Sport Tipps
Galway United vs Derry City - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Ireland
FAI Cup Eamonn Deacy Park, Galway 
Spielereignisse
25'
25'
Barratt C.
26'
26'
Duffy M.
45'
45'
Duffy M.
Spielzusammenfassung
A one-off knockout match in the FAI Cup. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Galway United have averaged 1.5 scored and 1.46 conceded recently, against Derry City's 1.52 scored and 1.34 conceded. Head-to-head, Galway United have won 2 to Derry City's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on 18. Sept. 2026, ending 1:0. Model xG sits at 1.63 vs 1.69, favoring Galway United. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.
Siegwahrscheinlichkeits-Meter
Basierend auf 10.000 Simulationen unter Berücksichtigung von Heimvorteil & Form
31%
39%
30%
Unentschieden-Quote: 39% Favorit: Draw
Modell-Vertrauen
Gesamter Indikatorwert
65%
/ Mittel Vertrauen
- Galway United have managed 1.5 goals a game lately — Derry City are scoring more at 1.52.
- Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
- Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
- Historical meetings favor Galway United, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- Hohe Trefferquoten deuten auf ein torreiches Spiel hin (Über 2.5 Wahrscheinlichkeit: 78%).
Torwahrscheinlichkeits-Rechner
Modellschätzungen für Tormärkte basierend auf xG-Historie
Über 0.5 Tore 92%
Über 1.5 Tore 82%
Über 2.5 Tore 78%
Über 3.5 Tore 37.5%
Über 4.5 Tore 17%
Beide treffen (BTTS) 78.6%
Galway United Ohne Gegentor 13%
Derry City Ohne Gegentor 10%
Formanalyse der Teams
Durchschnittswerte pro Spiel
| Metrik | Galway United | Derry City |
|---|---|---|
| Spiele | 28 | 29 |
| Siege | 10 | 10 |
| Unentschieden | 9 | 9 |
| Niederlagen | 9 | 10 |
| Erzielte Tore | 1.5 | 1.52 |
| Gegentore | 1.46 | 1.34 |
| Erwartete Tore (xG) | 1.63 | 1.69 |
| Erwartete Gegentore (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historische Erfolgsquoten in Hauptmärkten
18. Sept. 2026 Premier Division
Derry City vs Galway United
1:0
19. Juni 2026 Premier Division
Galway United vs Derry City
2:1
4. Mai 2026 Premier Division
Derry City vs Galway United
1:1
3. Apr. 2026 Premier Division
Galway United vs Derry City
2:1
22. Aug. 2025 Premier Division
Galway United vs Derry City
1:2
Schlüsselspieler-Analyse
Top-Akteure und erwartete Torbeteiligungen
Galway United Vergleich
Durchschnitt xG / Spiel 1.25
Durchschnitt xA / Spiel 0.81
Derry City Vergleich
Top-Torschütze Duffy M.
2 Tore Durchschnitt xG / Spiel 1.54
Durchschnitt xA / Spiel 0.94
SokaPicks Momentum-Index
Aktueller Formindex inklusive Belastung und Gegnerstärke (0-100)
Galway United 31 / 100
Derry City 29 / 100
Berechnungsgrundlage: Gewichtete Formel aus Formkurve (60%), Tordifferenzen (20%), Heimrecht (10%) und Kadertiefe (10%).
Angriffs- & Abwehrstärke
Galway United Derry City
Vorhersage-Engine
Ergebnishäufigkeiten und Hauptmärkte
Haupttipp Derry City Win (2)
Nebentipp Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS-Prognose Yes (GG)
Über/Unter Tipp Over 2.5
Smart Insights
Vom System automatisch erkannte Muster
Galway United scored in 79% of their last 28 games.
Derry City let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.
H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.
