Sport Tipps
Spielereignisse
66'
66'
Mbappe K.
Vorlage: Olise M.
75'
75'
Wechsel
Sarr I. Rein: Mbaye I.
Raus: Sarr I.
76'
76'
Wechsel
Camara L. Rein: Diarra H.
Raus: Camara L.
Spielzusammenfassung
The World Championship 2026 game between France and Senegal finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward France.
Siegwahrscheinlichkeits-Meter
Basierend auf 10.000 Simulationen unter Berücksichtigung von Heimvorteil & Form
70%
17%
13%
Unentschieden-Quote: 17% Favorit: France
Modell-Vertrauen
Gesamter Indikatorwert
88%
/ Sehr Hoch Vertrauen
- France carry the better recent record into this one.
- 70% — that's where the model lands on France taking it.
- European nights carry their own weight — this World Championship 2026 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
- Hohe Trefferquoten deuten auf ein torreiches Spiel hin (Über 2.5 Wahrscheinlichkeit: 81%).
Torwahrscheinlichkeits-Rechner
Modellschätzungen für Tormärkte basierend auf xG-Historie
Über 0.5 Tore 99%
Über 1.5 Tore 94%
Über 2.5 Tore 81%
Über 3.5 Tore 56.5%
Über 4.5 Tore 25%
Beide treffen (BTTS) 70.2%
France Ohne Gegentor 17%
Senegal Ohne Gegentor 10%
Formanalyse der Teams
Durchschnittswerte pro Spiel
| Metrik | France | Senegal |
|---|---|---|
| Spiele | 30 | 28 |
| Siege | 21 | 16 |
| Unentschieden | 2 | 4 |
| Niederlagen | 7 | 8 |
| Erzielte Tore | 2.27 | 2.07 |
| Gegentore | 1.13 | 1 |
| Erwartete Tore (xG) | 2.19 | 1.38 |
| Erwartete Gegentore (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historische Erfolgsquoten in Hauptmärkten
16. Juni 2026 World Championship
France vs Senegal
3:1
31. Mai 2002 World Championship
France vs Senegal
0:1
Schlüsselspieler-Analyse
Top-Akteure und erwartete Torbeteiligungen
France Vergleich
Top-Torschütze Mbappe K.
2 Tore Top-Vorlagengeber Barcola B.
1 Ast
Durchschnitt xG / Spiel 1.68
Durchschnitt xA / Spiel 1.09
Senegal Vergleich
Top-Torschütze Mbaye I.
1 Tore Durchschnitt xG / Spiel 1.25
Durchschnitt xA / Spiel 0.77
SokaPicks Momentum-Index
Aktueller Formindex inklusive Belastung und Gegnerstärke (0-100)
France 66 / 100
Senegal 14 / 100
Berechnungsgrundlage: Gewichtete Formel aus Formkurve (60%), Tordifferenzen (20%), Heimrecht (10%) und Kadertiefe (10%).
Angriffs- & Abwehrstärke
France Senegal
Vorhersage-Engine
Ergebnishäufigkeiten und Hauptmärkte
Haupttipp France Win (1)
Nebentipp Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS-Prognose Yes (GG)
Über/Unter Tipp Over 2.5
Smart Insights
Vom System automatisch erkannte Muster
France scored in 90% of their last 30 games.
These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.
France went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Difficult form: Senegal registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.
Tor-Trends
France VS Senegal
2.75 Erzielte Tore 1.88
0.88 Kassierte Tore 1.63
100% Über 1.5 88%
100% Über 2.5 75%
50% Über 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
France
(Home) 18 Jul
France
4 : 6 England
14 Jul
France
0 : 2 Spain
09 Jul
France
2 : 0 Morocco
04 Jul
Paraguay
0 : 1 France
30 Jun
France
3 : 0 Sweden
Page 1 of 6
18 Jul
France
4 : 6 England
14 Jul
France
0 : 2 Spain
09 Jul
France
2 : 0 Morocco
30 Jun
France
3 : 0 Sweden
22 Jun
France
3 : 0 Iraq
Page 1 of 3
Senegal
(Away) 01 Jul
Belgium
3 : 2 Senegal
26 Jun
Senegal
5 : 0 Iraq
23 Jun
Norway
3 : 2 Senegal
16 Jun
France
3 : 1 Senegal
09 Jun
Saudi Arabia
0 : 0 Senegal
Page 1 of 6
01 Jul
Belgium
3 : 2 Senegal
23 Jun
Norway
3 : 2 Senegal
16 Jun
France
3 : 1 Senegal
09 Jun
Saudi Arabia
0 : 0 Senegal
31 May
USA
3 : 2 Senegal
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mexico | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6:0 | 9 |
| 2 | South Africa | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | 4 |
| 3 | South Korea | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:3 | 3 |
| 4 | Czech Republic | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:6 | 1 |
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Switzerland | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7:3 | 7 |
| 2 | Canada | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8:3 | 4 |
| 3 | Bosnia & Herzegovina | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:6 | 4 |
| 4 | Qatar | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:10 | 1 |
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brazil | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7:1 | 7 |
| 2 | Morocco | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6:3 | 7 |
| 3 | Scotland | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1:4 | 3 |
| 4 | Haiti | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:8 | 0 |
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | USA | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8:4 | 6 |
| 2 | Australia | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 4 |
| 3 | Paraguay | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:4 | 4 |
| 4 | Turkey | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:5 | 3 |
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams
League Standings (Group 5)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Germany | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10:4 | 6 |
| 2 | Ivory Coast | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:2 | 6 |
| 3 | Ecuador | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 4 |
| 4 | Curacao | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1:9 | 1 |
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams
League Standings (Group 6)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Netherlands | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10:4 | 7 |
| 2 | Japan | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7:3 | 5 |
| 3 | Sweden | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7:7 | 4 |
| 4 | Tunisia | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:12 | 0 |
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams
League Standings (Group 7)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Belgium | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6:2 | 5 |
| 2 | Egypt | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5:3 | 5 |
| 3 | Iran | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3:3 | 3 |
| 4 | New Zealand | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4:10 | 1 |
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams
League Standings (Group 8)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spain | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5:0 | 7 |
| 2 | Cape Verde | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2:2 | 3 |
| 3 | Uruguay | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3:4 | 2 |
| 4 | Saudi Arabia | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1:5 | 2 |
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams
League Standings (Group 9)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | France | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10:2 | 9 |
| 2 | Norway | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8:7 | 6 |
| 3 | Senegal | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8:6 | 3 |
| 4 | Iraq | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:12 | 0 |
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams
League Standings (Group 10)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Argentina | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8:1 | 9 |
| 2 | Austria | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6:6 | 4 |
| 3 | Algeria | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:7 | 4 |
| 4 | Jordan | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3:8 | 0 |
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams
League Standings (Group 11)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Colombia | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4:1 | 7 |
| 2 | Portugal | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6:1 | 5 |
| 3 | D.R. Congo | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:3 | 4 |
| 4 | Uzbekistan | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:11 | 0 |
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams
League Standings (Group 12)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | England | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6:2 | 7 |
| 2 | Croatia | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:5 | 6 |
| 3 | Ghana | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 4 |
| 4 | Panama | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0:4 | 0 |
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams
