Sport Tipps
Spielzusammenfassung
First leg ended 2-1. This leg finished 2-1.
Siegwahrscheinlichkeits-Meter
Basierend auf 10.000 Simulationen unter Berücksichtigung von Heimvorteil & Form
30%
39%
31%
Unentschieden-Quote: 39% Favorit: Draw
Modell-Vertrauen
Gesamter Indikatorwert
65%
/ Mittel Vertrauen
- Kasserine have won more games recently than EM Mahdia.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
- Kasserine arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor EM Mahdia, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- Hohe Trefferquoten deuten auf ein torreiches Spiel hin (Über 2.5 Wahrscheinlichkeit: 78%).
Torwahrscheinlichkeits-Rechner
Modellschätzungen für Tormärkte basierend auf xG-Historie
Über 0.5 Tore 92%
Über 1.5 Tore 82%
Über 2.5 Tore 78%
Über 3.5 Tore 6.5%
Über 4.5 Tore 3%
Beide treffen (BTTS) 65.8%
EM Mahdia Ohne Gegentor 20%
Kasserine Ohne Gegentor 18%
Formanalyse der Teams
Durchschnittswerte pro Spiel
| Metrik | EM Mahdia | Kasserine |
|---|---|---|
| Spiele | 29 | 29 |
| Siege | 10 | 16 |
| Unentschieden | 8 | 4 |
| Niederlagen | 11 | 9 |
| Erzielte Tore | 0.93 | 1.21 |
| Gegentore | 0.93 | 0.76 |
| Erwartete Tore (xG) | 0.81 | 0.88 |
| Erwartete Gegentore (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historische Erfolgsquoten in Hauptmärkten
11. Jan. 2026 Tunisia Cup
EM Mahdia vs Kasserine
2:1
SokaPicks Momentum-Index
Aktueller Formindex inklusive Belastung und Gegnerstärke (0-100)
EM Mahdia 31 / 100
Kasserine 32 / 100
Berechnungsgrundlage: Gewichtete Formel aus Formkurve (60%), Tordifferenzen (20%), Heimrecht (10%) und Kadertiefe (10%).
Angriffs- & Abwehrstärke
EM Mahdia Kasserine
Vorhersage-Engine
Ergebnishäufigkeiten und Hauptmärkte
Haupttipp EM Mahdia Win (1)
Nebentipp Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS-Prognose Yes (GG)
Über/Unter Tipp Over 2.5
Smart Insights
Vom System automatisch erkannte Muster
Kasserine let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.
These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.
EM Mahdia went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
EM Mahdia scored in 52% of their last 29 games.
Tor-Trends
EM Mahdia VS Kasserine
0.88 Erzielte Tore 0.88
0.88 Kassierte Tore 0.75
50% Über 1.5 38%
38% Über 2.5 25%
13% Über 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
EM Mahdia
(Home) 03 Oct
EM Mahdia
2 : 1 Kerkennah
26 Sept
Sporting Ben Arous
1 : 2 EM Mahdia
10 Sept
EM Mahdia
3 : 0 Ksour Essef
11 May
EM Mahdia
1 : 3 Kerkennah
01 May
Menzel Bourguiba
1 : 0 EM Mahdia
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
EM Mahdia
2 : 1 Kerkennah
10 Sept
EM Mahdia
3 : 0 Ksour Essef
11 May
EM Mahdia
1 : 3 Kerkennah
27 Apr
EM Mahdia
0 : 1 US Tataouine
13 Apr
EM Mahdia
1 : 1 Chebba
Page 1 of 3
Kasserine
(Away) 04 Oct
Kasserine
1 : 0 Olympique Kef
27 Sept
Gafsa
1 : 2 Kasserine
25 May
Hammam-Lif
1 : 0 Kasserine
12 May
Kasserine
1 : 0 Ksour Essef
02 May
Redeyef
1 : 0 Kasserine
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
Gafsa
1 : 2 Kasserine
25 May
Hammam-Lif
1 : 0 Kasserine
02 May
Redeyef
1 : 0 Kasserine
19 Apr
Djelma
1 : 0 Kasserine
28 Mar
Kalaa
0 : 4 Kasserine
