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Elva vs Raasiku Joker - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Estonia Estonia

Estonian Cup Nike Arena, Elva
Mi., 12. Aug. 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Unser Tipp

Spielzusammenfassung

The first leg ended 0-0. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. Little to choose between these two on current form. Recent numbers: Elva at 1.76 goals for, 1.41 against; Raasiku Joker at 1.8 for, 2.3 against. Head-to-head, Elva have won 2 to Raasiku Joker's 1, with 2 draws. They last met on 12. Aug. 2026, ending 0:0. The numbers (1.98 xG vs 0.81) point toward Elva. AI prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.

Siegwahrscheinlichkeits-Meter

Basierend auf 10.000 Simulationen unter Berücksichtigung von Heimvorteil & Form

36%
Elva
30%
Unentschieden
34%
Raasiku Joker
Unentschieden-Quote: 30% Favorit: Elva

Modell-Vertrauen

Gesamter Indikatorwert

66% / Mittel Vertrauen
  • Raasiku Joker haven't matched Elva's recent run of results.
  • Elva are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • Elva have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Raasiku Joker, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Hohe Trefferquoten deuten auf ein torreiches Spiel hin (Über 2.5 Wahrscheinlichkeit: 78%).

Torwahrscheinlichkeits-Rechner

Modellschätzungen für Tormärkte basierend auf xG-Historie

Über 0.5 Tore 92%
Über 1.5 Tore 82%
Über 2.5 Tore 78%
Über 3.5 Tore 70%
Über 4.5 Tore 32%
Beide treffen (BTTS) 73.4%
Elva Ohne Gegentor 20%
Raasiku Joker Ohne Gegentor 10%

Formanalyse der Teams

Durchschnittswerte pro Spiel

Metrik Elva Raasiku Joker
Spiele 29 30
Siege 15 9
Unentschieden 5 7
Niederlagen 9 14
Erzielte Tore 1.76 1.8
Gegentore 1.41 2.3
Erwartete Tore (xG) 1.98 0.81
Erwartete Gegentore (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historische Erfolgsquoten in Hauptmärkten

12. Aug. 2026 Estonian Cup
Elva vs Raasiku Joker
0:0
16. Okt. 2016 Esiliiga B
Raasiku Joker vs Elva
2:3
16. Juli 2016 Esiliiga B
Elva vs Raasiku Joker
3:0
8. Juni 2016 Esiliiga B
Elva vs Raasiku Joker
2:4
20. März 2016 Esiliiga B
Raasiku Joker vs Elva
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum-Index

Aktueller Formindex inklusive Belastung und Gegnerstärke (0-100)

Elva 36 / 100
Raasiku Joker 33 / 100
Berechnungsgrundlage: Gewichtete Formel aus Formkurve (60%), Tordifferenzen (20%), Heimrecht (10%) und Kadertiefe (10%).

Angriffs- & Abwehrstärke

ANGRIFF ABWEHR BALLBESITZ DISZIPLIN
Elva Raasiku Joker

Vorhersage-Engine

Ergebnishäufigkeiten und Hauptmärkte

Haupttipp Draw (X)
Nebentipp Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS-Prognose Yes (GG)
Über/Unter Tipp Over 2.5

Smart Insights

Vom System automatisch erkannte Muster

Raasiku Joker let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Elva scored in 75% of their last 28 outings.

Elva went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Tor-Trends

Elva VS Raasiku Joker
2.75 Erzielte Tore 0.5
1.13 Kassierte Tore 0
100% Über 1.5 0%
100% Über 2.5 0%
63% Über 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Elva

(Home)
24 Sept
Elva
3 : 2
Tallinna Kalev
19 Sept
Elva
1 : 1
FC Tallinn
13 Sept
Flora Tallinn U21
1 : 2
Elva
10 Sept
Viimsi JK
5 : 0
Elva
06 Sept
Elva
1 : 0
Kalju U21
Page 1 of 6