Recent resilience: Galway United stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Tor-Trends
Galway United VS Derry City
1.63 Erzielte Tore 2.25
1.13 Kassierte Tore 1.63
88% Über 1.5 75%
63% Über 2.5 63%
25% Über 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Galway United
(Home) 25 Sept
Galway United
1 : 1 Shelbourne
18 Sept
Derry City
1 : 0 Galway United
14 Sept
Sligo Rovers
1 : 3 Galway United
11 Sept
Galway United
2 : 3 Bohemians
04 Sept
Drogheda
1 : 2 Galway United
Page 1 of 6
25 Sept
Galway United
1 : 1 Shelbourne
11 Sept
Galway United
2 : 3 Bohemians
28 Aug
Galway United
1 : 1 Shelbourne
14 Aug
Galway United
2 : 1 Bray
07 Aug
Galway United
0 : 0 Drogheda
Page 1 of 3
Derry City
(Away) 18 Sept
Derry City
1 : 0 Galway United
14 Sept
Waterford
2 : 2 Derry City
11 Sept
Shelbourne
0 : 1 Derry City
06 Sept
Derry City
4 : 2 Dundalk
30 Aug
Derry City
3 : 3 Shamrock Rovers
Page 1 of 6
14 Sept
Waterford
2 : 2 Derry City
11 Sept
Shelbourne
0 : 1 Derry City
21 Aug
Bohemians
5 : 3 Derry City
14 Aug
UC Dublin
1 : 2 Derry City
02 Aug
St. Patricks
1 : 1 Derry City
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
St. Patricks -
TBD -
TBD -
Wexford -
Shamrock Rovers -
TBD -
TBD -
Cork City -
Liffey Wanderers 1
Ringmahon Rangers 2
TBD -
Bohemians -
Baldoyle Utd. 2
Leicester Celtic AFC 0
TBD -
Longford -
Waterford -
TBD -
TBD -
Cobh Ramblers -
Athlone -
TBD -
Midleton 2
Mayfield Utd 0
St. Michaels 1
Janesboro 3
TBD -
Sligo Rovers -
Kerry -
TBD -
TBD -
Shelbourne -
Bangor Celtic 4
River Valley Rangers 1
College Corinthians 2
Killester Donnycarney 1
Drogheda -
TBD -
Lucan Utd 5
University College Cork 2
Galway United -
TBD -
Crumlin Utd 4
Salthill 0
Finn Harps -
TBD -
TBD -
Bray -
Treaty United -
TBD -
TBD -
UC Dublin -
Derry City -
TBD -
Fairview Rangers 0
Tolka 3
Wayside Celtic 3
St Mochta's 4
TBD -
Dundalk -
Douglas Hall 1
Fanad United 0
Castlebar Celtic 3
North End United 0
1/16-finals
St. Patricks 2
Wexford 1
Shamrock Rovers 4
Cork City 1
Ringmahon Rangers -
Bohemians -
Baldoyle Utd. 0
Longford 8
Waterford 2
Cobh Ramblers 1
Athlone 3
Midleton 0
Janesboro 0
Sligo Rovers 4
Kerry 3
Shelbourne 2
Bangor Celtic 4
College Corinthians 5
Drogheda 4
Lucan Utd 0
Galway United 4
Crumlin Utd 0
Finn Harps 0
Bray 1
Treaty United 1
UC Dublin 2
Derry City 3
Tolka 0
St Mochta's 1
Dundalk 3
Douglas Hall 0
Castlebar Celtic 1
1/8-finals
St. Patricks 3
Shamrock Rovers 2
Bohemians 4
Longford 0
Waterford 2
Athlone 1
Sligo Rovers 4
Kerry 0
College Corinthians 0
Drogheda 3
Galway United 2
Bray 1
UC Dublin 1
Derry City 2
Dundalk 8
Castlebar Celtic 0
Quarter-finals
St. Patricks 1
Bohemians 2
Waterford 3
Sligo Rovers 0
Drogheda 1
Galway United 2
Derry City 4
Dundalk 2
Semi-finals
Bohemians 0
Waterford 2
Galway United -
Derry City -
Final
Waterford -
TBD -
