Sport Tipps
Spielzusammenfassung
Desportivo Huila enters this Girabola fixture as the clear favorite, carrying a strong win probability of 59%. Desportivo Huila averages 1.2 goals scored and 0.9 conceded in recent matches. Guelson shows a form average of 0.8 goals scored and 1.7 conceded. Given their contrasting recent form profiles, this matchup is expected to produce a balanced tactical flow. Historical head-to-head records show 2 wins for Desportivo Huila, 0 wins for Guelson, and 0 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 16.05.26 ended in a 4:0 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 1.63 for Desportivo Huila and 0.56 for Guelson, suggesting the primary value lies in the Desportivo Huila double chance or over markets.
Siegwahrscheinlichkeits-Meter
Basierend auf 10.000 Simulationen unter Berücksichtigung von Heimvorteil & Form
Modell-Vertrauen
Gesamter Indikatorwert
- Desportivo Huila hat zuletzt mehr Punkte geholt als Guelson.
- Das Modell prognostiziert eine höhere Torgefahr für die Gastgeber (1.63 vs. 0.56 xG).
- Frühere Begegnungen zeigen einen klaren Vorteil für das Heimteam.
- Starke Defensiven sprechen für ein kontrolliertes, torarmes Spiel.
Torwahrscheinlichkeits-Rechner
Modellschätzungen für Tormärkte basierend auf xG-Historie
Formanalyse der Teams
Durchschnittswerte pro Spiel
| Metrik | Desportivo Huila | Guelson |
|---|---|---|
| Spiele | 30 | 30 |
| Siege | 12 | 6 |
| Unentschieden | 10 | 3 |
| Niederlagen | 8 | 21 |
| Erzielte Tore | 1.17 | 0.8 |
| Gegentore | 0.87 | 1.67 |
| Erwartete Tore (xG) | 1.25 | 0.25 |
| Erwartete Gegentore (xGA) | 0.88 | 2.00 |
H2H
Historische Erfolgsquoten in Hauptmärkten
Taktisches Profil
Feldpositionen & Kontrollstile
Desportivo Huila
Guelson
Sokapicks Momentum-Index
Aktueller Formindex inklusive Belastung und Gegnerstärke (0-100)
Angriffs- & Abwehrstärke
Vorhersage-Engine
Ergebnishäufigkeiten und Hauptmärkte
Value Bet Finder (+EV)
Spiele mit mathematischem Vorteil gegenüber Buchmachern
Erwarteter Spielverlauf
Dominanzkurven in 15-Minuten-Abschnitten
Desportivo Huila is expected to start with high intensity, putting pressure on the visitors early.
Guelson will try to absorb the pressure and slow down the tempo of Desportivo Huila's attacks.
Expect Desportivo Huila to create chances through sustained possession before the break.
Tactical adjustments at half-time will see Desportivo Huila vary their attacking width.
Fatigue may set in for Guelson, allowing Desportivo Huila's midfield to exploit vertical gaps.
Expect a final offensive push from Desportivo Huila, while Guelson takes risks to salvage a result.
Offensiv-Heatmaps & Schüsse
Dynamische Heat-Overlays aus Zonen-Statistiken
Smart Insights
Vom System automatisch erkannte Muster
Desportivo Huila have found the net in 67% of their last 30 matches.
Guelson have conceded at least one goal in 73% of their last 30 fixtures.
Historical meetings between these sides average 3.50 goals per match.
Desportivo Huila remained undefeated in 4 of their last 5 overall matchups.
Guelson suffered defeat in 3 of their last 5 overall games.
Risikoanalyse
Bewertung von Störfaktoren
Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.
Standard league campaign fixture. Both teams have strong incentives to secure maximum points for table positioning.
Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.
Teamvergleich
Direkter Statistikvergleich
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Petro Atletico | 30 | 22 | 6 | 2 | 63:15 | 72 |
| 2 | Wiliete | 30 | 18 | 8 | 4 | 49:29 | 62 |
| 3 | Primeiro de Agosto | 30 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 47:22 | 57 |
| 4 | Desportivo Huila | 30 | 12 | 10 | 8 | 35:26 | 46 |
| 5 | Kabuscorp | 30 | 10 | 12 | 8 | 26:22 | 42 |
| 6 | Bravos do Maquis | 30 | 12 | 6 | 12 | 33:30 | 42 |
| 7 | Interclube | 30 | 9 | 13 | 8 | 35:28 | 40 |
| 8 | CD Lunda Sul | 30 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 27:28 | 40 |
| 9 | Primeiro de Maio | 30 | 10 | 7 | 13 | 29:33 | 37 |
| 10 | Sagrada | 30 | 8 | 11 | 11 | 33:40 | 35 |
| 11 | Sao Salvador | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 27:33 | 35 |
| 12 | Academica | 30 | 8 | 11 | 11 | 25:30 | 35 |
| 13 | C.R.D. Libolo | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 26:37 | 34 |
| 14 | Luanda City | 30 | 9 | 6 | 15 | 21:45 | 33 |
| 15 | Redonda | 30 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 15:47 | 21 |
| 16 | Guelson | 30 | 6 | 3 | 21 | 24:50 | 21 |