Sport Tipps
Spielzusammenfassung
This Premier Division encounter between Dundalk and Shelbourne promises to be a closely contested affair, with win probabilities pointing to an even matchup. Dundalk averages 1.8 goals scored and 1.4 conceded in recent matches. Shelbourne shows a form average of 1.6 goals scored and 1.4 conceded. Given their contrasting recent form profiles, this matchup is expected to produce a balanced tactical flow. Historical head-to-head records show 1 wins for Dundalk, 3 wins for Shelbourne, and 1 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 01.05.26 ended in a 1:2 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 1.31 for Dundalk and 1.25 for Shelbourne, suggesting the primary value lies in the Dundalk double chance or over markets.
Siegwahrscheinlichkeits-Meter
Basierend auf 10.000 Simulationen unter Berücksichtigung von Heimvorteil & Form
Modell-Vertrauen
Gesamter Indikatorwert
- Dundalk hat zuletzt mehr Punkte geholt als Shelbourne.
- Das Modell prognostiziert eine höhere Torgefahr für die Gastgeber (1.31 vs. 1.25 xG).
- Frühere Begegnungen zeigen einen klaren Vorteil für das Heimteam.
- Hohe Trefferquoten deuten auf ein torreiches Spiel hin (Über 2.5 Wahrscheinlichkeit: 65%).
Torwahrscheinlichkeits-Rechner
Modellschätzungen für Tormärkte basierend auf xG-Historie
Formanalyse der Teams
Durchschnittswerte pro Spiel
| Metrik | Dundalk | Shelbourne |
|---|---|---|
| Spiele | 27 | 28 |
| Siege | 12 | 10 |
| Unentschieden | 9 | 12 |
| Niederlagen | 6 | 6 |
| Erzielte Tore | 1.78 | 1.57 |
| Gegentore | 1.37 | 1.36 |
| Erwartete Tore (xG) | 1.63 | 1.00 |
| Erwartete Gegentore (xGA) | 1.50 | 1.00 |
H2H
Historische Erfolgsquoten in Hauptmärkten
Taktisches Profil
Feldpositionen & Kontrollstile
Dundalk
Shelbourne
Schlüsselspieler-Analyse
Top-Akteure und erwartete Torbeteiligungen
Dundalk Vergleich
Shelbourne Vergleich
Kader-Verfügbarkeit
Sokapicks Momentum-Index
Aktueller Formindex inklusive Belastung und Gegnerstärke (0-100)
Angriffs- & Abwehrstärke
Vorhersage-Engine
Ergebnishäufigkeiten und Hauptmärkte
Value Bet Finder (+EV)
Spiele mit mathematischem Vorteil gegenüber Buchmachern
Erwarteter Spielverlauf
Dominanzkurven in 15-Minuten-Abschnitten
Both sides are expected to start cautiously, looking to control the midfield battle.
The game is expected to settle into a tactical block, with both managers looking for space on the flanks.
The tempo could accelerate as both teams push for an opening goal before half-time.
Expect tactical adjustments from both sides, possibly shifting to a wider play style.
As players tire, spaces will open up, leading to transitional counter-attacks for both teams.
A high-risk final phase where any defensive lapse could lead to late drama and decide the match.
Offensiv-Heatmaps & Schüsse
Dynamische Heat-Overlays aus Zonen-Statistiken
Smart Insights
Vom System automatisch erkannte Muster
Dundalk have found the net in 93% of their last 27 matches.
Shelbourne have conceded at least one goal in 75% of their last 28 fixtures.
Historical meetings between these sides average 2.40 goals per match.
Dundalk remained undefeated in 4 of their last 5 overall matchups.
Shelbourne suffered defeat in 1 of their last 5 overall games.
Risikoanalyse
Bewertung von Störfaktoren
Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.
Standard league campaign fixture. Both teams have strong incentives to secure maximum points for table positioning.
Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.
Teamvergleich
Direkter Statistikvergleich
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Shamrock Rovers | 24 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 38:21 | 47 |
| 2 | Bohemians | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 38:27 | 40 |
| 3 | St. Patricks | 22 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 35:19 | 38 |
| 4 | Dundalk | 22 | 9 | 8 | 5 | 36:32 | 35 |
| 5 | Shelbourne | 23 | 7 | 10 | 6 | 33:34 | 31 |
| 6 | Derry City | 24 | 6 | 11 | 7 | 30:27 | 29 |
| 7 | Galway United | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 29:34 | 24 |
| 8 | Drogheda | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 27:38 | 22 |
| 9 | Sligo Rovers | 22 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 17:35 | 20 |
| 10 | Waterford | 22 | 3 | 8 | 11 | 28:44 | 17 |