Sport Tipps
Estonia vs Azerbaijan
Europe
UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 A. Le Coq Arena, Tallinn 
Spielereignisse
29'
29'
Wechsel
Paskotsi M. Rein: Peetson R.
Raus: Paskotsi M.
32'
32'
Yakovlev I.
37'
37'
Shein R. R.
Spielzusammenfassung
The UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 game between Estonia and Azerbaijan finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Estonia.
Siegwahrscheinlichkeits-Meter
Basierend auf 10.000 Simulationen unter Berücksichtigung von Heimvorteil & Form
36%
30%
34%
Unentschieden-Quote: 30% Favorit: Estonia
Modell-Vertrauen
Gesamter Indikatorwert
66%
/ Mittel Vertrauen
- Estonia have managed 0.97 goals a game lately — Azerbaijan are scoring more at 1.
- Model gives Estonia a 36% chance of winning this.
- Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
- Starke Defensiven sprechen für ein kontrolliertes, torarmes Spiel.
Torwahrscheinlichkeits-Rechner
Modellschätzungen für Tormärkte basierend auf xG-Historie
Über 0.5 Tore 99%
Über 1.5 Tore 94%
Über 2.5 Tore 38%
Über 3.5 Tore 22%
Über 4.5 Tore 10%
Beide treffen (BTTS) 70.6%
Estonia Ohne Gegentor 11%
Azerbaijan Ohne Gegentor 10%
Formanalyse der Teams
Durchschnittswerte pro Spiel
| Metrik | Estonia | Azerbaijan |
|---|---|---|
| Spiele | 30 | 30 |
| Siege | 8 | 8 |
| Unentschieden | 4 | 4 |
| Niederlagen | 18 | 18 |
| Erzielte Tore | 0.97 | 1 |
| Gegentore | 1.9 | 1.97 |
| Erwartete Tore (xG) | 1.69 | 1.81 |
| Erwartete Gegentore (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historische Erfolgsquoten in Hauptmärkten
16. Nov. 2024 UEFA Nations League
Azerbaijan vs Estonia
0:0
11. Okt. 2024 UEFA Nations League
Estonia vs Azerbaijan
3:1
13. Okt. 2023 Euro
Estonia vs Azerbaijan
0:2
17. Juni 2023 Euro
Azerbaijan vs Estonia
1:1
15. Nov. 2013 Friendly International
Estonia vs Azerbaijan
2:1
Schlüsselspieler-Analyse
Top-Akteure und erwartete Torbeteiligungen
Estonia Vergleich
Top-Torschütze Yakovlev I.
1 Tore Top-Vorlagengeber Sinyavskiy V.
1 Ast
Durchschnitt xG / Spiel 1.3
Durchschnitt xA / Spiel 0.84
Azerbaijan Vergleich
Durchschnitt xG / Spiel 1.65
Durchschnitt xA / Spiel 1.01
SokaPicks Momentum-Index
Aktueller Formindex inklusive Belastung und Gegnerstärke (0-100)
Estonia 35 / 100
Azerbaijan 33 / 100
Berechnungsgrundlage: Gewichtete Formel aus Formkurve (60%), Tordifferenzen (20%), Heimrecht (10%) und Kadertiefe (10%).
Angriffs- & Abwehrstärke
Estonia Azerbaijan
Vorhersage-Engine
Ergebnishäufigkeiten und Hauptmärkte
Haupttipp Draw (X)
Nebentipp Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS-Prognose Yes (GG)
Über/Unter Tipp Under 2.5
Smart Insights
Vom System automatisch erkannte Muster
Azerbaijan has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.
H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.
Estonia went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Estonia's goal record stands at 57% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Tor-Trends
Estonia VS Azerbaijan
1.13 Erzielte Tore 1.38
2.25 Kassierte Tore 2.25
88% Über 1.5 100%
63% Über 2.5 75%
50% Über 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Estonia
(Home) 09 Jun
Estonia
1 : 0 Lithuania
06 Jun
Estonia
1 : 0 Faroe Islands
30 Mar
Rwanda
2 : 0 Estonia
27 Mar
Kenya
1 : 2 Estonia
18 Nov
Cyprus
2 : 4 Estonia
Page 1 of 6
09 Jun
Estonia
1 : 0 Lithuania
06 Jun
Estonia
1 : 0 Faroe Islands
14 Oct
Estonia
1 : 1 Moldova
11 Oct
Estonia
1 : 3 Italy
09 Sept
Estonia
0 : 0 Andorra
Page 1 of 3
Azerbaijan
(Away) 09 Jun
Azerbaijan
2 : 1 San Marino
05 Jun
Azerbaijan
0 : 2 Malta
30 Mar
Azerbaijan
2 : 1 Sierra Leone
27 Mar
Azerbaijan
6 : 1 Saint Lucia
16 Nov
Azerbaijan
1 : 3 France
Page 1 of 6
13 Oct
Ukraine
2 : 1 Azerbaijan
10 Oct
France
3 : 0 Azerbaijan
05 Sept
Iceland
5 : 0 Azerbaijan
07 Jun
Latvia
0 : 0 Azerbaijan
19 Nov
Sweden
6 : 0 Azerbaijan
Page 1 of 2
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sweden | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 19:4 | 16 |
| 2 | Slovakia | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 10:5 | 13 |
| 3 | Estonia | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3:9 | 4 |
| 4 | Azerbaijan | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3:17 | 1 |
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (League B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 (Relegation - League C/D)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 (Relegation - League B/C)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (League D)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Romania | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 18:3 | 18 |
| 2 | Kosovo | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 10:7 | 12 |
| 3 | Cyprus | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4:15 | 6 |
| 4 | Lithuania | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4:11 | 0 |
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (League B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 (Relegation - League C/D)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 (Relegation - League B/C)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (League D)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Northern Ireland | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 11:3 | 11 |
| 2 | Bulgaria | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 3:6 | 9 |
| 3 | Belarus | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 3:4 | 7 |
| 4 | Luxembourg | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3:7 | 3 |
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (League B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 (Relegation - League C/D)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 (Relegation - League B/C)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (League D)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | North Macedonia | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 10:1 | 16 |
| 2 | Armenia | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8:9 | 7 |
| 3 | Faroe Islands | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5:6 | 6 |
| 4 | Latvia | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4:11 | 4 |
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (League B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 (Relegation - League C/D)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 (Relegation - League B/C)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (League D)
