Sport Tipps
Spielzusammenfassung
This Druha Liga 2016/2017 encounter between FC Mariupol II and Inhulets 2 promises to be a closely contested affair, with win probabilities pointing to an even matchup. FC Mariupol II averages 1.4 goals scored and 1.6 conceded in recent matches. Inhulets 2 shows a form average of 0.8 goals scored and 2.0 conceded. Given their contrasting recent form profiles, this matchup is expected to produce a balanced tactical flow. Historical head-to-head records show 0 wins for FC Mariupol II, 2 wins for Inhulets 2, and 0 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 20.11.16 ended in a 0:1 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 1.79 for FC Mariupol II and 0.93 for Inhulets 2, suggesting the primary value lies in the Inhulets 2 double chance or over markets.
Siegwahrscheinlichkeits-Meter
Basierend auf 10.000 Simulationen unter Berücksichtigung von Heimvorteil & Form
Modell-Vertrauen
Gesamter Indikatorwert
- FC Mariupol II hat zuletzt mehr Punkte geholt als Inhulets 2.
- Das Modell prognostiziert eine höhere Torgefahr für die Gastgeber (1.79 vs. 0.93 xG).
- Frühere Begegnungen zeigen einen klaren Vorteil für die Gäste.
- Starke Defensiven sprechen für ein kontrolliertes, torarmes Spiel.
Torwahrscheinlichkeits-Rechner
Modellschätzungen für Tormärkte basierend auf xG-Historie
Formanalyse der Teams
Durchschnittswerte pro Spiel
| Metrik | FC Mariupol II | Inhulets 2 |
|---|---|---|
| Spiele | 30 | 34 |
| Siege | 11 | 5 |
| Unentschieden | 1 | 7 |
| Niederlagen | 18 | 22 |
| Erzielte Tore | 1.37 | 0.76 |
| Gegentore | 1.6 | 2.03 |
H2H
Historische Erfolgsquoten in Hauptmärkten
Taktisches Profil
Feldpositionen & Kontrollstile
FC Mariupol II
Inhulets 2
Sokapicks Momentum-Index
Aktueller Formindex inklusive Belastung und Gegnerstärke (0-100)
Angriffs- & Abwehrstärke
Vorhersage-Engine
Ergebnishäufigkeiten und Hauptmärkte
Value Bet Finder (+EV)
Spiele mit mathematischem Vorteil gegenüber Buchmachern
Erwarteter Spielverlauf
Dominanzkurven in 15-Minuten-Abschnitten
Both sides are expected to start cautiously, looking to control the midfield battle.
The game is expected to settle into a tactical block, with both managers looking for space on the flanks.
The tempo could accelerate as both teams push for an opening goal before half-time.
Expect tactical adjustments from both sides, possibly shifting to a wider play style.
As players tire, spaces will open up, leading to transitional counter-attacks for both teams.
A high-risk final phase where any defensive lapse could lead to late drama and decide the match.
Offensiv-Heatmaps & Schüsse
Dynamische Heat-Overlays aus Zonen-Statistiken
Smart Insights
Vom System automatisch erkannte Muster
FC Mariupol II have found the net in 69% of their last 29 matches.
Inhulets 2 have conceded at least one goal in 85% of their last 34 fixtures.
Historical meetings between these sides average 2.00 goals per match.
FC Mariupol II remained undefeated in 1 of their last 5 overall matchups.
Inhulets 2 suffered defeat in 3 of their last 5 overall games.
Risikoanalyse
Bewertung von Störfaktoren
Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.
Standard league campaign fixture. Both teams have strong incentives to secure maximum points for table positioning.
Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.
Teamvergleich
Direkter Statistikvergleich
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zhemchuzhyna Odesa | 32 | 24 | 4 | 4 | 75:22 | 76 |
| 2 | Rukh Lviv | 32 | 23 | 5 | 4 | 68:24 | 74 |
| 3 | Kremin | 32 | 21 | 5 | 6 | 67:29 | 68 |
| 4 | FK Balkany | 32 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 54:32 | 57 |
| 5 | Real Pharma Odesa | 32 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 50:31 | 57 |
| 6 | Inhulets 2 | 32 | 14 | 8 | 10 | 50:33 | 50 |
| 7 | Nyva Vinnytsya | 32 | 14 | 8 | 10 | 42:33 | 50 |
| 8 | Nova Kakhovka | 32 | 14 | 6 | 12 | 62:46 | 48 |
| 9 | Myr Hornostajivka | 32 | 13 | 9 | 10 | 39:31 | 48 |
| 10 | Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk (2004) | 32 | 14 | 4 | 14 | 51:35 | 46 |
| 11 | FC Nikopol | 32 | 12 | 5 | 15 | 40:49 | 41 |
| 12 | FC Mariupol II | 32 | 11 | 1 | 20 | 42:56 | 34 |
| 13 | Krystal | 32 | 7 | 5 | 20 | 31:24 | 26 |
| 14 | FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi | 32 | 7 | 4 | 21 | 29:68 | 25 |
| 15 | Arsenal Bila Tserkva | 32 | 7 | 4 | 21 | 29:82 | 25 |
| 16 | FC Metalurh Zaporizhya | 32 | 7 | 2 | 23 | 35:104 | 23 |
| 17 | Sudnobudivnyk Mykolaiv | 32 | 6 | 4 | 22 | 19:84 | 22 |