Sport Tipps
Ethiopia vs D.R. Congo
Africa
Africa Cup of Nations 2025 Benjamin Mkapa National Stadium, Dar es Salaam 
Spielereignisse
17'
17'
Wolde B.
32'
32'
Wechsel
Akolo C. Rein: Bongonda T.
Raus: Akolo C.
46'
46'
Wechsel
Kakuta G. Rein: Kayembe E.
Raus: Kakuta G.
Spielzusammenfassung
This match ends 0-2, with D.R. Congo advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Siegwahrscheinlichkeits-Meter
Basierend auf 10.000 Simulationen unter Berücksichtigung von Heimvorteil & Form
60%
22%
18%
Unentschieden-Quote: 22% Favorit: Ethiopia
Modell-Vertrauen
Gesamter Indikatorwert
82%
/ Sehr Hoch Vertrauen
- Ethiopia haven't matched D.R. Congo's recent run of results.
- 60% — that's where the model lands on Ethiopia taking it.
- D.R. Congo arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor D.R. Congo, who have won 2 of the last 4 encounters.
- Starke Defensiven sprechen für ein kontrolliertes, torarmes Spiel.
- History favors D.R. Congo here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.
Torwahrscheinlichkeits-Rechner
Modellschätzungen für Tormärkte basierend auf xG-Historie
Über 0.5 Tore 85%
Über 1.5 Tore 51.5%
Über 2.5 Tore 25%
Über 3.5 Tore 0%
Über 4.5 Tore 0%
Beide treffen (BTTS) 26.8%
Ethiopia Ohne Gegentor 68%
D.R. Congo Ohne Gegentor 18%
Formanalyse der Teams
Durchschnittswerte pro Spiel
| Metrik | Ethiopia | D.R. Congo |
|---|---|---|
| Spiele | 29 | 32 |
| Siege | 11 | 19 |
| Unentschieden | 5 | 4 |
| Niederlagen | 13 | 9 |
| Erzielte Tore | 1.14 | 1.44 |
| Gegentore | 1.21 | 0.75 |
| Erwartete Tore (xG) | 0.79 | 0.85 |
| Erwartete Gegentore (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historische Erfolgsquoten in Hauptmärkten
19. Nov. 2024 Africa Cup of Nations
D.R. Congo vs Ethiopia
1:2
9. Sept. 2024 Africa Cup of Nations
Ethiopia vs D.R. Congo
0:2
17. Jan. 2016 African Nations Championship
D.R. Congo vs Ethiopia
3:0
18. Jan. 1968 Africa Cup of Nations
Ethiopia vs D.R. Congo
2:3
Schlüsselspieler-Analyse
Top-Akteure und erwartete Torbeteiligungen
Ethiopia Vergleich
Durchschnitt xG / Spiel 0.61
Durchschnitt xA / Spiel 0.4
D.R. Congo Vergleich
Top-Torschütze Bongonda T.
1 Tore Top-Vorlagengeber Mayele F.
1 Ast
Durchschnitt xG / Spiel 0.77
Durchschnitt xA / Spiel 0.47
SokaPicks Momentum-Index
Aktueller Formindex inklusive Belastung und Gegnerstärke (0-100)
Ethiopia 68 / 100
D.R. Congo 20 / 100
Berechnungsgrundlage: Gewichtete Formel aus Formkurve (60%), Tordifferenzen (20%), Heimrecht (10%) und Kadertiefe (10%).
Angriffs- & Abwehrstärke
Ethiopia D.R. Congo
Vorhersage-Engine
Ergebnishäufigkeiten und Hauptmärkte
Haupttipp Ethiopia Win (1)
Nebentipp Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS-Prognose No (NG)
Über/Unter Tipp Under 2.5
Smart Insights
Vom System automatisch erkannte Muster
These sides typically produce 3.25 goals when they meet.
Ethiopia has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
D.R. Congo's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.
Ethiopia found the back of the net in 59% of recent matches (29 games).
