Sport Tipps
Spielzusammenfassung
This Liga Nacional encounter between FC Santiago de Cuba and CF Granma promises to be a closely contested affair, with win probabilities pointing to an even matchup. FC Santiago de Cuba averages 1.5 goals scored and 1.1 conceded in recent matches. CF Granma shows a form average of 0.9 goals scored and 1.7 conceded. Given their contrasting recent form profiles, this matchup is expected to produce a balanced tactical flow. Historical head-to-head records show 3 wins for FC Santiago de Cuba, 1 wins for CF Granma, and 1 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 07.06.25 ended in a 0:0 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 1.44 for FC Santiago de Cuba and 1.00 for CF Granma, suggesting the primary value lies in the FC Santiago de Cuba double chance or over markets.
Siegwahrscheinlichkeits-Meter
Basierend auf 10.000 Simulationen unter Berücksichtigung von Heimvorteil & Form
Modell-Vertrauen
Gesamter Indikatorwert
- FC Santiago de Cuba hat zuletzt mehr Punkte geholt als CF Granma.
- Das Modell prognostiziert eine höhere Torgefahr für die Gastgeber (1.44 vs. 1.00 xG).
- Frühere Begegnungen zeigen einen klaren Vorteil für das Heimteam.
- Starke Defensiven sprechen für ein kontrolliertes, torarmes Spiel.
Torwahrscheinlichkeits-Rechner
Modellschätzungen für Tormärkte basierend auf xG-Historie
Formanalyse der Teams
Durchschnittswerte pro Spiel
| Metrik | FC Santiago de Cuba | CF Granma |
|---|---|---|
| Spiele | 30 | 27 |
| Siege | 12 | 7 |
| Unentschieden | 9 | 5 |
| Niederlagen | 9 | 15 |
| Erzielte Tore | 1.53 | 0.89 |
| Gegentore | 1.13 | 1.67 |
| Erwartete Tore (xG) | 1.13 | 1.00 |
| Erwartete Gegentore (xGA) | 1.00 | 1.75 |
H2H
Historische Erfolgsquoten in Hauptmärkten
Taktisches Profil
Feldpositionen & Kontrollstile
FC Santiago de Cuba
CF Granma
Sokapicks Momentum-Index
Aktueller Formindex inklusive Belastung und Gegnerstärke (0-100)
Angriffs- & Abwehrstärke
Vorhersage-Engine
Ergebnishäufigkeiten und Hauptmärkte
Value Bet Finder (+EV)
Spiele mit mathematischem Vorteil gegenüber Buchmachern
Erwarteter Spielverlauf
Dominanzkurven in 15-Minuten-Abschnitten
FC Santiago de Cuba is expected to start with high intensity, putting pressure on the visitors early.
CF Granma will try to absorb the pressure and slow down the tempo of FC Santiago de Cuba's attacks.
Expect FC Santiago de Cuba to create chances through sustained possession before the break.
Tactical adjustments at half-time will see FC Santiago de Cuba vary their attacking width.
Fatigue may set in for CF Granma, allowing FC Santiago de Cuba's midfield to exploit vertical gaps.
Expect a final offensive push from FC Santiago de Cuba, while CF Granma takes risks to salvage a result.
Offensiv-Heatmaps & Schüsse
Dynamische Heat-Overlays aus Zonen-Statistiken
Smart Insights
Vom System automatisch erkannte Muster
FC Santiago de Cuba have found the net in 67% of their last 30 matches.
CF Granma have conceded at least one goal in 74% of their last 27 fixtures.
Historical meetings between these sides average 1.80 goals per match.
FC Santiago de Cuba remained undefeated in 4 of their last 5 overall matchups.
CF Granma suffered defeat in 4 of their last 5 overall games.
Risikoanalyse
Bewertung von Störfaktoren
Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.
Standard league campaign fixture. Both teams have strong incentives to secure maximum points for table positioning.
Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.
Teamvergleich
Direkter Statistikvergleich
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC La Habana | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 21:12 | 24 |
| 2 | Artemisa | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 18:19 | 16 |
| 3 | Isla de La Juventud | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 10:16 | 11 |
| 4 | Pinar del Rio | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 11:13 | 9 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Cienfuegos | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 20:11 | 22 |
| 2 | FC Villa Clara | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 16:7 | 22 |
| 3 | Matanzas | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 10:13 | 12 |
| 4 | Mayabeque Guines | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 11:26 | 9 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Las Tunas | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 20:13 | 22 |
| 2 | FC Ciego de Avila | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 16:9 | 20 |
| 3 | FC Camaguey | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 17:14 | 17 |
| 4 | FC Sancti Spiritus | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 3:20 | 6 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Guantanamo | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 25:6 | 27 |
| 2 | FC Santiago de Cuba | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 12:11 | 15 |
| 3 | FC Holguin | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 12:19 | 13 |
| 4 | CF Granma | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 9:22 | 8 |