Sport Tipps

Stadium Background

East Kilbride vs Kelty Hearts - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Scotland Scotland

Challenge Cup K-Park Training Academy, East Kilbride
Di., 13. Okt. 2026
VS
06:45 PM
Unser Tipp

Spielzusammenfassung

A one-off knockout match in the Challenge Cup. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. East Kilbride have averaged 2.62 scored and 1.55 conceded recently, against Kelty Hearts's 1.43 scored and 1.93 conceded. Head-to-head, East Kilbride have won 2 to Kelty Hearts's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on 27. Juni 2026, ending 4:0. xG projections (1.94 - 1.81) back East Kilbride to edge this. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Siegwahrscheinlichkeits-Meter

Basierend auf 10.000 Simulationen unter Berücksichtigung von Heimvorteil & Form

30%
East Kilbride
39%
Unentschieden
31%
Kelty Hearts
Unentschieden-Quote: 39% Favorit: Draw

Modell-Vertrauen

Gesamter Indikatorwert

65% / Mittel Vertrauen
  • East Kilbride carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • East Kilbride have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Kelty Hearts, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Hohe Trefferquoten deuten auf ein torreiches Spiel hin (Über 2.5 Wahrscheinlichkeit: 78%).

Torwahrscheinlichkeits-Rechner

Modellschätzungen für Tormärkte basierend auf xG-Historie

Über 0.5 Tore 99%
Über 1.5 Tore 88%
Über 2.5 Tore 78%
Über 3.5 Tore 50.5%
Über 4.5 Tore 23%
Beide treffen (BTTS) 73.4%
East Kilbride Ohne Gegentor 11%
Kelty Hearts Ohne Gegentor 10%

Formanalyse der Teams

Durchschnittswerte pro Spiel

Metrik East Kilbride Kelty Hearts
Spiele 29 30
Siege 18 12
Unentschieden 4 2
Niederlagen 7 16
Erzielte Tore 2.62 1.43
Gegentore 1.55 1.93
Erwartete Tore (xG) 1.94 1.81
Erwartete Gegentore (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historische Erfolgsquoten in Hauptmärkten

27. Juni 2026 Club Friendly
East Kilbride vs Kelty Hearts
4:0
10. Apr. 2021 Lowland League
East Kilbride vs Kelty Hearts
0:0
7. Nov. 2020 Lowland League
Kelty Hearts vs East Kilbride
0:1
7. Dez. 2019 Lowland League
Kelty Hearts vs East Kilbride
1:0
2. Nov. 2019 Lowland League
East Kilbride vs Kelty Hearts
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum-Index

Aktueller Formindex inklusive Belastung und Gegnerstärke (0-100)

East Kilbride 29 / 100
Kelty Hearts 30 / 100
Berechnungsgrundlage: Gewichtete Formel aus Formkurve (60%), Tordifferenzen (20%), Heimrecht (10%) und Kadertiefe (10%).

Angriffs- & Abwehrstärke

ANGRIFF ABWEHR BALLBESITZ DISZIPLIN
East Kilbride Kelty Hearts

Vorhersage-Engine

Ergebnishäufigkeiten und Hauptmärkte

Haupttipp East Kilbride Win (1)
Nebentipp Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS-Prognose Yes (GG)
Über/Unter Tipp Over 2.5

Smart Insights

Vom System automatisch erkannte Muster

East Kilbride found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (29 games).

Kelty Hearts has conceded goals in 90% of their last 30 outings.

East Kilbride went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Away concern: Kelty Hearts has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Tor-Trends

East Kilbride VS Kelty Hearts
2.13 Erzielte Tore 1.75
1.88 Kassierte Tore 1.75
88% Über 1.5 88%
88% Über 2.5 75%
63% Über 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

East Kilbride

(Home)
03 Oct
East Fife
0 : 3
East Kilbride
26 Sept
Stranraer
4 : 3
East Kilbride
22 Sept
East Kilbride
3 : 3
Celtic B
19 Sept
Alloa
1 : 2
East Kilbride
12 Sept
East Kilbride
3 : 1
Peterhead
Page 1 of 6

Kelty Hearts

(Away)
03 Oct
Spartans
0 : 2
Kelty Hearts
26 Sept
Kelty Hearts
2 : 1
Montrose
22 Sept
Kelty Hearts
3 : 5
Hearts B
19 Sept
Kelty Hearts
1 : 3
Edinburgh City
12 Sept
Clyde
4 : 1
Kelty Hearts
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Clydebank FC 5 4 1 0 13:4 13
2 Ross County 5 4 0 1 28:6 12
3 Airdrieonians 5 4 0 1 18:6 12
4 Elgin City 5 4 0 1 14:2 12
5 Cove Rangers 5 4 0 1 17:6 12
6 Peterhead 5 4 0 1 11:4 12
7 Alloa 5 3 2 0 12:5 11
8 Queen of the South 5 3 2 0 11:4 11
9 East Kilbride 5 3 1 1 17:12 10
10 Stirling 5 3 1 1 14:10 10
11 Edinburgh City 5 3 1 1 6:4 10
12 St. Mirren B 5 3 0 2 14:8 9
13 Hamilton 5 3 0 2 9:4 9
14 Montrose 5 3 0 2 11:7 9
15 Celtic B 5 2 3 0 15:12 9
16 Formartine Utd 5 3 0 2 11:8 9
17 Kelty Hearts 5 3 0 2 14:13 9
18 Bonnyrigg Rose 5 3 0 2 8:10 9
19 Hearts B 5 3 0 2 15:26 9
20 Annan 5 2 2 1 9:5 8
21 Spartans 5 2 2 1 8:6 8
22 Aberdeen B 5 2 1 2 10:8 7
23 East Fife 5 2 1 2 12:11 7
24 Forfar Athletic 5 2 1 2 5:7 7
25 Berwick 5 2 1 2 10:15 7
26 Dumbarton 5 2 1 2 10:15 7
27 Stranraer 5 2 0 3 13:12 6
28 Rangers B 5 2 0 3 11:10 6
29 Clachnacuddin 5 1 1 3 10:12 4
30 Kilmarnock B 5 1 1 3 8:13 4
31 Banks O' Dee 5 1 1 3 6:14 4
32 Fraserburgh 5 1 1 3 5:18 4
33 Clyde 5 1 0 4 6:14 3
34 Dundee Utd B 5 1 0 4 4:12 3
35 Cumbernauld Colts 5 0 2 3 4:13 2
36 Gala Fairydean Rovers 5 0 2 3 3:15 2
37 Cowdenbeath 5 0 0 5 4:12 0
38 Dundee FC B 5 0 0 5 4:13 0
39 Hibernian B 5 0 0 5 2:12 0
40 Motherwell B 5 0 0 5 4:18 0
Promotion - Challenge Cup (Play Offs)