Sport Tipps

Stadium Background

Eritrea vs Ethiopia

Africa Africa

African Nations Championship
So., 3. Nov. 2024
0 - 3
05:00 PM
Unser Tipp

Spielzusammenfassung

The first leg ended 0-3. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Eritrea have averaged 0.88 scored and 1.38 conceded recently, against Ethiopia's 1.14 scored and 1.21 conceded. Head-to-head, Eritrea have won 0 to Ethiopia's 3, with 1 draws. They last met on 3. Nov. 2024, ending 0:3. The numbers (1.04 xG vs 0.69) point toward Ethiopia. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.

Siegwahrscheinlichkeits-Meter

Basierend auf 10.000 Simulationen unter Berücksichtigung von Heimvorteil & Form

42%
Eritrea
20%
Unentschieden
38%
Ethiopia
Unentschieden-Quote: 20% Favorit: Eritrea

Modell-Vertrauen

Gesamter Indikatorwert

67% / Mittel Vertrauen
  • Look at the last few games and Ethiopia come out ahead of Eritrea on wins alone.
  • Model gives Eritrea a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Ethiopia arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Ethiopia, who have won 1 of the last 4 encounters.
  • Hohe Trefferquoten deuten auf ein torreiches Spiel hin (Über 2.5 Wahrscheinlichkeit: 78%).
  • History favors Ethiopia here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Torwahrscheinlichkeits-Rechner

Modellschätzungen für Tormärkte basierend auf xG-Historie

Über 0.5 Tore 92%
Über 1.5 Tore 82%
Über 2.5 Tore 78%
Über 3.5 Tore 70%
Über 4.5 Tore 32%
Beide treffen (BTTS) 61.8%
Eritrea Ohne Gegentor 20%
Ethiopia Ohne Gegentor 14%

Formanalyse der Teams

Durchschnittswerte pro Spiel

Metrik Eritrea Ethiopia
Spiele 16 29
Siege 5 11
Unentschieden 2 5
Niederlagen 9 13
Erzielte Tore 0.88 1.14
Gegentore 1.38 1.21
Erwartete Tore (xG) 1.04 0.69
Erwartete Gegentore (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historische Erfolgsquoten in Hauptmärkten

3. Nov. 2024 African Nations Championship
Eritrea vs Ethiopia
0:3
31. Okt. 2024 African Nations Championship
Ethiopia vs Eritrea
3:0
5. Jan. 2013 African Nations Championship
Eritrea vs Ethiopia
0:0
14. Dez. 2012 African Nations Championship
Ethiopia vs Eritrea
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum-Index

Aktueller Formindex inklusive Belastung und Gegnerstärke (0-100)

Eritrea 42 / 100
Ethiopia 37 / 100
Berechnungsgrundlage: Gewichtete Formel aus Formkurve (60%), Tordifferenzen (20%), Heimrecht (10%) und Kadertiefe (10%).

Angriffs- & Abwehrstärke

ANGRIFF ABWEHR BALLBESITZ DISZIPLIN
Eritrea Ethiopia

Vorhersage-Engine

Ergebnishäufigkeiten und Hauptmärkte

Haupttipp Draw (X)
Nebentipp Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS-Prognose Yes (GG)
Über/Unter Tipp Over 2.5

Smart Insights

Vom System automatisch erkannte Muster

Ethiopia's defensive record shows goals conceded in 62% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.25 goals.

Eritrea has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Eritrea's goal record stands at 44% scoring rate across 16 recent games.

Tor-Trends

Eritrea VS Ethiopia
0 Erzielte Tore 1.25
0.13 Kassierte Tore 0.88
0% Über 1.5 63%
0% Über 2.5 38%
0% Über 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Eritrea

(Home)
31 Mar
Eswatini
1 : 2
Eritrea
25 Mar
Eritrea
2 : 0
Eswatini
28 May
Eritrea
0 : 1
Niger
26 May
Eritrea
0 : 0
Niger
03 Nov
Eritrea
0 : 3
Ethiopia
Page 1 of 4

Ethiopia

(Away)
09 Jun
Ethiopia
1 : 1
Malawi
06 Jun
Ethiopia
1 : 0
Malawi
31 Mar
Ethiopia
1 : 0
Sao Tome and Principe
27 Mar
Sao Tome and Principe
0 : 3
Ethiopia
12 Oct
Burkina Faso
3 : 1
Ethiopia
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Sierra Leone 2
Liberia 3
TBD -
Senegal -
Mauritania -
TBD -
TBD -
Mali -
Guinea -
TBD -
TBD -
Guinea Bissau -
Togo 3
Benin 1
TBD -
Niger -
Ivory Coast -
TBD -
TBD -
Burkina Faso -
Ghana -
TBD -
TBD -
Nigeria -
Equatorial Guinea -
TBD -
TBD -
Congo -
Central Africa -
TBD -
TBD -
Cameroon -
Chad -
TBD -
TBD -
D.R. Congo -
Burundi 6
Somalia 0
TBD -
Uganda -
Ethiopia 6
Eritrea 0
Sudan 2
Tanzania 1
South Sudan 3
Kenya 1
Djibouti 1
Rwanda 3
Zimbabwe 0
Eswatini 4
TBD -
Madagascar -
Lesotho 2
Namibia 1
TBD -
Angola -
Mozambique -
TBD -
TBD -
Zambia -
Final
Liberia 1
Senegal 4
Mauritania 1
Mali 0
Guinea 6
Guinea Bissau 2
Togo 1
Niger 1
Ivory Coast 2
Burkina Faso 3
Ghana 1
Nigeria 3
Equatorial Guinea 1
Congo 2
Central Africa 2
Cameroon 2
Chad 2
D.R. Congo 4
Burundi 0
Uganda 2
Ethiopia 1
Sudan 4
South Sudan 4
Rwanda 4
Eswatini 1
Madagascar 2
Lesotho 1
Angola 2
Mozambique 0
Zambia 6