Sport Tipps
Spielzusammenfassung
A one-off knockout match in the National League Cup. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Recent numbers: Gateshead at 1.46 goals for, 1.64 against; Derby U21 at 1.52 for, 2.24 against. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. xG projections (2.27 - 1.75) back Gateshead to edge this. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.
Siegwahrscheinlichkeits-Meter
Basierend auf 10.000 Simulationen unter Berücksichtigung von Heimvorteil & Form
Modell-Vertrauen
Gesamter Indikatorwert
- Look at the last few games and Gateshead come out ahead of Derby U21 on wins alone.
- Gateshead are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Gateshead have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- These two have never met before — a fresh matchup with no historical pattern to lean on.
- Hohe Trefferquoten deuten auf ein torreiches Spiel hin (Über 2.5 Wahrscheinlichkeit: 78%).
Torwahrscheinlichkeits-Rechner
Modellschätzungen für Tormärkte basierend auf xG-Historie
Formanalyse der Teams
Durchschnittswerte pro Spiel
| Metrik | Gateshead | Derby U21 |
|---|---|---|
| Spiele | 28 | 29 |
| Siege | 11 | 7 |
| Unentschieden | 7 | 7 |
| Niederlagen | 10 | 15 |
| Erzielte Tore | 1.46 | 1.52 |
| Gegentore | 1.64 | 2.24 |
| Erwartete Tore (xG) | 2.27 | 1.75 |
| Erwartete Gegentore (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historische Erfolgsquoten in Hauptmärkten
SokaPicks Momentum-Index
Aktueller Formindex inklusive Belastung und Gegnerstärke (0-100)
Angriffs- & Abwehrstärke
Vorhersage-Engine
Ergebnishäufigkeiten und Hauptmärkte
Smart Insights
Vom System automatisch erkannte Muster
Gateshead found the back of the net in 82% of recent matches (28 games).
Derby U21 has conceded goals in 86% of their last 29 outings.
Derby U21 lost 4 of their last 5 games.
Gateshead went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.
Tor-Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Gateshead
(Home)Derby U21
(Away)League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Halifax | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6:2 | 3 |
| 2 | Scunthorpe | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 3 |
| 3 | Wolves U21 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 3 |
| 4 | Nottingham U21 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:1 | 2 |
| 5 | Gateshead | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 6 | Wealdstone | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | 0 |
| 7 | Derby U21 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:6 | 0 |
| 8 | Stoke City U21 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:4 | 0 |
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Norwich U21 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 2 | West Ham U21 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 3 | Fulham U21 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:2 | 2 |
| 4 | Ipswich U21 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:1 | 2 |
| 5 | Aldershot | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 1 |
| 6 | Braintree | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 7 | Hornchurch | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | 0 |
| 8 | Worthing FC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | 0 |
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Middlesbrough U21 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 13:1 | 6 |
| 2 | Boreham Wood | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5:2 | 3 |
| 3 | Tamworth | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5:3 | 3 |
| 4 | Everton U21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 5 | Newcastle Utd U21 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3:5 | 0 |
| 6 | Solihull Moors | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | 0 |
| 7 | Leeds U21 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:5 | 0 |
| 8 | Hartlepool | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:10 | 0 |
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Birmingham U21 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | 3 |
| 2 | Truro | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 3 | Sutton | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 2 |
| 4 | West Brom U21 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 2 |
| 5 | Woking | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:0 | 1 |
| 6 | Leicester U21 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:0 | 1 |
| 7 | Boston United | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | 0 |
| 8 | Southampton U21 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | 0 |
