

Luton2

Bristol City-

TBD-

Watford-

Milton Keynes Dons3

Oldham1

TBD-

Oxford Utd-

Everton-

TBD-

Sunderland-

Boreham Wood3

Newport0

Brackley1

Burton3

West Ham-

TBD-

QPR-

Slough Town1

Macclesfield3

TBD-

Crystal Palace-

Sheffield Wed-

TBD-

Brentford-

Stockport County0

Cambridge Utd1

TBD-

Birmingham-

Derby-

TBD-

Leeds-

Norwich-

TBD-

Gateshead0

Walsall2

Swansea-

TBD-

West Brom-

Tottenham-

TBD-

Aston Villa-

Newcastle Utd-

TBD-

Bournemouth-

Manchester City-

TBD-

Exeter4

Wycombe0

Salford4

Leyton Orient0

Swindon4

Bolton0

Grimsby4

Wealdstone0

Chelmsford0

Weston-super-Mare2

Wolves-

TBD-

Sutton1

Shrewsbury2

Liverpool-

TBD-

Peterborough0

Barnsley1

Manchester United-

TBD-

Brighton-

Stoke City-

TBD-

Coventry-

Fulham-

TBD-

Middlesbrough-

Chesterfield1

Doncaster2

TBD-

Southampton-

Cheltenham6

Buxton2

TBD-

Leicester-

Burnley-

TBD-

Millwall-

Sheffield Utd-

TBD-

Accrington2

Mansfield3

Portsmouth-

TBD-

Arsenal-

Preston-

TBD-

Wigan3

Barrow2

1/32-finals

Wrexham4

Nottingham3

Ipswich2

Blackpool1

Hull City1

Blackburn0

Charlton1

Chelsea5

Port Vale1

Fleetwood Town0

Bristol City5

Watford1

Milton Keynes Dons1

Oxford Utd2

Everton1

Sunderland2

Boreham Wood0

Burton5

West Ham2

QPR1

Macclesfield2

Crystal Palace1

Sheffield Wed0

Brentford2

Cambridge Utd2

Birmingham3

Derby1

Leeds3

Norwich5

Walsall1

Swansea2

West Brom3

Tottenham1

Aston Villa2

Newcastle Utd4

Bournemouth3

Manchester City10

Exeter1

Salford3

Swindon2

Grimsby3

Weston-super-Mare2

Wolves6

Shrewsbury1

Liverpool4

Barnsley1

Manchester United1

Brighton2

Stoke City1

Coventry0

Fulham3

Middlesbrough1

Doncaster2

Southampton3

Cheltenham0

Leicester2

Burnley5

Millwall1

Sheffield Utd3

Mansfield4

Portsmouth1

Arsenal4

Preston0

Wigan1

1/16-finals

Wrexham1

Ipswich0

Hull City0

Chelsea4

Port Vale1

Bristol City0

Oxford Utd0

Sunderland1

Burton0

West Ham1

Macclesfield0

Brentford1

Birmingham1

Leeds2

Norwich3

West Brom1

Aston Villa1

Newcastle Utd3

Manchester City2

Salford0

Grimsby0

Wolves1

Liverpool3

Brighton0

Stoke City1

Fulham2

Southampton2

Leicester1

Burnley1

Mansfield2

Arsenal4

Wigan0

1/8-finals

Wrexham2

Chelsea4

Port Vale1

Sunderland0

West Ham3

Brentford2

Leeds3

Norwich0

Newcastle Utd1

Manchester City3

Wolves1

Liverpool3

Fulham0

Southampton1

Mansfield1

Arsenal2

Quarter-finals

Chelsea7

Port Vale0

West Ham2

Leeds3

Manchester City4

Liverpool0

Southampton2

Arsenal1

Semi-finals

Chelsea1

Leeds0

Manchester City2

Southampton1

Final

Chelsea0

Manchester City1

Derby vs Leeds

England

Derby

Leeds

Spielereignisse

Spielzusammenfassung

Siegwahrscheinlichkeits-Meter

Modell-Vertrauen

Torwahrscheinlichkeits-Rechner

Formanalyse der Teams

H2H

Schlüsselspieler-Analyse

Derby Vergleich

Leeds Vergleich

SokaPicks Momentum-Index

Angriffs- & Abwehrstärke

Vorhersage-Engine

Smart Insights

Tor-Trends

Recent Form & Match History

Derby

Leeds

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Install Sokapicks PWA