Sport Tipps
Espanol Alquian vs Melilla B
Spanien
Tercera Division - Group 9 2013/2014 
Spielzusammenfassung
Melilla B is highly favored to claim all three points on their visit to Espanol Alquian, backed by a win probability of 59%. Espanol Alquian averages 0.6 goals scored and 2.8 conceded in recent matches. Melilla B shows a form average of 1.1 goals scored and 0.8 conceded. Given their contrasting recent form profiles, this matchup is expected to produce a balanced tactical flow. Historical head-to-head records show 1 wins for Espanol Alquian, 1 wins for Melilla B, and 0 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 13.04.14 ended in a 2:0 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 0.97 for Espanol Alquian and 1.05 for Melilla B, suggesting the primary value lies in the Melilla B double chance or over markets.
Siegwahrscheinlichkeits-Meter
Basierend auf 10.000 Simulationen unter Berücksichtigung von Heimvorteil & Form
Modell-Vertrauen
Gesamter Indikatorwert
- Espanol Alquian hat zuletzt mehr Punkte geholt als Melilla B.
- Das Modell prognostiziert eine höhere Torgefahr für die Gastgeber (0.97 vs. 1.05 xG).
- Frühere Begegnungen zeigen einen klaren Vorteil für die Gäste.
- Hohe Trefferquoten deuten auf ein torreiches Spiel hin (Über 2.5 Wahrscheinlichkeit: 60%).
Torwahrscheinlichkeits-Rechner
Modellschätzungen für Tormärkte basierend auf xG-Historie
Formanalyse der Teams
Durchschnittswerte pro Spiel
| Metrik | Espanol Alquian | Melilla B |
|---|---|---|
| Spiele | 36 | 34 |
| Siege | 7 | 13 |
| Unentschieden | 0 | 9 |
| Niederlagen | 29 | 12 |
| Erzielte Tore | 0.61 | 1.09 |
| Gegentore | 2.75 | 0.85 |
H2H
Historische Erfolgsquoten in Hauptmärkten
Taktisches Profil
Feldpositionen & Kontrollstile
Espanol Alquian
Melilla B
Sokapicks Momentum-Index
Aktueller Formindex inklusive Belastung und Gegnerstärke (0-100)
Angriffs- & Abwehrstärke
Vorhersage-Engine
Ergebnishäufigkeiten und Hauptmärkte
Value Bet Finder (+EV)
Spiele mit mathematischem Vorteil gegenüber Buchmachern
Erwarteter Spielverlauf
Dominanzkurven in 15-Minuten-Abschnitten
Melilla B will likely look to assert dominance early, testing the hosts' defensive structure.
Espanol Alquian will look to tighten their defensive lines to neutralize Melilla B's early runs.
Expect Melilla B to mount counter-attacks, exploiting gaps as Espanol Alquian tries to push forward.
Tactical adjustments will see Melilla B increase their pressing intensity in the opposition half.
Fatigue may set in for Espanol Alquian's defense, opening up opportunities for Melilla B's forward line.
Expect Melilla B to manage the closing stages, while Espanol Alquian searches for late drama.
Offensiv-Heatmaps & Schüsse
Dynamische Heat-Overlays aus Zonen-Statistiken
Smart Insights
Vom System automatisch erkannte Muster
Espanol Alquian have found the net in 22% of their last 36 matches.
Melilla B have conceded at least one goal in 56% of their last 34 fixtures.
Historical meetings between these sides average 3.00 goals per match.
Espanol Alquian remained undefeated in 0 of their last 5 overall matchups.
Melilla B suffered defeat in 3 of their last 5 overall games.
Risikoanalyse
Bewertung von Störfaktoren
Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.
Standard league campaign fixture. Both teams have strong incentives to secure maximum points for table positioning.
Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.
Teamvergleich
Direkter Statistikvergleich
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Marbella | 38 | 27 | 5 | 6 | 81:37 | 86 |
| 2 | Linares | 38 | 24 | 10 | 4 | 70:28 | 82 |
| 3 | Malaga B | 38 | 25 | 7 | 6 | 74:34 | 82 |
| 4 | Loja | 38 | 24 | 7 | 7 | 88:44 | 79 |
| 5 | Mancha | 38 | 22 | 6 | 10 | 51:31 | 72 |
| 6 | Velez | 38 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 60:31 | 67 |
| 7 | Martos | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 65:49 | 60 |
| 8 | Villacarrillo | 38 | 16 | 11 | 11 | 63:46 | 59 |
| 9 | Huetor Tajar | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 36:42 | 53 |
| 10 | Atarfe Industrial | 38 | 14 | 8 | 16 | 48:49 | 50 |
| 11 | Maracena | 38 | 15 | 4 | 19 | 44:44 | 49 |
| 12 | Espanol Alquian | 38 | 14 | 7 | 17 | 58:71 | 49 |
| 13 | Antequera | 38 | 12 | 8 | 18 | 43:54 | 44 |
| 14 | UD San Pedro | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 34:54 | 44 |
| 15 | CD Ronda | 38 | 12 | 7 | 19 | 48:58 | 43 |
| 16 | Los Molinos CF | 38 | 12 | 7 | 19 | 52:64 | 43 |
| 17 | Los Villares | 38 | 12 | 6 | 20 | 36:55 | 42 |
| 18 | Melilla B | 38 | 11 | 7 | 20 | 44:66 | 40 |
| 19 | AD Huercal | 38 | 4 | 1 | 33 | 29:106 | 13 |
| 20 | Union Estepona CF | 38 | 2 | 4 | 32 | 16:77 | 10 |