Sport Tipps
Spielzusammenfassung
Estanciano EC in this Sergipano 2 2024 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Estanciano EC.
Siegwahrscheinlichkeits-Meter
Basierend auf 10.000 Simulationen unter Berücksichtigung von Heimvorteil & Form
42%
20%
38%
Unentschieden-Quote: 20% Favorit: Frei Paulistano
Modell-Vertrauen
Gesamter Indikatorwert
67%
/ Mittel Vertrauen
- Form's been kind to Estanciano EC lately — more wins on the board than Frei Paulistano.
- 42% — that's where the model lands on Frei Paulistano taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Hohe Trefferquoten deuten auf ein torreiches Spiel hin (Über 2.5 Wahrscheinlichkeit: 78%).
- Frei Paulistano have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.
Torwahrscheinlichkeits-Rechner
Modellschätzungen für Tormärkte basierend auf xG-Historie
Über 0.5 Tore 92%
Über 1.5 Tore 82%
Über 2.5 Tore 78%
Über 3.5 Tore 70%
Über 4.5 Tore 32%
Beide treffen (BTTS) 65.8%
Frei Paulistano Ohne Gegentor 16%
Estanciano EC Ohne Gegentor 11%
Formanalyse der Teams
Durchschnittswerte pro Spiel
| Metrik | Frei Paulistano | Estanciano EC |
|---|---|---|
| Spiele | 31 | 33 |
| Siege | 16 | 18 |
| Unentschieden | 4 | 4 |
| Niederlagen | 11 | 11 |
| Erzielte Tore | 1.71 | 1.42 |
| Gegentore | 0.9 | 1.06 |
| Erwartete Tore (xG) | 1.25 | 1.50 |
| Erwartete Gegentore (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historische Erfolgsquoten in Hauptmärkten
25. Sept. 2024 Sergipano 2
Estanciano EC vs Frei Paulistano
1:4
8. Sept. 2024 Sergipano 2
Frei Paulistano vs Estanciano EC
0:1
15. März 2023 Sergipano
Frei Paulistano vs Estanciano EC
1:0
5. Feb. 2017 Sergipano
Estanciano EC vs Frei Paulistano
1:2
SokaPicks Momentum-Index
Aktueller Formindex inklusive Belastung und Gegnerstärke (0-100)
Frei Paulistano 41 / 100
Estanciano EC 36 / 100
Berechnungsgrundlage: Gewichtete Formel aus Formkurve (60%), Tordifferenzen (20%), Heimrecht (10%) und Kadertiefe (10%).
Angriffs- & Abwehrstärke
Frei Paulistano Estanciano EC
Vorhersage-Engine
Ergebnishäufigkeiten und Hauptmärkte
Haupttipp Draw (X)
Nebentipp Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS-Prognose Yes (GG)
Über/Unter Tipp Over 2.5
Smart Insights
Vom System automatisch erkannte Muster
Frei Paulistano scored in 61% of their last 31 games.
H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.
Frei Paulistano went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Estanciano EC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 58% of 33 matches.
Tor-Trends
Frei Paulistano VS Estanciano EC
2 Erzielte Tore 1.88
1.13 Kassierte Tore 0.5
63% Über 1.5 75%
50% Über 2.5 63%
38% Über 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Frei Paulistano
(Home) 01 Nov
Flamengo SE
0 : 4 Frei Paulistano
26 Oct
Atletico Central
0 : 1 Frei Paulistano
18 Oct
Frei Paulistano
0 : 1 Desportiva Aracaju
15 Oct
Independente SE
0 : 3 Frei Paulistano
11 Oct
Frei Paulistano
5 : 1 Boca Junior
Page 1 of 7
18 Oct
Frei Paulistano
0 : 1 Desportiva Aracaju
11 Oct
Frei Paulistano
5 : 1 Boca Junior
27 Sept
Frei Paulistano
4 : 1 Caninde
15 Sept
Frei Paulistano
0 : 1 Atletico Gloriense
26 Oct
Frei Paulistano
1 : 3 Atletico Central
Page 1 of 3
Estanciano EC
(Away) 06 Nov
Estanciano EC
2 : 1 Socorrense
01 Nov
Estanciano EC
3 : 0 CS Maruinense
25 Oct
CS Maruinense
0 : 1 Estanciano EC
19 Oct
Estanciano EC
2 : 0 Santa Cruz SE
16 Oct
Santa Cruz SE
0 : 1 Estanciano EC
Page 1 of 7
25 Oct
CS Maruinense
0 : 1 Estanciano EC
16 Oct
Santa Cruz SE
0 : 1 Estanciano EC
05 Oct
Riachao
0 : 3 Estanciano EC
28 Sept
AD Boquinhense
0 : 3 Estanciano EC
17 Sept
Botafogo ASF
2 : 2 Estanciano EC
Page 1 of 4
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Flamengo SE | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 13:1 | 21 |
| 2 | Atletico Central | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 17:7 | 18 |
| 3 | Aracaju FC | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 14:10 | 15 |
| 4 | CS Maruinense | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5:13 | 4 |
| 5 | Socorro | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 1:19 | 1 |
Promotion - Sergipano 2 2024 (Second stage)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Desportiva Aracaju | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 16:4 | 22 |
| 2 | Barra SE | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 19:4 | 19 |
| 3 | Santa Cruz SE | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 12:15 | 9 |
| 4 | Cotinguiba | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 7:14 | 4 |
| 5 | Socorrense | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 1:18 | 4 |
Promotion - Sergipano 2 2024 (Second stage)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | America de Pedrinhas | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 20:9 | 18 |
| 2 | Independente SE | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 12:11 | 13 |
| 3 | Riachao | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 11:7 | 12 |
| 4 | Amadense | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 15:18 | 10 |
| 5 | AD Boquinhense | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5:18 | 2 |
Promotion - Sergipano 2 2024 (Second stage)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Frei Paulistano | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 21:3 | 19 |
| 2 | Boca Junior | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 14:8 | 16 |
| 3 | Estanciano EC | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 11:12 | 10 |
| 4 | Sete de Junho | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 6:15 | 7 |
| 5 | Botafogo ASF | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 3:17 | 5 |
Promotion - Sergipano 2 2024 (Second stage)
League Standings (Group 5)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Guarany SE | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 23:6 | 19 |
| 2 | Caninde | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 14:10 | 16 |
| 3 | Forca Jovem Aquidaba | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 16:10 | 12 |
| 4 | Propria | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 11:14 | 9 |
| 5 | Coritiba SE | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6:30 | 1 |
Promotion - Sergipano 2 2024 (Second stage)
