Sport Tipps
Spielzusammenfassung
This Division 1 encounter between Finn Harps and Longford promises to be a closely contested affair, with win probabilities pointing to an even matchup. Finn Harps averages 0.9 goals scored and 1.9 conceded in recent matches. Longford shows a form average of 1.1 goals scored and 1.5 conceded. Given their contrasting recent form profiles, this matchup is expected to produce a balanced tactical flow. Historical head-to-head records show 1 wins for Finn Harps, 0 wins for Longford, and 4 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 22.05.26 ended in a 2:2 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 1.38 for Finn Harps and 1.94 for Longford, suggesting the primary value lies in the Longford double chance or over markets.
Siegwahrscheinlichkeits-Meter
Basierend auf 10.000 Simulationen unter Berücksichtigung von Heimvorteil & Form
Modell-Vertrauen
Gesamter Indikatorwert
- Finn Harps hat zuletzt mehr Punkte geholt als Longford.
- Das Modell prognostiziert eine höhere Torgefahr für die Gastgeber (1.38 vs. 1.94 xG).
- Frühere Begegnungen zeigen einen klaren Vorteil für die Gäste.
- Starke Defensiven sprechen für ein kontrolliertes, torarmes Spiel.
Torwahrscheinlichkeits-Rechner
Modellschätzungen für Tormärkte basierend auf xG-Historie
Formanalyse der Teams
Durchschnittswerte pro Spiel
| Metrik | Finn Harps | Longford |
|---|---|---|
| Spiele | 28 | 27 |
| Siege | 5 | 9 |
| Unentschieden | 8 | 7 |
| Niederlagen | 15 | 11 |
| Erzielte Tore | 0.93 | 1.11 |
| Gegentore | 1.89 | 1.52 |
| Erwartete Tore (xG) | 0.88 | 1.50 |
| Erwartete Gegentore (xGA) | 2.38 | 1.88 |
H2H
Historische Erfolgsquoten in Hauptmärkten
Taktisches Profil
Feldpositionen & Kontrollstile
Finn Harps
Longford
Schlüsselspieler-Analyse
Top-Akteure und erwartete Torbeteiligungen
Finn Harps Vergleich
Longford Vergleich
Kader-Verfügbarkeit
Sokapicks Momentum-Index
Aktueller Formindex inklusive Belastung und Gegnerstärke (0-100)
Angriffs- & Abwehrstärke
Vorhersage-Engine
Ergebnishäufigkeiten und Hauptmärkte
Value Bet Finder (+EV)
Spiele mit mathematischem Vorteil gegenüber Buchmachern
Erwarteter Spielverlauf
Dominanzkurven in 15-Minuten-Abschnitten
Both sides are expected to start cautiously, looking to control the midfield battle.
The game is expected to settle into a tactical block, with both managers looking for space on the flanks.
The tempo could accelerate as both teams push for an opening goal before half-time.
Expect tactical adjustments from both sides, possibly shifting to a wider play style.
As players tire, spaces will open up, leading to transitional counter-attacks for both teams.
A high-risk final phase where any defensive lapse could lead to late drama and decide the match.
Offensiv-Heatmaps & Schüsse
Dynamische Heat-Overlays aus Zonen-Statistiken
Smart Insights
Vom System automatisch erkannte Muster
Finn Harps have found the net in 68% of their last 28 matches.
Longford have conceded at least one goal in 78% of their last 27 fixtures.
Historical meetings between these sides average 1.40 goals per match.
Finn Harps remained undefeated in 2 of their last 5 overall matchups.
Longford suffered defeat in 2 of their last 5 overall games.
Risikoanalyse
Bewertung von Störfaktoren
Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.
Standard league campaign fixture. Both teams have strong incentives to secure maximum points for table positioning.
Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.
Teamvergleich
Direkter Statistikvergleich
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cork City | 21 | 16 | 3 | 2 | 42:11 | 51 |
| 2 | UC Dublin | 21 | 11 | 3 | 7 | 35:19 | 36 |
| 3 | Bray | 21 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 39:30 | 31 |
| 4 | Cobh Ramblers | 21 | 9 | 4 | 8 | 25:29 | 31 |
| 5 | Wexford | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 25:29 | 27 |
| 6 | Kerry | 21 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 21:25 | 25 |
| 7 | Longford | 21 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 21:26 | 25 |
| 8 | Athlone | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 19:26 | 24 |
| 9 | Finn Harps | 21 | 4 | 7 | 10 | 19:37 | 19 |
| 10 | Treaty United | 21 | 3 | 8 | 10 | 19:33 | 17 |