Sport Tipps
Douglas Haig vs Independiente Chivilcoy
Argentinien
Torneo Federal Miguel Morales, Pergamino 
Spielereignisse
4'
4'
Palacio J.
31'
31'
Borgognoni G.
42'
42'
Magnago B.
Spielzusammenfassung
The Torneo Federal game between Douglas Haig and Independiente Chivilcoy finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Douglas Haig.
Siegwahrscheinlichkeits-Meter
Basierend auf 10.000 Simulationen unter Berücksichtigung von Heimvorteil & Form
36%
30%
34%
Unentschieden-Quote: 30% Favorit: Douglas Haig
Modell-Vertrauen
Gesamter Indikatorwert
66%
/ Mittel Vertrauen
- Look at the last few games and Douglas Haig come out ahead of Independiente Chivilcoy on wins alone.
- Douglas Haig are the model's pick here, at 36%.
- Regular Torneo Federal form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Starke Defensiven sprechen für ein kontrolliertes, torarmes Spiel.
Torwahrscheinlichkeits-Rechner
Modellschätzungen für Tormärkte basierend auf xG-Historie
Über 0.5 Tore 85%
Über 1.5 Tore 69%
Über 2.5 Tore 25%
Über 3.5 Tore 12.5%
Über 4.5 Tore 6%
Beide treffen (BTTS) 26.4%
Douglas Haig Ohne Gegentor 68%
Independiente Chivilcoy Ohne Gegentor 68%
Formanalyse der Teams
Durchschnittswerte pro Spiel
| Metrik | Douglas Haig | Independiente Chivilcoy |
|---|---|---|
| Spiele | 32 | 29 |
| Siege | 14 | 8 |
| Unentschieden | 7 | 11 |
| Niederlagen | 11 | 10 |
| Erzielte Tore | 1.34 | 0.86 |
| Gegentore | 1 | 1.03 |
| Erwartete Tore (xG) | 1.06 | 0.94 |
| Erwartete Gegentore (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historische Erfolgsquoten in Hauptmärkten
28. Juni 2026 Torneo Federal
Independiente Chivilcoy vs Douglas Haig
0:4
26. Apr. 2026 Torneo Federal
Douglas Haig vs Independiente Chivilcoy
1:0
11. Okt. 2025 Torneo Federal
Independiente Chivilcoy vs Douglas Haig
1:0
5. Okt. 2025 Torneo Federal
Douglas Haig vs Independiente Chivilcoy
4:2
1. Sept. 2025 Torneo Federal
Independiente Chivilcoy vs Douglas Haig
2:0
Schlüsselspieler-Analyse
Top-Akteure und erwartete Torbeteiligungen
Douglas Haig Vergleich
Top-Torschütze Palacio J.
1 Tore Durchschnitt xG / Spiel 0.82
Durchschnitt xA / Spiel 0.53
Independiente Chivilcoy Vergleich
Durchschnitt xG / Spiel 0.85
Durchschnitt xA / Spiel 0.52
SokaPicks Momentum-Index
Aktueller Formindex inklusive Belastung und Gegnerstärke (0-100)
Douglas Haig 46 / 100
Independiente Chivilcoy 44 / 100
Berechnungsgrundlage: Gewichtete Formel aus Formkurve (60%), Tordifferenzen (20%), Heimrecht (10%) und Kadertiefe (10%).
Angriffs- & Abwehrstärke
Douglas Haig Independiente Chivilcoy
Vorhersage-Engine
Ergebnishäufigkeiten und Hauptmärkte
Haupttipp Draw (X)
Nebentipp Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS-Prognose No (NG)
Über/Unter Tipp Under 2.5
Smart Insights
Vom System automatisch erkannte Muster
Douglas Haig found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (32 games).
H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.
Douglas Haig went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Independiente Chivilcoy's defensive record shows goals conceded in 55% of 29 matches.
