Sport Tipps
Spielzusammenfassung
The Paulista A4 2018 game between Fernandopolis and Catanduvense finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Catanduvense.
Siegwahrscheinlichkeits-Meter
Basierend auf 10.000 Simulationen unter Berücksichtigung von Heimvorteil & Form
90%
6%
4%
Unentschieden-Quote: 6% Favorit: Fernandopolis
Modell-Vertrauen
Gesamter Indikatorwert
95%
/ Sehr Hoch Vertrauen
- Catanduvense haven't matched Fernandopolis's recent run of results.
- Fernandopolis are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Regular Paulista A4 2018 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Hohe Trefferquoten deuten auf ein torreiches Spiel hin (Über 2.5 Wahrscheinlichkeit: 81%).
Torwahrscheinlichkeits-Rechner
Modellschätzungen für Tormärkte basierend auf xG-Historie
Über 0.5 Tore 99%
Über 1.5 Tore 94%
Über 2.5 Tore 81%
Über 3.5 Tore 56.5%
Über 4.5 Tore 25%
Beide treffen (BTTS) 65.8%
Fernandopolis Ohne Gegentor 16%
Catanduvense Ohne Gegentor 10%
Formanalyse der Teams
Durchschnittswerte pro Spiel
| Metrik | Fernandopolis | Catanduvense |
|---|---|---|
| Spiele | 32 | 30 |
| Siege | 9 | 7 |
| Unentschieden | 2 | 4 |
| Niederlagen | 21 | 19 |
| Erzielte Tore | 1.06 | 0.9 |
| Gegentore | 2.06 | 3.13 |
| Erwartete Tore (xG) | 2.56 | 1.44 |
| Erwartete Gegentore (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historische Erfolgsquoten in Hauptmärkten
22. Sept. 2019 Paulista A4
Fernandopolis vs Catanduvense
3:0
18. Aug. 2019 Paulista A4
Catanduvense vs Fernandopolis
0:1
8. Juli 2018 Paulista A4
Catanduvense vs Fernandopolis
0:0
19. Mai 2018 Paulista A4
Fernandopolis vs Catanduvense
0:3
23. März 2016 Paulista A3
Fernandopolis vs Catanduvense
0:1
SokaPicks Momentum-Index
Aktueller Formindex inklusive Belastung und Gegnerstärke (0-100)
Fernandopolis 84 / 100
Catanduvense 10 / 100
Berechnungsgrundlage: Gewichtete Formel aus Formkurve (60%), Tordifferenzen (20%), Heimrecht (10%) und Kadertiefe (10%).
Angriffs- & Abwehrstärke
Fernandopolis Catanduvense
Vorhersage-Engine
Ergebnishäufigkeiten und Hauptmärkte
Haupttipp FER Win (1)
Nebentipp Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS-Prognose Yes (GG)
Über/Unter Tipp Over 2.5
Smart Insights
Vom System automatisch erkannte Muster
Catanduvense's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 30 matches.
Catanduvense lost 5 of their last 5 games.
Games between these two average 1.60 goals.
Fernandopolis found the back of the net in 59% of recent matches (32 games).
Tor-Trends
Fernandopolis VS Catanduvense
0.63 Erzielte Tore 0.5
2.38 Kassierte Tore 4.5
88% Über 1.5 100%
75% Über 2.5 100%
38% Über 3.5 75%
Recent Form & Match History
Fernandopolis
(Home) 22 Jun
Fernandopolis
3 : 4 Olimpia FC
15 Jun
Tupa
2 : 0 Fernandopolis
09 Jun
Fernandopolis
0 : 4 Inter de Bebedouro
02 Jun
Fernandopolis
0 : 0 AEA Aracatuba
25 May
Tanabi
4 : 1 Fernandopolis
Page 1 of 7
22 Jun
Fernandopolis
3 : 4 Olimpia FC
09 Jun
Fernandopolis
0 : 4 Inter de Bebedouro
02 Jun
Fernandopolis
0 : 0 AEA Aracatuba
12 May
Fernandopolis
2 : 1 Tupa
21 Apr
Fernandopolis
0 : 4 Tanabi
Page 1 of 4
Catanduvense
(Away) 20 Jun
Independente SP
17 : 0 Catanduvense
14 Jun
Catanduvense
0 : 13 Matonense
07 Jun
Catanduvense
0 : 6 Mogi Mirim
30 May
Sao Carlos
8 : 0 Catanduvense
24 May
Catanduvense
1 : 5 Santacruzense
Page 1 of 6
20 Jun
Independente SP
17 : 0 Catanduvense
30 May
Sao Carlos
8 : 0 Catanduvense
09 May
Matonense
3 : 1 Catanduvense
02 May
Mogi Mirim
2 : 1 Catanduvense
19 Apr
Santacruzense
6 : 0 Catanduvense
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Talentos 10 AC | 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 24:12 | 30 |
| 2 | Santacruzense | 14 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 19:15 | 24 |
| 3 | Vocem | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 16:9 | 24 |
| 4 | Osvaldo Cruz | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 25:16 | 24 |
| 5 | Andradina Esporte Clube | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 19:18 | 18 |
| 6 | Tupa | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 7:11 | 14 |
| 7 | Assisense | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 11:19 | 13 |
| 8 | Gremio Prudente | 14 | 0 | 5 | 9 | 12:33 | 5 |
Promotion - Paulista A4 2018 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Inter de Bebedouro | 14 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 23:10 | 31 |
| 2 | Bandeirante | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 22:11 | 28 |
| 3 | America SP | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 19:21 | 20 |
| 4 | Taquaritinga | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 19:21 | 19 |
| 5 | Jose Bonifacio EC | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 17:21 | 17 |
| 6 | Fernandopolis | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 8:11 | 15 |
| 7 | Catanduva FC | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 12:20 | 13 |
| 8 | Catanduvense | 14 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 16:21 | 12 |
Promotion - Paulista A4 2018 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Comercial | 14 | 9 | 5 | 0 | 34:5 | 32 |
| 2 | Francana | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 30:7 | 28 |
| 3 | Itapirense | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 19:12 | 26 |
| 4 | Independente SP | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 22:9 | 25 |
| 5 | XV de Jau | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 16:17 | 16 |
| 6 | Brasilis | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 14:30 | 12 |
| 7 | Jaguariuna | 14 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 5:36 | 6 |
| 8 | Sao-Carlense | 13 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 6:30 | 5 |
Promotion - Paulista A4 2018 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Guarulhos | 14 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 23:10 | 32 |
| 2 | Sao Jose EC | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 25:7 | 28 |
| 3 | Paulista | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 26:8 | 27 |
| 4 | Flamengo SP | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 22:12 | 27 |
| 5 | Amparo SP | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 19:15 | 19 |
| 6 | Jacarei FC | 14 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 23:26 | 13 |
| 7 | Uniao Mogi | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 8:25 | 11 |
| 8 | Atletico Mogi | 14 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 3:46 | 1 |
Promotion - Paulista A4 2018 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams
League Standings (Group 5)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Primavera EC | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 23:7 | 27 |
| 2 | Maua FC | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 25:10 | 27 |
| 3 | AA Itarare | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 17:8 | 26 |
| 4 | Elosport | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 20:12 | 26 |
| 5 | Mauaense | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 14:17 | 18 |
| 6 | Jabaquara | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 13:12 | 17 |
| 7 | Barcelona SP | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 10:22 | 11 |
| 8 | Guaruja | 14 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 3:37 | 2 |
Promotion - Paulista A4 2018 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams
