Sport Tipps
Spielzusammenfassung
This Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2021/2022 encounter between Extremadura UD B and CD Badajoz B promises to be a closely contested affair, with win probabilities pointing to an even matchup. Extremadura UD B averages 0.6 goals scored and 1.8 conceded in recent matches. CD Badajoz B shows a form average of 0.8 goals scored and 1.3 conceded. Given their contrasting recent form profiles, this matchup is expected to produce a balanced tactical flow. Historical head-to-head records show 0 wins for Extremadura UD B, 2 wins for CD Badajoz B, and 0 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 13.03.22 ended in a 0:2 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 1.10 for Extremadura UD B and 1.50 for CD Badajoz B, suggesting the primary value lies in the CD Badajoz B double chance or over markets.
Siegwahrscheinlichkeits-Meter
Basierend auf 10.000 Simulationen unter Berücksichtigung von Heimvorteil & Form
Modell-Vertrauen
Gesamter Indikatorwert
- Extremadura UD B hat zuletzt mehr Punkte geholt als CD Badajoz B.
- Das Modell prognostiziert eine höhere Torgefahr für die Gastgeber (1.10 vs. 1.50 xG).
- Frühere Begegnungen zeigen einen klaren Vorteil für die Gäste.
- Starke Defensiven sprechen für ein kontrolliertes, torarmes Spiel.
Torwahrscheinlichkeits-Rechner
Modellschätzungen für Tormärkte basierend auf xG-Historie
Formanalyse der Teams
Durchschnittswerte pro Spiel
| Metrik | Extremadura UD B | CD Badajoz B |
|---|---|---|
| Spiele | 30 | 30 |
| Siege | 6 | 6 |
| Unentschieden | 4 | 9 |
| Niederlagen | 20 | 15 |
| Erzielte Tore | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Gegentore | 1.8 | 1.27 |
| Erwartete Gegentore (xGA) | 2.13 | 1.00 |
H2H
Historische Erfolgsquoten in Hauptmärkten
Taktisches Profil
Feldpositionen & Kontrollstile
Extremadura UD B
CD Badajoz B
Sokapicks Momentum-Index
Aktueller Formindex inklusive Belastung und Gegnerstärke (0-100)
Angriffs- & Abwehrstärke
Vorhersage-Engine
Ergebnishäufigkeiten und Hauptmärkte
Value Bet Finder (+EV)
Spiele mit mathematischem Vorteil gegenüber Buchmachern
Erwarteter Spielverlauf
Dominanzkurven in 15-Minuten-Abschnitten
Both sides are expected to start cautiously, looking to control the midfield battle.
The game is expected to settle into a tactical block, with both managers looking for space on the flanks.
The tempo could accelerate as both teams push for an opening goal before half-time.
Expect tactical adjustments from both sides, possibly shifting to a wider play style.
As players tire, spaces will open up, leading to transitional counter-attacks for both teams.
A high-risk final phase where any defensive lapse could lead to late drama and decide the match.
Offensiv-Heatmaps & Schüsse
Dynamische Heat-Overlays aus Zonen-Statistiken
Smart Insights
Vom System automatisch erkannte Muster
Extremadura UD B have found the net in 33% of their last 30 matches.
CD Badajoz B have conceded at least one goal in 73% of their last 30 fixtures.
Historical meetings between these sides average 1.50 goals per match.
Extremadura UD B remained undefeated in 0 of their last 5 overall matchups.
CD Badajoz B suffered defeat in 4 of their last 5 overall games.
Risikoanalyse
Bewertung von Störfaktoren
Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.
Standard league campaign fixture. Both teams have strong incentives to secure maximum points for table positioning.
Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.
Teamvergleich
Direkter Statistikvergleich
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CD Diocesano | 30 | 20 | 3 | 7 | 61:30 | 63 |
| 2 | Moralo | 30 | 14 | 10 | 6 | 39:19 | 52 |
| 3 | AD Llerenense | 30 | 13 | 12 | 5 | 44:32 | 51 |
| 4 | Jerez CF | 30 | 14 | 7 | 9 | 38:30 | 49 |
| 5 | Arroyo | 30 | 12 | 12 | 6 | 40:30 | 48 |
| 6 | CF Trujillo | 30 | 12 | 12 | 6 | 40:27 | 48 |
| 7 | CD Azuaga | 30 | 12 | 12 | 6 | 41:31 | 48 |
| 8 | CD Calamonte | 30 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 35:33 | 43 |
| 9 | UP Plasencia | 30 | 10 | 8 | 12 | 24:29 | 38 |
| 10 | SP Villafranca | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 27:30 | 37 |
| 11 | Olivenza FC | 30 | 7 | 12 | 11 | 31:35 | 33 |
| 12 | Don Alvaro | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 36:44 | 31 |
| 13 | Miajadas | 30 | 8 | 5 | 17 | 30:48 | 29 |
| 14 | Aceuchal | 30 | 7 | 8 | 15 | 24:42 | 29 |
| 15 | CD Badajoz B | 30 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 24:38 | 27 |
| 16 | Extremadura UD B | 30 | 6 | 4 | 20 | 18:54 | 0 |