Tor-Trends
Ethiopia VS D.R. Congo
1.2 Erzielte Tore 1.5
0.2 Kassierte Tore 0.38
40% Über 1.5 63%
20% Über 2.5 25%
0% Über 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Ethiopia
(Home) 09 Jun
Ethiopia
1 : 1 Malawi
06 Jun
Ethiopia
1 : 0 Malawi
31 Mar
Ethiopia
1 : 0 Sao Tome and Principe
27 Mar
Sao Tome and Principe
0 : 3 Ethiopia
12 Oct
Burkina Faso
3 : 1 Ethiopia
Page 1 of 6
09 Jun
Ethiopia
1 : 1 Malawi
06 Jun
Ethiopia
1 : 0 Malawi
31 Mar
Ethiopia
1 : 0 Sao Tome and Principe
08 Oct
Ethiopia
1 : 0 Guinea Bissau
24 Mar
Ethiopia
6 : 1 Djibouti
Page 1 of 4
D.R. Congo
(Away) 01 Jul
England
2 : 1 D.R. Congo
27 Jun
D.R. Congo
3 : 1 Uzbekistan
24 Jun
Colombia
1 : 0 D.R. Congo
17 Jun
Portugal
1 : 1 D.R. Congo
09 Jun
D.R. Congo
1 : 2 Chile
Page 1 of 7
01 Jul
England
2 : 1 D.R. Congo
24 Jun
Colombia
1 : 0 D.R. Congo
17 Jun
Portugal
1 : 1 D.R. Congo
06 Jan
Algeria
1 : 0 D.R. Congo
30 Dec
Botswana
0 : 3 D.R. Congo
Page 1 of 4
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Comoros | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 7:4 | 12 |
| 2 | Tunisia | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7:6 | 10 |
| 3 | Gambia | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6:6 | 8 |
| 4 | Madagascar | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4:8 | 2 |
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations 2025 (Main)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Morocco | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 26:2 | 18 |
| 2 | Gabon | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7:9 | 10 |
| 3 | Lesotho | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2:13 | 4 |
| 4 | Central Africa | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3:14 | 3 |
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations 2025 (Main)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Egypt | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 12:2 | 14 |
| 2 | Botswana | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4:7 | 8 |
| 3 | Mauritania | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 3:6 | 7 |
| 4 | Cape Verde | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3:7 | 4 |
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations 2025 (Main)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nigeria | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9:3 | 11 |
| 2 | Benin | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7:7 | 8 |
| 3 | Rwanda | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5:7 | 8 |
| 4 | Libya | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3:7 | 5 |
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations 2025 (Main)
League Standings (Group 5)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Algeria | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 16:2 | 16 |
| 2 | Equatorial Guinea | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5:8 | 8 |
| 3 | Togo | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7:10 | 5 |
| 4 | Liberia | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4:12 | 4 |
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations 2025 (Main)
League Standings (Group 6)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Angola | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 7:2 | 14 |
| 2 | Sudan | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4:6 | 8 |
| 3 | Niger | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7:6 | 7 |
| 4 | Ghana | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3:7 | 3 |
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations 2025 (Main)
League Standings (Group 7)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zambia | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 7:4 | 13 |
| 2 | Ivory Coast | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 12:3 | 12 |
| 3 | Sierra Leone | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5:10 | 5 |
| 4 | Chad | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 1:8 | 3 |
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations 2025 (Main)
League Standings (Group 8)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | D.R. Congo | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 7:3 | 12 |
| 2 | Tanzania | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 5:4 | 10 |
| 3 | Guinea | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 9:5 | 9 |
| 4 | Ethiopia | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3:12 | 4 |
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations 2025 (Main)
League Standings (Group 9)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mali | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 10:1 | 14 |
| 2 | Mozambique | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9:5 | 11 |
| 3 | Guinea Bissau | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4:6 | 5 |
| 4 | Eswatini | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2:13 | 2 |
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations 2025 (Main)
League Standings (Group 10)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cameroon | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 8:2 | 14 |
| 2 | Zimbabwe | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 6:4 | 9 |
| 3 | Kenya | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 4:7 | 6 |
| 4 | Namibia | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2:7 | 2 |
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations 2025 (Main)
League Standings (Group 11)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | South Africa | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 16:5 | 14 |
| 2 | Uganda | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 8:5 | 13 |
| 3 | Congo | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4:12 | 4 |
| 4 | South Sudan | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 6:12 | 3 |
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations 2025 (Main)
League Standings (Group 12)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Senegal | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 10:1 | 16 |
| 2 | Burkina Faso | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10:7 | 10 |
| 3 | Burundi | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4:11 | 4 |
| 4 | Malawi | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6:11 | 4 |
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations 2025 (Main)
