Sport Tipps
Spielzusammenfassung
This Tercera RFEF - Group 14 encounter between Gevora and Villanovense promises to be a closely contested affair, with win probabilities pointing to an even matchup. Gevora averages 0.9 goals scored and 1.6 conceded in recent matches. Villanovense shows a form average of 1.4 goals scored and 1.1 conceded. Given their contrasting recent form profiles, this matchup is expected to produce a balanced tactical flow. Historical head-to-head records show 0 wins for Gevora, 1 wins for Villanovense, and 1 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 01.02.26 ended in a 0:0 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 1.25 for Gevora and 1.81 for Villanovense, suggesting the primary value lies in the Villanovense double chance or over markets.
Siegwahrscheinlichkeits-Meter
Basierend auf 10.000 Simulationen unter Berücksichtigung von Heimvorteil & Form
Modell-Vertrauen
Gesamter Indikatorwert
- Gevora hat zuletzt mehr Punkte geholt als Villanovense.
- Das Modell prognostiziert eine höhere Torgefahr für die Gastgeber (1.25 vs. 1.81 xG).
- Frühere Begegnungen zeigen einen klaren Vorteil für die Gäste.
- Starke Defensiven sprechen für ein kontrolliertes, torarmes Spiel.
Torwahrscheinlichkeits-Rechner
Modellschätzungen für Tormärkte basierend auf xG-Historie
Formanalyse der Teams
Durchschnittswerte pro Spiel
| Metrik | Gevora | Villanovense |
|---|---|---|
| Spiele | 30 | 31 |
| Siege | 6 | 13 |
| Unentschieden | 9 | 7 |
| Niederlagen | 15 | 11 |
| Erzielte Tore | 0.93 | 1.35 |
| Gegentore | 1.57 | 1.06 |
| Erwartete Tore (xG) | 1.13 | 2.00 |
| Erwartete Gegentore (xGA) | 1.63 | 1.38 |
H2H
Historische Erfolgsquoten in Hauptmärkten
Taktisches Profil
Feldpositionen & Kontrollstile
Gevora
Villanovense
Sokapicks Momentum-Index
Aktueller Formindex inklusive Belastung und Gegnerstärke (0-100)
Angriffs- & Abwehrstärke
Vorhersage-Engine
Ergebnishäufigkeiten und Hauptmärkte
Value Bet Finder (+EV)
Spiele mit mathematischem Vorteil gegenüber Buchmachern
Erwarteter Spielverlauf
Dominanzkurven in 15-Minuten-Abschnitten
Villanovense will likely look to assert dominance early, testing the hosts' defensive structure.
Gevora will look to tighten their defensive lines to neutralize Villanovense's early runs.
Expect Villanovense to mount counter-attacks, exploiting gaps as Gevora tries to push forward.
Tactical adjustments will see Villanovense increase their pressing intensity in the opposition half.
Fatigue may set in for Gevora's defense, opening up opportunities for Villanovense's forward line.
Expect Villanovense to manage the closing stages, while Gevora searches for late drama.
Offensiv-Heatmaps & Schüsse
Dynamische Heat-Overlays aus Zonen-Statistiken
Smart Insights
Vom System automatisch erkannte Muster
Gevora have found the net in 63% of their last 30 matches.
Villanovense have conceded at least one goal in 68% of their last 31 fixtures.
Historical meetings between these sides average 2.50 goals per match.
Gevora remained undefeated in 3 of their last 5 overall matchups.
Villanovense suffered defeat in 1 of their last 5 overall games.
Risikoanalyse
Bewertung von Störfaktoren
Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.
Standard league campaign fixture. Both teams have strong incentives to secure maximum points for table positioning.
Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.
Teamvergleich
Direkter Statistikvergleich
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Don Benito | 34 | 21 | 8 | 5 | 70:22 | 71 |
| 2 | CD Badajoz | 34 | 23 | 5 | 6 | 64:27 | 71 |
| 3 | Moralo | 34 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 54:32 | 62 |
| 4 | CD Azuaga | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 53:31 | 62 |
| 5 | Jaraiz | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 53:33 | 59 |
| 6 | Cabeza del Buey | 34 | 15 | 12 | 7 | 45:29 | 57 |
| 7 | SP Villafranca | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 45:40 | 55 |
| 8 | Villanovense | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 45:36 | 53 |
| 9 | Montijo | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 43:42 | 46 |
| 10 | Jerez CF | 34 | 8 | 17 | 9 | 56:51 | 41 |
| 11 | AD Llerenense | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 35:44 | 41 |
| 12 | Puebla de la Calzada | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 35:48 | 38 |
| 13 | Santa Amalia | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 30:52 | 34 |
| 14 | Gevora | 34 | 8 | 9 | 17 | 32:53 | 33 |
| 15 | Pueblonuevo | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 29:55 | 33 |
| 16 | CD Diocesano | 34 | 6 | 12 | 16 | 33:63 | 30 |
| 17 | Montehermoso | 34 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 24:66 | 23 |
| 18 | CD Calamonte | 34 | 3 | 13 | 18 | 25:47 | 22 |