Sport Tipps
Spielereignisse
12'
12'
Moreno A.
14'
14'
Berra T.
16'
16'
Nunez G.
Spielzusammenfassung
Germinal in this Torneo Federal matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Germinal.
Siegwahrscheinlichkeits-Meter
Basierend auf 10.000 Simulationen unter Berücksichtigung von Heimvorteil & Form
4%
6%
90%
Unentschieden-Quote: 6% Favorit: Alvarado
Modell-Vertrauen
Gesamter Indikatorwert
95%
/ Sehr Hoch Vertrauen
- Form's been kind to Germinal lately — more wins on the board than Alvarado.
- 90% — that's where the model lands on Alvarado taking it.
- Regular Torneo Federal form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Starke Defensiven sprechen für ein kontrolliertes, torarmes Spiel.
Torwahrscheinlichkeits-Rechner
Modellschätzungen für Tormärkte basierend auf xG-Historie
Über 0.5 Tore 85%
Über 1.5 Tore 37.5%
Über 2.5 Tore 20%
Über 3.5 Tore 19%
Über 4.5 Tore 9%
Beide treffen (BTTS) 18.8%
Germinal Ohne Gegentor 19%
Alvarado Ohne Gegentor 68%
Formanalyse der Teams
Durchschnittswerte pro Spiel
| Metrik | Germinal | Alvarado |
|---|---|---|
| Spiele | 28 | 29 |
| Siege | 10 | 9 |
| Unentschieden | 8 | 13 |
| Niederlagen | 10 | 7 |
| Erzielte Tore | 0.38 | 1.5 |
| Gegentore | 1 | 0.38 |
| Erwartete Tore (xG) | 0.38 | 1.50 |
| Erwartete Gegentore (xGA) | 1.00 | 0.38 |
H2H
Historische Erfolgsquoten in Hauptmärkten
5. Juli 2026 Torneo Federal
Alvarado vs Germinal
5:0
3. Mai 2026 Torneo Federal
Germinal vs Alvarado
1:0
Schlüsselspieler-Analyse
Top-Akteure und erwartete Torbeteiligungen
Germinal Vergleich
Top-Torschütze Nunez G.
1 Tore Durchschnitt xG / Spiel 0.29
Durchschnitt xA / Spiel 0.19
Alvarado Vergleich
Durchschnitt xG / Spiel 1.36
Durchschnitt xA / Spiel 0.83
SokaPicks Momentum-Index
Aktueller Formindex inklusive Belastung und Gegnerstärke (0-100)
Germinal 10 / 100
Alvarado 95 / 100
Berechnungsgrundlage: Gewichtete Formel aus Formkurve (60%), Tordifferenzen (20%), Heimrecht (10%) und Kadertiefe (10%).
Angriffs- & Abwehrstärke
Germinal Alvarado
Vorhersage-Engine
Ergebnishäufigkeiten und Hauptmärkte
Haupttipp ALV Win (2)
Nebentipp Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS-Prognose No (NG)
Über/Unter Tipp Under 2.5
Smart Insights
Vom System automatisch erkannte Muster
H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.
Germinal found the back of the net in 54% of recent matches (28 games).
Defensive concern: Alvarado conceded in 34% of 29 recent games.
Germinal went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Tor-Trends
Germinal VS Alvarado
0.38 Erzielte Tore 1.5
1 Kassierte Tore 0.38
25% Über 1.5 50%
13% Über 2.5 25%
13% Über 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Germinal
(Home) 26 Jul
Guillermo Brown
2 : 0 Germinal
12 Jul
Germinal
0 : 1 Olimpo Bahia Blanca
05 Jul
Alvarado
5 : 0 Germinal
28 Jun
Germinal
1 : 0 Santamarina
14 Jun
Villa Mitre
0 : 0 Germinal
Page 1 of 6
12 Jul
Germinal
0 : 1 Olimpo Bahia Blanca
28 Jun
Germinal
1 : 0 Santamarina
07 Jun
Germinal
0 : 0 Circulo Deportivo
24 May
Germinal
1 : 0 Sol de Mayo
17 May
Germinal
1 : 1 Guillermo Brown
Page 1 of 3
Alvarado
(Away) 11 Jul
Santamarina
0 : 0 Alvarado
05 Jul
Alvarado
5 : 0 Germinal
28 Jun
Villa Mitre
1 : 0 Alvarado
20 Jun
Alvarado
1 : 0 Circulo Deportivo
14 Jun
Kimberley
2 : 2 Alvarado
Page 1 of 6
11 Jul
Santamarina
0 : 0 Alvarado
28 Jun
Villa Mitre
1 : 0 Alvarado
14 Jun
Kimberley
2 : 2 Alvarado
31 May
Guillermo Brown
0 : 0 Alvarado
03 May
Germinal
1 : 0 Alvarado
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Douglas Haig | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 22:15 | 31 |
| 2 | Sportivo Belgrano | 18 | 7 | 9 | 2 | 21:9 | 30 |
| 3 | Gimnasia Chivilcoy | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 17:12 | 27 |
| 4 | Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 24:20 | 27 |
| 5 | 9 de Julio Rafaela | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 28:27 | 25 |
| 6 | Sportivo Las Parejas | 18 | 5 | 9 | 4 | 12:13 | 24 |
| 7 | Atletico Escobar | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 21:29 | 22 |
| 8 | Independiente Chivilcoy | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 15:22 | 19 |
| 9 | El Linqueno | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 14:21 | 19 |
| 10 | Gimnasia E.R. | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 12:18 | 17 |
Promotion - Torneo Federal (Winners stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | San Martin Formosa | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 25:19 | 30 |
| 2 | Bartolome Mitre | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 13:7 | 26 |
| 3 | Sol de America | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 19:14 | 26 |
| 4 | Sarmiento de La Banda | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 17:15 | 25 |
| 5 | Juventud Antoniana | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 19:11 | 25 |
| 6 | Defensores de Vilelas | 16 | 6 | 1 | 9 | 21:26 | 19 |
| 7 | Boca Unidos | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 19:25 | 18 |
| 8 | Tucuman Central | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 14:19 | 17 |
| 9 | Sarmiento Resistencia | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 12:23 | 15 |
Promotion - Torneo Federal (Winners stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cipolletti | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 19:15 | 25 |
| 2 | Argentino MM | 16 | 5 | 8 | 3 | 16:12 | 23 |
| 3 | Biblioteca Atenas | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 12:13 | 23 |
| 4 | Huracan Las Heras | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 11:13 | 23 |
| 5 | Fundacion Amigos | 16 | 4 | 9 | 3 | 17:14 | 21 |
| 6 | Deportivo Rincon | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 13:16 | 19 |
| 7 | San Martin Mendoza | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 11:15 | 19 |
| 8 | Costa Brava | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 12:13 | 18 |
| 9 | Juventud U.U. | 16 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 10:10 | 17 |
Promotion - Torneo Federal (Winners stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Olimpo Bahia Blanca | 16 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 13:4 | 31 |
| 2 | Alvarado | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 19:7 | 27 |
| 3 | Kimberley | 16 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 15:9 | 26 |
| 4 | Villa Mitre | 16 | 5 | 8 | 3 | 14:8 | 23 |
| 5 | Germinal | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 7:14 | 18 |
| 6 | Sol de Mayo | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 15:18 | 18 |
| 7 | Guillermo Brown | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 13:20 | 17 |
| 8 | Santamarina | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 9:17 | 13 |
| 9 | Circulo Deportivo | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 8:16 | 13 |
Promotion - Torneo Federal (Winners stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
