Sport Tipps
Emerita Augusta vs Cacereno II
Spanien
Tercera Division - Group 14 2012/2013 
Spielzusammenfassung
This Tercera Division - Group 14 2012/2013 encounter between Emerita Augusta and Cacereno II promises to be a closely contested affair, with win probabilities pointing to an even matchup. Emerita Augusta averages 1.2 goals scored and 2.2 conceded in recent matches. Cacereno II shows a form average of 0.9 goals scored and 2.1 conceded. Given their contrasting recent form profiles, this matchup is expected to produce a balanced tactical flow. Historical head-to-head records show 2 wins for Emerita Augusta, 0 wins for Cacereno II, and 0 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 12.05.13 ended in a 5:4 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 1.35 for Emerita Augusta and 0.99 for Cacereno II, suggesting the primary value lies in the Emerita Augusta double chance or over markets.
Siegwahrscheinlichkeits-Meter
Basierend auf 10.000 Simulationen unter Berücksichtigung von Heimvorteil & Form
Modell-Vertrauen
Gesamter Indikatorwert
- Emerita Augusta hat zuletzt mehr Punkte geholt als Cacereno II.
- Das Modell prognostiziert eine höhere Torgefahr für die Gastgeber (1.35 vs. 0.99 xG).
- Frühere Begegnungen zeigen einen klaren Vorteil für das Heimteam.
- Hohe Trefferquoten deuten auf ein torreiches Spiel hin (Über 2.5 Wahrscheinlichkeit: 59%).
Torwahrscheinlichkeits-Rechner
Modellschätzungen für Tormärkte basierend auf xG-Historie
Formanalyse der Teams
Durchschnittswerte pro Spiel
| Metrik | Emerita Augusta | Cacereno II |
|---|---|---|
| Spiele | 30 | 32 |
| Siege | 7 | 3 |
| Unentschieden | 4 | 10 |
| Niederlagen | 19 | 19 |
| Erzielte Tore | 1.23 | 0.88 |
| Gegentore | 2.2 | 2.13 |
H2H
Historische Erfolgsquoten in Hauptmärkten
Taktisches Profil
Feldpositionen & Kontrollstile
Emerita Augusta
Cacereno II
Sokapicks Momentum-Index
Aktueller Formindex inklusive Belastung und Gegnerstärke (0-100)
Angriffs- & Abwehrstärke
Vorhersage-Engine
Ergebnishäufigkeiten und Hauptmärkte
Value Bet Finder (+EV)
Spiele mit mathematischem Vorteil gegenüber Buchmachern
Erwarteter Spielverlauf
Dominanzkurven in 15-Minuten-Abschnitten
Emerita Augusta is expected to start with high intensity, putting pressure on the visitors early.
Cacereno II will try to absorb the pressure and slow down the tempo of Emerita Augusta's attacks.
Expect Emerita Augusta to create chances through sustained possession before the break.
Tactical adjustments at half-time will see Emerita Augusta vary their attacking width.
Fatigue may set in for Cacereno II, allowing Emerita Augusta's midfield to exploit vertical gaps.
Expect a final offensive push from Emerita Augusta, while Cacereno II takes risks to salvage a result.
Offensiv-Heatmaps & Schüsse
Dynamische Heat-Overlays aus Zonen-Statistiken
Smart Insights
Vom System automatisch erkannte Muster
Emerita Augusta have found the net in 57% of their last 30 matches.
Cacereno II have conceded at least one goal in 81% of their last 32 fixtures.
Historical meetings between these sides average 7.00 goals per match.
Emerita Augusta remained undefeated in 2 of their last 5 overall matchups.
Cacereno II suffered defeat in 4 of their last 5 overall games.
Risikoanalyse
Bewertung von Störfaktoren
Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.
Standard league campaign fixture. Both teams have strong incentives to secure maximum points for table positioning.
Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.
Teamvergleich
Direkter Statistikvergleich
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Extremadura UD | 38 | 27 | 8 | 3 | 75:14 | 89 |
| 2 | UD Badajoz | 38 | 24 | 8 | 6 | 67:24 | 80 |
| 3 | Don Benito | 38 | 23 | 10 | 5 | 55:23 | 79 |
| 4 | Diter Zafra | 38 | 22 | 11 | 5 | 57:23 | 77 |
| 5 | Jerez CF | 38 | 16 | 11 | 11 | 51:37 | 59 |
| 6 | Merida UD | 38 | 15 | 11 | 12 | 47:38 | 56 |
| 7 | Ciduad de Plasencia | 38 | 15 | 10 | 13 | 50:38 | 55 |
| 8 | UP Plasencia | 38 | 15 | 10 | 13 | 55:47 | 55 |
| 9 | Santa Amalia | 38 | 15 | 8 | 15 | 52:54 | 53 |
| 10 | CD Coria | 38 | 14 | 9 | 15 | 47:48 | 51 |
| 11 | Atletico San Jose Promesas | 38 | 14 | 6 | 18 | 44:58 | 48 |
| 12 | Pueblonuevo | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 41:60 | 43 |
| 13 | Miajadas | 38 | 12 | 7 | 19 | 40:56 | 43 |
| 14 | RCP Valverdeno | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 40:56 | 42 |
| 15 | Hernan Cortes | 38 | 11 | 8 | 19 | 36:64 | 41 |
| 16 | Cacereno II | 38 | 10 | 10 | 18 | 48:57 | 40 |
| 17 | Fuente de Cantos | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 42:68 | 39 |
| 18 | Moralo | 38 | 7 | 17 | 14 | 33:52 | 38 |
| 19 | Emerita Augusta | 38 | 8 | 7 | 23 | 44:77 | 31 |
| 20 | Valdelacalzada | 38 | 7 | 7 | 24 | 35:65 | 28 |