Sport Tipps
Spielzusammenfassung
Flora II enters this Esiliiga 2007 fixture as the clear favorite, carrying a strong win probability of 58%. Flora II averages 2.9 goals scored and 1.6 conceded in recent matches. TVMK Tallinn II shows a form average of 1.7 goals scored and 2.8 conceded. Given their contrasting recent form profiles, this matchup is expected to produce a balanced tactical flow. Historical head-to-head records show 3 wins for Flora II, 2 wins for TVMK Tallinn II, and 0 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 15.10.08 ended in a 1:3 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 1.73 for Flora II and 1.44 for TVMK Tallinn II, suggesting the primary value lies in the Flora II double chance or over markets.
Siegwahrscheinlichkeits-Meter
Basierend auf 10.000 Simulationen unter Berücksichtigung von Heimvorteil & Form
Modell-Vertrauen
Gesamter Indikatorwert
- Flora II hat zuletzt mehr Punkte geholt als TVMK Tallinn II.
- Das Modell prognostiziert eine höhere Torgefahr für die Gastgeber (1.73 vs. 1.44 xG).
- Frühere Begegnungen zeigen einen klaren Vorteil für das Heimteam.
- Hohe Trefferquoten deuten auf ein torreiches Spiel hin (Über 2.5 Wahrscheinlichkeit: 84%).
Torwahrscheinlichkeits-Rechner
Modellschätzungen für Tormärkte basierend auf xG-Historie
Formanalyse der Teams
Durchschnittswerte pro Spiel
| Metrik | Flora II | TVMK Tallinn II |
|---|---|---|
| Spiele | 32 | 30 |
| Siege | 20 | 9 |
| Unentschieden | 3 | 3 |
| Niederlagen | 9 | 18 |
| Erzielte Tore | 2.94 | 1.7 |
| Gegentore | 1.59 | 2.8 |
H2H
Historische Erfolgsquoten in Hauptmärkten
Taktisches Profil
Feldpositionen & Kontrollstile
Flora II
TVMK Tallinn II
Sokapicks Momentum-Index
Aktueller Formindex inklusive Belastung und Gegnerstärke (0-100)
Angriffs- & Abwehrstärke
Vorhersage-Engine
Ergebnishäufigkeiten und Hauptmärkte
Value Bet Finder (+EV)
Spiele mit mathematischem Vorteil gegenüber Buchmachern
Erwarteter Spielverlauf
Dominanzkurven in 15-Minuten-Abschnitten
Flora II is expected to start with high intensity, putting pressure on the visitors early.
TVMK Tallinn II will try to absorb the pressure and slow down the tempo of Flora II's attacks.
Expect Flora II to create chances through sustained possession before the break.
Tactical adjustments at half-time will see Flora II vary their attacking width.
Fatigue may set in for TVMK Tallinn II, allowing Flora II's midfield to exploit vertical gaps.
Expect a final offensive push from Flora II, while TVMK Tallinn II takes risks to salvage a result.
Offensiv-Heatmaps & Schüsse
Dynamische Heat-Overlays aus Zonen-Statistiken
Smart Insights
Vom System automatisch erkannte Muster
Flora II have found the net in 91% of their last 32 matches.
TVMK Tallinn II have conceded at least one goal in 93% of their last 30 fixtures.
Historical meetings between these sides average 4.40 goals per match.
Flora II remained undefeated in 4 of their last 5 overall matchups.
TVMK Tallinn II suffered defeat in 3 of their last 5 overall games.
Risikoanalyse
Bewertung von Störfaktoren
Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.
Standard league campaign fixture. Both teams have strong incentives to secure maximum points for table positioning.
Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.
Teamvergleich
Direkter Statistikvergleich
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Levadia U21 | 36 | 27 | 5 | 4 | 95:20 | 86 |
| 2 | Flora II | 36 | 24 | 6 | 6 | 97:33 | 78 |
| 3 | Sillamae Kalev | 36 | 20 | 9 | 7 | 67:40 | 69 |
| 4 | Tammeka Tartu U21 | 36 | 14 | 11 | 11 | 51:39 | 53 |
| 5 | TVMK Tallinn II | 36 | 15 | 8 | 13 | 81:68 | 53 |
| 6 | Kalju | 36 | 13 | 9 | 14 | 69:69 | 48 |
| 7 | Valga Warrior | 36 | 13 | 5 | 18 | 72:73 | 44 |
| 8 | Tulevik Viljandi II | 36 | 9 | 7 | 20 | 37:84 | 34 |
| 9 | Tartu Valk | 36 | 7 | 8 | 21 | 49:93 | 29 |
| 10 | Elva | 36 | 3 | 2 | 31 | 17:116 | 11 |