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
JS Kairouan -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
CS Sfaxien -
Feriana -
TBD -
Hamam-Sousse 2
Jendouba Sport 3
Moknine 1
Sfax Railways 3
TBD -
ES Fahs -
CO Kram -
TBD -
AS Agareb 3
Sporting Ben Arous 2
Nefza -
TBD -
Stade Gabesien 2
Hammam-Lif 0
Gafsa Ksar -
TBD -
TBD -
Jebel Jeloud -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Etoile Sahel -
Monastir -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Club Africain -
Zarzis -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
MS Metlaoui -
TBD -
Korba 6
Kalaa 2
CA Bizertin -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
AS Marsa -
Msaken 3
Sidi Bouzid 1
US Tataouine 3
Megrine 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ben Guerdane -
Bouchamma 1
Kerkennah 3
Ariana 0
PS Sakiet Eddaier 1
Sahline -
TBD -
TBD -
Oued Ellil -
Mornag -
TBD -
TBD -
Hassi Amor -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Olympique Beja -
Ajim Djerba -
TBD -
Redeyef 1
Djelma 2
Chebika -
TBD -
EM Mahdia 2
Kasserine 1
Jeunesse Sportive -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sportive Kebili -
TBD -
TBD -
Guettar -
BS Bouhajla 1
Chebba 0
TBD -
Rades -
Ksour Essef -
TBD -
Menzel Bourguiba 1
Gafsa 2
Soliman -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Stade Tunisien -
Metlaoui -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
AS Gabes -
WS Hamma -
TBD -
TBD -
Stir Zarzouna -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Esperance Tunis -
1/32-finals
JS Kairouan -
TBD -
TBD -
CS Sfaxien -
Feriana 1
Jendouba Sport 3
Sfax Railways -
ES Fahs -
CO Kram 2
AS Agareb 3
Nefza 0
Stade Gabesien 2
Gafsa Ksar 1
Jebel Jeloud 0
TBD -
Etoile Sahel -
Monastir -
TBD -
TBD -
Club Africain -
Zarzis -
TBD -
MS Metlaoui 0
Korba 2
CA Bizertin -
TBD -
TBD -
AS Marsa -
Msaken 3
US Tataouine 2
TBD -
Ben Guerdane -
Kerkennah 1
PS Sakiet Eddaier 2
Sahline 2
Oued Ellil 1
Mornag 3
Hassi Amor 2
TBD -
Olympique Beja -
Ajim Djerba 2
Djelma 0
Chebika 0
EM Mahdia 4
Jeunesse Sportive -
TBD -
Sportive Kebili 1
Guettar 0
BS Bouhajla 3
Rades 0
Ksour Essef 2
Gafsa 0
Soliman -
TBD -
TBD -
Stade Tunisien -
Metlaoui -
TBD -
TBD -
AS Gabes -
WS Hamma 1
Stir Zarzouna 0
TBD -
Esperance Tunis -
1/16-finals
JS Kairouan 0
CS Sfaxien 1
Jendouba Sport 2
Sfax Railways 0
AS Agareb 1
Stade Gabesien 4
Gafsa Ksar 0
Etoile Sahel 5
Monastir 1
Club Africain 0
Zarzis 1
Korba 0
CA Bizertin 3
AS Marsa 2
Msaken 4
Ben Guerdane 1
PS Sakiet Eddaier 6
Sahline 0
Mornag 1
Olympique Beja 2
Ajim Djerba 2
EM Mahdia 0
Jeunesse Sportive 1
Sportive Kebili 0
BS Bouhajla 2
Ksour Essef 1
Soliman 3
Stade Tunisien 2
Metlaoui 5
AS Gabes 2
WS Hamma 0
Esperance Tunis 5
1/8-finals
CS Sfaxien 2
Jendouba Sport 1
Stade Gabesien 4
Etoile Sahel 3
Monastir 1
Zarzis 2
CA Bizertin 2
Msaken 1
PS Sakiet Eddaier 2
Olympique Beja 1
Ajim Djerba 0
Jeunesse Sportive 2
BS Bouhajla 2
Soliman 1
Metlaoui 1
Esperance Tunis 3
Quarter-finals
CS Sfaxien 2
Stade Gabesien 1
Zarzis 2
CA Bizertin 0
PS Sakiet Eddaier 1
Jeunesse Sportive 2
BS Bouhajla 0
Esperance Tunis 3
Semi-finals
CS Sfaxien 0
Zarzis 1
Jeunesse Sportive 0
Esperance Tunis 1
Final
Zarzis 0
Esperance Tunis 1
