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Germany vs Luxembourg - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

World Championship 2026 SNP Arena, Sinsheim
Unser Tipp

Spielereignisse

4'
Gnabry S.
12' Event
Raum D.
20'
Carlson D.

Spielzusammenfassung

Germany in this World Championship 2026 matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Germany.

Siegwahrscheinlichkeits-Meter

Basierend auf 10.000 Simulationen unter Berücksichtigung von Heimvorteil & Form

60%
Germany
22%
Unentschieden
18%
Luxembourg
Unentschieden-Quote: 22% Favorit: Germany

Modell-Vertrauen

Gesamter Indikatorwert

82% / Sehr Hoch Vertrauen
  • Luxembourg haven't matched Germany's recent run of results.
  • 60% — that's where the model lands on Germany taking it.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • Hohe Trefferquoten deuten auf ein torreiches Spiel hin (Über 2.5 Wahrscheinlichkeit: 78%).
  • History favors Germany here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Torwahrscheinlichkeits-Rechner

Modellschätzungen für Tormärkte basierend auf xG-Historie

Über 0.5 Tore 92%
Über 1.5 Tore 82%
Über 2.5 Tore 78%
Über 3.5 Tore 70%
Über 4.5 Tore 32%
Beide treffen (BTTS) 26.4%
Germany Ohne Gegentor 68%
Luxembourg Ohne Gegentor 10%

Formanalyse der Teams

Durchschnittswerte pro Spiel

Metrik Germany Luxembourg
Spiele 29 30
Siege 17 8
Unentschieden 5 4
Niederlagen 7 18
Erzielte Tore 2.31 0.7
Gegentore 1.03 1.4
Erwartete Tore (xG) 1.94 0.99
Erwartete Gegentore (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historische Erfolgsquoten in Hauptmärkten

14. Nov. 2025 World Championship
Luxembourg vs Germany
0:2
10. Okt. 2025 World Championship
Germany vs Luxembourg
4:0
27. Mai 2006 Friendly International
Germany vs Luxembourg
7:0
5. Juni 1998 Friendly International
Germany vs Luxembourg
7:0
18. Dez. 1991 Euro
Germany vs Luxembourg
4:0

Schlüsselspieler-Analyse

Top-Akteure und erwartete Torbeteiligungen

Germany Vergleich

Top-Torschütze Raum D.
1 Tore
Top-Vorlagengeber Gnabry S.
1 Ast
Durchschnitt xG / Spiel 1.49
Durchschnitt xA / Spiel 0.97

Luxembourg Vergleich

Durchschnitt xG / Spiel 0.9
Durchschnitt xA / Spiel 0.55

SokaPicks Momentum-Index

Aktueller Formindex inklusive Belastung und Gegnerstärke (0-100)

Germany 68 / 100
Luxembourg 18 / 100
Berechnungsgrundlage: Gewichtete Formel aus Formkurve (60%), Tordifferenzen (20%), Heimrecht (10%) und Kadertiefe (10%).

Angriffs- & Abwehrstärke

ANGRIFF ABWEHR BALLBESITZ DISZIPLIN
Germany Luxembourg

Vorhersage-Engine

Ergebnishäufigkeiten und Hauptmärkte

Haupttipp Germany Win (1)
Nebentipp Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 4:0
BTTS-Prognose No (NG)
Über/Unter Tipp Over 2.5

Smart Insights

Vom System automatisch erkannte Muster

Attacking prowess: Germany scored in 86% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 4.80 goals when they meet.

Luxembourg let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Germany went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Tor-Trends

Germany VS Luxembourg
2.75 Erzielte Tore 0.86
1.13 Kassierte Tore 1.14
88% Über 1.5 57%
88% Über 2.5 43%
38% Über 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Germany

(Home)
04 Oct
Greece
0 : 0
Germany
01 Oct
Germany
2 : 0
Serbia
27 Sept
Germany
0 : 1
Greece
24 Sept
Netherlands
1 : 1
Germany
29 Jun
Germany
1 : 2
Paraguay
Page 1 of 6

Luxembourg

(Away)
06 Oct
Luxembourg
0 : 2
Bulgaria
03 Oct
Estonia
1 : 0
Luxembourg
29 Sept
Luxembourg
0 : 3
Iceland
26 Sept
Bulgaria
1 : 2
Luxembourg
06 Jun
Albania
0 : 1
Luxembourg
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Germany 6 5 0 1 16:3 15
2 Slovakia 6 4 0 2 6:8 12
3 Northern Ireland 6 3 0 3 7:6 9
4 Luxembourg 6 0 0 6 1:13 0
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League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Switzerland 6 4 2 0 14:2 14
2 Kosovo 6 3 2 1 6:5 11
3 Slovenia 6 0 4 2 3:8 4
4 Sweden 6 0 2 4 4:12 2
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League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Scotland 6 4 1 1 13:7 13
2 Denmark 6 3 2 1 16:7 11
3 Greece 6 2 1 3 10:12 7
4 Belarus 6 0 2 4 4:17 2
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League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 France 6 5 1 0 16:4 16
2 Ukraine 6 3 1 2 10:11 10
3 Iceland 6 2 1 3 13:11 7
4 Azerbaijan 6 0 1 5 3:16 1
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League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Spain 6 5 1 0 21:2 16
2 Turkey 6 4 1 1 17:12 13
3 Georgia 6 1 0 5 7:15 3
4 Bulgaria 6 1 0 5 3:19 3
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League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Portugal 6 4 1 1 20:7 13
2 Ireland 6 3 1 2 9:7 10
3 Hungary 6 2 2 2 11:10 8
4 Armenia 6 1 0 5 3:19 3
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League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Netherlands 8 6 2 0 27:4 20
2 Poland 8 5 2 1 14:7 17
3 Finland 8 3 1 4 8:14 10
4 Malta 8 1 2 5 4:19 5
5 Lithuania 8 0 3 5 6:15 3
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League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Austria 8 6 1 1 22:4 19
2 Bosnia & Herzegovina 8 5 2 1 17:7 17
3 Romania 8 4 1 3 19:10 13
4 Cyprus 8 2 2 4 11:11 8
5 San Marino 8 0 0 8 2:39 0
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League Standings (Group 9)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Norway 8 8 0 0 37:5 24
2 Italy 8 6 0 2 21:12 18
3 Israel 8 4 0 4 19:20 12
4 Estonia 8 1 1 6 8:21 4
5 Moldova 8 0 1 7 5:32 1
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League Standings (Group 10)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Belgium 8 5 3 0 29:7 18
2 Wales 8 5 1 2 21:11 16
3 North Macedonia 8 3 4 1 13:10 13
4 Kazakhstan 8 2 2 4 9:13 8
5 Liechtenstein 8 0 0 8 0:31 0
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League Standings (Group 11)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 England 8 8 0 0 22:0 24
2 Albania 8 4 2 2 7:5 14
3 Serbia 8 4 1 3 9:10 13
4 Latvia 8 1 2 5 5:15 5
5 Andorra 8 0 1 7 3:16 1
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League Standings (Group 12)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Croatia 8 7 1 0 26:4 22
2 Czech Republic 8 5 1 2 18:8 16
3 Faroe Islands 8 4 0 4 11:9 12
4 Montenegro 8 3 0 5 8:17 9
5 Gibraltar 8 0 0 8 3:28 0
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