Sport Tipps
FK Kozlovice vs Sternberk
Czech Republic
4. liga - Group E 2025/2026 
Spielzusammenfassung
This 4. liga - Group E 2025/2026 encounter between FK Kozlovice and Sternberk promises to be a closely contested affair, with win probabilities pointing to an even matchup. FK Kozlovice averages 2.0 goals scored and 1.4 conceded in recent matches. Sternberk shows a form average of 1.3 goals scored and 2.0 conceded. Given their contrasting recent form profiles, this matchup is expected to produce a balanced tactical flow. Historical head-to-head records show 3 wins for FK Kozlovice, 1 wins for Sternberk, and 1 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 03.06.26 ended in a 3:1 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 1.88 for FK Kozlovice and 1.19 for Sternberk, suggesting the primary value lies in the FK Kozlovice double chance or over markets.
Siegwahrscheinlichkeits-Meter
Basierend auf 10.000 Simulationen unter Berücksichtigung von Heimvorteil & Form
Modell-Vertrauen
Gesamter Indikatorwert
- FK Kozlovice hat zuletzt mehr Punkte geholt als Sternberk.
- Das Modell prognostiziert eine höhere Torgefahr für die Gastgeber (1.88 vs. 1.19 xG).
- Frühere Begegnungen zeigen einen klaren Vorteil für das Heimteam.
- Hohe Trefferquoten deuten auf ein torreiches Spiel hin (Über 2.5 Wahrscheinlichkeit: 58%).
Torwahrscheinlichkeits-Rechner
Modellschätzungen für Tormärkte basierend auf xG-Historie
Formanalyse der Teams
Durchschnittswerte pro Spiel
| Metrik | FK Kozlovice | Sternberk |
|---|---|---|
| Spiele | 30 | 30 |
| Siege | 15 | 6 |
| Unentschieden | 8 | 7 |
| Niederlagen | 7 | 17 |
| Erzielte Tore | 2.03 | 1.3 |
| Gegentore | 1.37 | 2 |
| Erwartete Tore (xG) | 2.00 | 1.25 |
| Erwartete Gegentore (xGA) | 1.13 | 1.75 |
H2H
Historische Erfolgsquoten in Hauptmärkten
Taktisches Profil
Feldpositionen & Kontrollstile
FK Kozlovice
Sternberk
Sokapicks Momentum-Index
Aktueller Formindex inklusive Belastung und Gegnerstärke (0-100)
Angriffs- & Abwehrstärke
Vorhersage-Engine
Ergebnishäufigkeiten und Hauptmärkte
Value Bet Finder (+EV)
Spiele mit mathematischem Vorteil gegenüber Buchmachern
Erwarteter Spielverlauf
Dominanzkurven in 15-Minuten-Abschnitten
FK Kozlovice is expected to start with high intensity, putting pressure on the visitors early.
Sternberk will try to absorb the pressure and slow down the tempo of FK Kozlovice's attacks.
Expect FK Kozlovice to create chances through sustained possession before the break.
Tactical adjustments at half-time will see FK Kozlovice vary their attacking width.
Fatigue may set in for Sternberk, allowing FK Kozlovice's midfield to exploit vertical gaps.
Expect a final offensive push from FK Kozlovice, while Sternberk takes risks to salvage a result.
Offensiv-Heatmaps & Schüsse
Dynamische Heat-Overlays aus Zonen-Statistiken
Smart Insights
Vom System automatisch erkannte Muster
FK Kozlovice have found the net in 80% of their last 30 matches.
Sternberk have conceded at least one goal in 87% of their last 30 fixtures.
Historical meetings between these sides average 3.00 goals per match.
FK Kozlovice remained undefeated in 4 of their last 5 overall matchups.
Sternberk suffered defeat in 4 of their last 5 overall games.
Risikoanalyse
Bewertung von Störfaktoren
Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.
Standard league campaign fixture. Both teams have strong incentives to secure maximum points for table positioning.
Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.
Teamvergleich
Direkter Statistikvergleich