Tor-Trends
Douglas Haig VS Independiente Chivilcoy
1.25 Erzielte Tore 0.88
1 Kassierte Tore 0.88
63% Über 1.5 75%
63% Über 2.5 25%
25% Über 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Douglas Haig
(Home) 30 Aug
Douglas Haig
1 : 2 Sol de America
23 Aug
Bartolome Mitre
0 : 3 Douglas Haig
16 Aug
Douglas Haig
3 : 1 Sarmiento de La Banda
12 Aug
Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo
0 : 0 Douglas Haig
08 Aug
Douglas Haig
1 : 4 San Martin Formosa
Page 1 of 7
30 Aug
Douglas Haig
1 : 2 Sol de America
16 Aug
Douglas Haig
3 : 1 Sarmiento de La Banda
08 Aug
Douglas Haig
1 : 4 San Martin Formosa
26 Jul
Douglas Haig
2 : 1 9 de Julio Rafaela
05 Jul
Douglas Haig
0 : 0 Sportivo Las Parejas
Page 1 of 3
Independiente Chivilcoy
(Away) 06 Sept
Independiente Chivilcoy
1 : 0 El Linqueno
30 Aug
Gimnasia E.R.
0 : 0 Independiente Chivilcoy
23 Aug
Independiente Chivilcoy
2 : 0 Tucuman Central
16 Aug
Sportivo Las Parejas
0 : 0 Independiente Chivilcoy
12 Aug
Independiente Chivilcoy
1 : 2 Sarmiento Resistencia
Page 1 of 6
30 Aug
Gimnasia E.R.
0 : 0 Independiente Chivilcoy
16 Aug
Sportivo Las Parejas
0 : 0 Independiente Chivilcoy
08 Aug
Boca Unidos
1 : 1 Independiente Chivilcoy
12 Jul
El Linqueno
2 : 1 Independiente Chivilcoy
05 Jul
Sportivo Belgrano
1 : 1 Independiente Chivilcoy
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Douglas Haig | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 22:15 | 31 |
| 2 | Sportivo Belgrano | 18 | 7 | 9 | 2 | 21:9 | 30 |
| 3 | Gimnasia Chivilcoy | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 17:12 | 27 |
| 4 | Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 24:20 | 27 |
| 5 | 9 de Julio Rafaela | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 28:27 | 25 |
| 6 | Sportivo Las Parejas | 18 | 5 | 9 | 4 | 12:13 | 24 |
| 7 | Atletico Escobar | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 21:29 | 22 |
| 8 | Independiente Chivilcoy | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 15:22 | 19 |
| 9 | El Linqueno | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 14:21 | 19 |
| 10 | Gimnasia E.R. | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 12:18 | 17 |
Promotion - Torneo Federal (Winners stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | San Martin Formosa | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 25:19 | 30 |
| 2 | Bartolome Mitre | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 13:7 | 26 |
| 3 | Sol de America | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 19:14 | 26 |
| 4 | Sarmiento de La Banda | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 17:15 | 25 |
| 5 | Juventud Antoniana | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 19:11 | 25 |
| 6 | Defensores de Vilelas | 16 | 6 | 1 | 9 | 21:26 | 19 |
| 7 | Boca Unidos | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 19:25 | 18 |
| 8 | Tucuman Central | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 14:19 | 17 |
| 9 | Sarmiento Resistencia | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 12:23 | 15 |
Promotion - Torneo Federal (Winners stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cipolletti | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 19:15 | 25 |
| 2 | Argentino MM | 16 | 5 | 8 | 3 | 16:12 | 23 |
| 3 | Biblioteca Atenas | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 12:13 | 23 |
| 4 | Huracan Las Heras | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 11:13 | 23 |
| 5 | Fundacion Amigos | 16 | 4 | 9 | 3 | 17:14 | 21 |
| 6 | Deportivo Rincon | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 13:16 | 19 |
| 7 | San Martin Mendoza | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 11:15 | 19 |
| 8 | Costa Brava | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 12:13 | 18 |
| 9 | Juventud U.U. | 16 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 10:10 | 17 |
Promotion - Torneo Federal (Winners stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Olimpo Bahia Blanca | 16 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 13:4 | 31 |
| 2 | Alvarado | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 19:7 | 27 |
| 3 | Kimberley | 16 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 15:9 | 26 |
| 4 | Villa Mitre | 16 | 5 | 8 | 3 | 14:8 | 23 |
| 5 | Germinal | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 7:14 | 18 |
| 6 | Sol de Mayo | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 15:18 | 18 |
| 7 | Guillermo Brown | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 13:20 | 17 |
| 8 | Santamarina | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 9:17 | 13 |
| 9 | Circulo Deportivo | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 8:16 | 13 |
Promotion - Torneo Federal (Winners stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
