Sport Tipps

Stadium Background

Dumbarton vs Keith - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Scotland Scotland

Scottish Cup
Sa., 24. Okt. 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Unser Tipp

Spielzusammenfassung

A one-off knockout match in the Scottish Cup. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Dumbarton have averaged 1.33 scored and 2.3 conceded recently, against Keith's 1.83 scored and 1.53 conceded. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. Model xG sits at 2.06 vs 1.75, favoring Keith. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Siegwahrscheinlichkeits-Meter

Basierend auf 10.000 Simulationen unter Berücksichtigung von Heimvorteil & Form

40%
Dumbarton
33%
Unentschieden
27%
Keith
Unentschieden-Quote: 33% Favorit: Dumbarton

Modell-Vertrauen

Gesamter Indikatorwert

70% / Mittel Vertrauen
  • Keith have won more games recently than Dumbarton.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Dumbarton taking it.
  • Keith arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • These two have never met before — a fresh matchup with no historical pattern to lean on.
  • Hohe Trefferquoten deuten auf ein torreiches Spiel hin (Über 2.5 Wahrscheinlichkeit: 78%).

Torwahrscheinlichkeits-Rechner

Modellschätzungen für Tormärkte basierend auf xG-Historie

Über 0.5 Tore 99%
Über 1.5 Tore 94%
Über 2.5 Tore 78%
Über 3.5 Tore 50%
Über 4.5 Tore 23%
Beide treffen (BTTS) 75%
Dumbarton Ohne Gegentor 12%
Keith Ohne Gegentor 10%

Formanalyse der Teams

Durchschnittswerte pro Spiel

Metrik Dumbarton Keith
Spiele 30 30
Siege 10 17
Unentschieden 3 4
Niederlagen 17 9
Erzielte Tore 1.33 1.83
Gegentore 2.3 1.53
Erwartete Tore (xG) 2.06 1.75
Erwartete Gegentore (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historische Erfolgsquoten in Hauptmärkten

SokaPicks Momentum-Index

Aktueller Formindex inklusive Belastung und Gegnerstärke (0-100)

Dumbarton 38 / 100
Keith 26 / 100
Berechnungsgrundlage: Gewichtete Formel aus Formkurve (60%), Tordifferenzen (20%), Heimrecht (10%) und Kadertiefe (10%).

Angriffs- & Abwehrstärke

ANGRIFF ABWEHR BALLBESITZ DISZIPLIN
Dumbarton Keith

Vorhersage-Engine

Ergebnishäufigkeiten und Hauptmärkte

Haupttipp Dumbarton Win (1)
Nebentipp Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS-Prognose Yes (GG)
Über/Unter Tipp Over 2.5

Smart Insights

Vom System automatisch erkannte Muster

Dumbarton found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

Keith let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Recent resilience: Dumbarton stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Difficult form: Keith registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Tor-Trends

Dumbarton VS Keith
2 Erzielte Tore 1.38
2.13 Kassierte Tore 2.13
100% Über 1.5 88%
100% Über 2.5 63%
50% Über 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Dumbarton

(Home)
13 Oct
Clydebank FC
4 : 0
Dumbarton
10 Oct
Clyde
2 : 1
Dumbarton
03 Oct
Dumbarton
2 : 1
Forfar Athletic
26 Sept
Dumbarton
3 : 2
Banks O' Dee
22 Sept
Dumbarton
3 : 2
Kilmarnock B
Page 1 of 6

Keith

(Away)
10 Oct
Huntly
2 : 0
Keith
07 Oct
Keith
1 : 0
Turriff United
03 Oct
Keith
2 : 1
Stonehaven
26 Sept
Brora Rangers
5 : 0
Keith
19 Sept
Keith
2 : 3
Strathspey Thistle
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
Boness United 3
Irvine Meadow 2
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Forfar Athletic -
Edinburgh City -
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Kelty Hearts -
Rothes 0
Brora Rangers 9
Cowdenbeath 4
Berwick 0
Newton Stewart 1
Johnstone Burgh 3
Civil Service Strollers 0
Formartine Utd 2
Brechin 3
Buckie Thistle 2
Strathspey Thistle 3
Dalbeattie Star 2
Lochee United 3
Inverurie Loco Works 2
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Spartans -
Haddington Athletic 0
Cumbernauld Colts 2
Kirkintilloch Rob Roy 1
Banks O' Dee 2
Hill Of Beath 2
Glasgow University 0
Musselburgh 2
Lossiemouth 1
Gala Fairydean Rovers 0
Largs Thistle 1
Dunipace 5
Preston Athletic 2
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Keith 2
Stonehaven 1
Nairn County 0
Gretna 2008 1
Cumnock Juniors 2
Auchinleck Talbot 0
Deveronvale 2
Troon FC 3
Caledonian Braves 4
Fraserburgh 0
Beith 0
Huntly 3
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Annan -
Forres Mechanics 0
Stirling University 1
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Elgin City -
Renfrew 3
Broxburn Athletic 2
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Stirling -
Bonnyton Thistle 2
East Stirlingshire 0
Clachnacuddin 2
Bonnyrigg Rose 0
Stranraer -
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Tayport FC 3
Wick Academy 0
Penicuik 3
Kilwinning Rangers 1
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Clyde -
Threave Rovers 3
Invergordon 2
Pollok 4
Albion Rovers 1
Linlithgow Rose 0
Clydebank FC 1
Tranent FC 3
Turriff United 1
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1/64-finals
Boness United -
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Edinburgh City -
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Johnstone Burgh -
Formartine Utd -
Brechin -
Strathspey Thistle -
Lochee United -
Spartans -
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Banks O' Dee -
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Largs Thistle -
Dunipace -
Dumbarton -
Keith -
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Cumnock Juniors -
Troon FC -
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Stirling University -
Elgin City -
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