Raasiku Joker

(Away)
12 Aug
Elva
:
Raasiku Joker
22 Jul
Arukula Vigri
0 : 1
Raasiku Joker
20 Aug
Raasiku Joker
1 : 4
Nomme Utd
27 Jul
Tallinna Wolves
3 : 4
Raasiku Joker
25 Jul
Raasiku Joker
4 : 5
JK Poseidon
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Flora -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
JK Arsenal 0
Tallinna Kalev U21 3
Rakvere FC Freedom 3
Kena JK 2
EstHam United -
TBD -
Kose 8
Kummik 0
Rumori Calcio II -
TBD -
TBD -
Tartu JK Welco -
Laanemaa Haapsalu -
TBD -
Jarva-Jaani 0
Elva 4
Arukula Vigri -
TBD -
TBD -
Raasiku Joker -
Tammeka Tartu U19 -
TBD -
TBD -
Tallinna Kalev -
Tartu Kalev 4
Paide Linnameeskond III 3
TBD -
Kuusalu Kalev -
Narva 10
Vana Hea Puur 0
TBD -
Flora Tallinn U21 -
Marjamaa Kompanii -
TBD -
TBD -
Generation Tallinn -
JK Poseidon -
TBD -
Helm 30
Deliirium 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kalju -
Hiiumaa -
TBD -
TBD -
Tulevik -
Nomme Utd -
TBD -
TBD -
Raplamaa -
Johvi Phoenix 4
Elva III 2
TBD -
FC Hell Hunt -
Lahte United 1
Tabasalu Ulasabat 3
TBD -
Parnu JK Vaprus -
Kristiine -
TBD -
TBD -
Jogeva Wolves -
Kuressaare -
TBD -
TBD -
Tartu JK Welco 2 -
TransferWise -
TBD -
TBD -
Olympic Tallinn -
Saku Sporting -
TBD -
TBD -
Legion -
Kohvile -
TBD -
TBD -
Rumori Calcio -
Tammeka Tartu -
TBD -
TBD -
Zealot Sporting -
Tartu Helios -
TBD -
TBD -
Soccernet -
Viimsi JK -
TBD -
TBD -
Nomme Utd U19 -
FC Tallinn -
TBD -
TBD -
Tallinna FC Zapoos -
Saue JK Laagri 6
Viimsi Lovid 0
TBD -
Harju JK Laagri U21 -
Harju JK Laagri -
TBD -
TBD -
Rae Spordikool -
Tallinna Wolves 0
Tabasalu 10
TBD -
Tamper -
Levadia -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Paide Linnameeskond -
TalTech JK -
TBD -
TBD -
Keila JK -
Flora U19 -
TBD -
TBD -
Pohja-Tallinna -
1/32-finals
Flora -
TBD -
Tallinna Kalev U21 4
Rakvere FC Freedom 2
EstHam United 1
Kose 5
Rumori Calcio II 0
Tartu JK Welco 12
Laanemaa Haapsalu 0
Elva 6
Arukula Vigri 0
Raasiku Joker 1
Tammeka Tartu U19 0
Tallinna Kalev 8
Tartu Kalev 7
Kuusalu Kalev 0
Narva 1
Flora Tallinn U21 0
Marjamaa Kompanii 8
Generation Tallinn 4
JK Poseidon 3
Helm 2
TBD -
Kalju -
Hiiumaa 4
Tulevik 1
Nomme Utd 12
Raplamaa 0
Johvi Phoenix 8
FC Hell Hunt 1
Tabasalu Ulasabat 1
Parnu JK Vaprus 4
Kristiine 8
Jogeva Wolves 3
Kuressaare 5
Tartu JK Welco 2 1
TransferWise 3
Olympic Tallinn 6
Saku Sporting 2
Legion 1
Kohvile 1
Rumori Calcio 4
Tammeka Tartu 19
Zealot Sporting 0
Tartu Helios -
Soccernet -
Viimsi JK 4
Nomme Utd U19 0
FC Tallinn 4
Tallinna FC Zapoos 1
Saue JK Laagri 1
Harju JK Laagri U21 2
Harju JK Laagri 8
Rae Spordikool 0
Tabasalu 0
Tamper 2
Levadia -
TBD -
TBD -
Paide Linnameeskond -
TalTech JK 0
Keila JK 6
Flora U19 6
Pohja-Tallinna 3
1/16-finals
Flora -
Tallinna Kalev U21 -
Kose 0
Tartu JK Welco 8
Elva -
Raasiku Joker -
Tallinna Kalev 8
Tartu Kalev 0
Narva 8
Marjamaa Kompanii 0
JK Poseidon 0
Kalju 12
Hiiumaa 0
Nomme Utd 2
Johvi Phoenix 0
Parnu JK Vaprus 5
Kristiine 0
Kuressaare 8
Olympic Tallinn 0
Saku Sporting 7
Rumori Calcio 0
Tammeka Tartu 1
Tartu Helios 1
Viimsi JK 4
FC Tallinn 5
Harju JK Laagri U21 0
Harju JK Laagri 3
Tamper 1
Levadia 4
Paide Linnameeskond 1
Keila JK 3
Flora U19 2
1/8-finals
TBD -
Tartu JK Welco -
Elva 3
Tallinna Kalev 2
Narva 2
Kalju 0
Nomme Utd 3
Parnu JK Vaprus 2
Kuressaare 4
Saku Sporting 2
Tammeka Tartu 4
Viimsi JK 1
FC Tallinn 0
Harju JK Laagri 10
Levadia 10
Keila JK 0
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -