Sport Tipps
Spielzusammenfassung
This Premier League 2025/2026 encounter between Everton and Leeds promises to be a closely contested affair, with win probabilities pointing to an even matchup. Everton averages 1.3 goals scored and 1.3 conceded in recent matches. Leeds shows a form average of 1.6 goals scored and 1.2 conceded. Given their contrasting recent form profiles, this matchup is expected to produce a balanced tactical flow. Historical head-to-head records show 2 wins for Everton, 1 wins for Leeds, and 2 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 26.01.26 ended in a 1:1 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 1.25 for Everton and 1.81 for Leeds, suggesting the primary value lies in the Leeds double chance or over markets.
Siegwahrscheinlichkeits-Meter
Basierend auf 10.000 Simulationen unter Berücksichtigung von Heimvorteil & Form
Modell-Vertrauen
Gesamter Indikatorwert
- Everton hat zuletzt mehr Punkte geholt als Leeds.
- Das Modell prognostiziert eine höhere Torgefahr für die Gastgeber (1.25 vs. 1.81 xG).
- Frühere Begegnungen zeigen einen klaren Vorteil für die Gäste.
- Starke Defensiven sprechen für ein kontrolliertes, torarmes Spiel.
Torwahrscheinlichkeits-Rechner
Modellschätzungen für Tormärkte basierend auf xG-Historie
Formanalyse der Teams
Durchschnittswerte pro Spiel
| Metrik | Everton | Leeds |
|---|---|---|
| Spiele | 30 | 30 |
| Siege | 10 | 12 |
| Unentschieden | 8 | 12 |
| Niederlagen | 12 | 6 |
| Erzielte Tore | 1.3 | 1.57 |
| Gegentore | 1.33 | 1.2 |
| Erwartete Tore (xG) | 1.63 | 1.63 |
| Erwartete Gegentore (xGA) | 2.00 | 0.88 |
H2H
Historische Erfolgsquoten in Hauptmärkten
Taktisches Profil
Feldpositionen & Kontrollstile
Everton
Leeds
Schlüsselspieler-Analyse
Top-Akteure und erwartete Torbeteiligungen
Everton Vergleich
Leeds Vergleich
Kader-Verfügbarkeit
Sokapicks Momentum-Index
Aktueller Formindex inklusive Belastung und Gegnerstärke (0-100)
Angriffs- & Abwehrstärke
Vorhersage-Engine
Ergebnishäufigkeiten und Hauptmärkte
Value Bet Finder (+EV)
Spiele mit mathematischem Vorteil gegenüber Buchmachern
Erwarteter Spielverlauf
Dominanzkurven in 15-Minuten-Abschnitten
Both sides are expected to start cautiously, looking to control the midfield battle.
The game is expected to settle into a tactical block, with both managers looking for space on the flanks.
The tempo could accelerate as both teams push for an opening goal before half-time.
Expect tactical adjustments from both sides, possibly shifting to a wider play style.
As players tire, spaces will open up, leading to transitional counter-attacks for both teams.
A high-risk final phase where any defensive lapse could lead to late drama and decide the match.
Offensiv-Heatmaps & Schüsse
Dynamische Heat-Overlays aus Zonen-Statistiken
Smart Insights
Vom System automatisch erkannte Muster
Everton have found the net in 80% of their last 30 matches.
Leeds have conceded at least one goal in 77% of their last 30 fixtures.
Historical meetings between these sides average 1.80 goals per match.
Everton remained undefeated in 2 of their last 5 overall matchups.
Leeds suffered defeat in 2 of their last 5 overall games.
Risikoanalyse
Bewertung von Störfaktoren
Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.
Standard league campaign fixture. Both teams have strong incentives to secure maximum points for table positioning.
Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.
Teamvergleich
Direkter Statistikvergleich
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 38 | 26 | 7 | 5 | 71:27 | 85 |
| 2 | Manchester City | 38 | 23 | 9 | 6 | 77:35 | 78 |
| 3 | Manchester United | 38 | 20 | 11 | 7 | 69:50 | 71 |
| 4 | Aston Villa | 38 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 56:49 | 65 |
| 5 | Liverpool | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 63:53 | 60 |
| 6 | Bournemouth | 38 | 13 | 18 | 7 | 58:54 | 57 |
| 7 | Sunderland | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 42:48 | 54 |
| 8 | Brighton | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 52:46 | 53 |
| 9 | Brentford | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 55:52 | 53 |
| 10 | Chelsea | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 58:52 | 52 |
| 11 | Fulham | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 47:51 | 52 |
| 12 | Newcastle Utd | 38 | 14 | 7 | 17 | 53:55 | 49 |
| 13 | Everton | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 47:50 | 49 |
| 14 | Leeds | 38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 49:56 | 47 |
| 15 | Crystal Palace | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 41:51 | 45 |
| 16 | Nottingham | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 48:51 | 44 |
| 17 | Tottenham | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 48:57 | 41 |
| 18 | West Ham | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 46:65 | 39 |
| 19 | Burnley | 38 | 4 | 10 | 24 | 38:75 | 22 |
| 20 | Wolves | 38 | 3 | 11 | 24 | 27:68 | 20 |